NBA Trends and Line Movement (2/15)
The new Bet Karma NBA Trends page is designed to show the line movement in team totals, spreads, and game totals. Each section features the opening number, live number, and difference between the two. The movement is taken from the DraftKings Sportsbook.
In this article, I’ll breakdown the movement from one game with the corresponding player prop bet from our Prop Predictor. All of our player props can be found on the Live Odds page by clicking “view props” for each individual game.
The Atlanta Hawks opened as 1.5 point road favorites against the New York Knicks tonight. The line has shifted half of a point, making Atlanta a -2 point favorite at the moment. The opening game total of 216.5 points has increased 1.5 points, and it currently sits at 218 points. The Hawks team total moved from 109 to 110, while the Knicks jumped from 107.5 to 108.
Atlanta’s been an average team against the spread (ATS) this season. They’ve covered in exactly 50% of their games. New York’s been a bit better, covering in 53.6% of their contests. With that being said, the Knicks own a 6-6 ATS record at home, while the Hawks have looked outstanding with a 7-4 road ATS record this season.
Oddly enough for the game total increasing, these teams have consistently found the under in their contests. Atlanta found the under in 61.5% of their games, while New York hit the under in a league-high 67.9% of their contests. It’s also important to note that the Hawks have gone under the game total in 72.7% of their road games this season.
This game is an intriguing matchup between two different teams, and our Prop Predictor has found a bet that sticks out. Julius Randle’s assist total is set at only 3.5 assists, although our Kamra Projection sets him at 5.1. This gives this bet an A+ Karma Grade.
You can view all of our player props for this game by clicking here.
Randle’s found plenty of success in terms of assists this season. He’s averaging 5.6 assists in 36.3 minutes per game thus far. Randle’s surprisingly averaging only 4.0 assists in 35.5 minutes per game over the last 10 days. With that being said, he’s recorded 4+ assists in 8 of his last 10 games, although he’s failed to do so in 2 of his last 3 contests.
Randle’s expected to continue to play massive minutes for New York. He’s one of the focal points of their offense, and he posted 9 assists in 43.1 minutes in his only matchup against Atlanta this season. There’s quite a bit of juice on the over, although the total is still low enough to be one of our Prop Predictors’ favorite bets on the slate.
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