NBA Trends and Line Movement (2/16)
The new Bet Karma NBA Trends page is designed to show the line movement in team totals, the spread, and game totals. Each section features the opening number, live number, and difference between the two. The movement is taken from the DraftKings Sportsbook.
In this article, I’ll breakdown the movement from one game with the corresponding player prop bet from our Prop Predictor. All of our player props can be found on the Live Odds page by clicking “view props” for each individual game.
The Phoenix Suns opened as -3 point home favorites against the Brooklyn Nets. They currently sit as -5.5 point favorites, gaining 2 points throughout the day. This game total opened at 231.5 points but dropped 0.5 points since. It currently sits at 231 points. Overall, the Suns’ team total jumped from 117.25 points to 118.25, while the Nets’ dropped from 114.25 points to 112.75.
Phoenix has been one of the best against the spread (ATS) teams in the NBA this season, covering in 65.4% of their contests. Brooklyn’s struggled, covering in only 44.8% of theirs. Phoenix has also looked unstoppable at home, where they boast a 10-4 ATS record this season. Brooklyn only owns a 5-8 road ATS record.
These teams have also been opposites in terms of the over/under. Phoenix has found the under in 57.7% of their games, while Brooklyn’s hit the over in 72.4% of theirs. The Suns surprisingly boast a 7-7 over/under record at home, though. The Nets possess a 10-3 over/under record on the road, leading the league in road over percentage (76.9%) this season.
This game doesn’t feature any elite bets, per the Prop Predictor, but it doesn’t offer some intriguing ones. Joe Harris is set at 12.5 points with a 15.3 Karma Projection. This results in a B- overall grade on the over.
You can view all of our player props for this game by clicking here.
Harris has seen mixed results in terms of scoring this season. He’s averaging 14.6 points in 30.6 minutes per game through 29 contests. Harris is averaging 13.5 points in 28.1 minutes per game over the last 10 days. His scoring and minutes have been inconsistent in recent games, although he’s posted 15+ points in 2 of his last 3 contests.
With Kevin Durant out, Harris is expected to find minutes in the high-20s or low-30s tonight. He’ll be the third scoring option on the team, as well. Although the matchup is far from elite, he’s a solid option to find the over.
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