I would like to take a moment to introduce myself as one of the newest members of the DFSKarma and BetKarma team. My name is Tyler Beard, but better known in the DFS world as Tyslce. I have an extensive background in the world of Martial Arts, training personally for 8 years in the disciplines of Jiu-Jitsu, Judo, and Kickboxing before getting my license in MMA Judging and working media for the UFC. Going forward I will be posting UFC betting advice for each event, with a breakdown of the bet and why I like the play. I will also be providing core plays for fantasy sports on the 3 sites that currently offer MMA DFS. I look forward to connecting with the Karma family, and if you have any questions feel free to reach out to me on the discord chat or follow me on Twitter @tyslice23.
LFA 100 (Friday night)
Victor Altamirano +133
Steven Nguyen -300
Gerald Scott -185
Charles Johnson -200
Natividad is an easy win but has terrible odds, if you need an extra parlay piece use him for better odds
UFC Fight Night 185 (Saturday night)
Phil Hawes -110
Hates has had 2 setbacks early in his UFC career but has rounded into form as of late and he will have a clear speed and power advantage in this fight with Imavov. I look for that speed to be too much for Imavov and Hawes should be able to finish this fight early. The longer the fight goes the more it favors Imavov so keep that in mind if you play on live betting during the fights on Saturday.
Danny Chavez -135
This bet is really a bet on how good Danny Chavez’s takedown defense is. On the feet, he will pick Gordon apart but Gordon will be wanting to get this fight to the mat as much as possible. Chavez had 100% takedown defense in his only other UFC fight and I think that he can do enough to keep this standing and win a decision.
Chavez/Gordon goes to decision -155
Eddie Wineland +103
I hate to suggest Wineland but this fight seems to be a perfect matchup for him. Castaneda has been hit with 5.30 strikes per minute in his UFC career and leaves himself open to the counter. Wineland has made his career on being a counter fighter so I look for him to land bombs during exchanges and score the KO. If you want to get risky and bet the KO, Wineland by KO/TKO is +535.
Shana Dobson +135
I got a tip from Dobson’s striking coach that she shouldn’t have a problem in this fight. When I get tips like this from coaches, I usually don’t ignore them, they pay off more times than not. As far as skill sets, O’Neil is a Muay Thai fighter and seems to be solid but Dobson will likely use her wrestling to take away that advantage and pick up the decision.
Drako Rodriguez -175
Zahabi had a lot of fanfare based off of his brother being known as one of the top coaches in MMA but he has not lived up to the hype. He has shown to have a questionable gas tank, terrible fight IQ, and a mediocre skill set. Rodriguez on the other hand has looked like the real deal since arriving on the scene on the Contender’s Series. I think Rodriguez should be able to win this fight handily, I am not sure if he will get the stoppage though.
Tom Aspinall -245
Arlovski is on the downslope of his career but has remained competitive in his past few fights but those fights were against fighters that lacked aggression and let Arlovski dictate the pace. Aspinall will not afford him the same luxury. Aspinall lands over 11 strikes per minute at a 74% accuracy and is efficient in his wrestling. This fight should be a one-sided beat down and a likely finish win.
Pat Sabatini +160
I am a little bit surprised by this line, Sabatini is a good fighter that has a ton of heart and is the 2 time CFFC featherweight champion. He is taking this fight on short notice but he recently fought in December so he should still be in shape. His opponent Alves, is a decent fighter in his own right but I haven’t been impressed with the limited footage that I have seen from him. In his fight on DWCS I felt that he was losing until he pulled out a submission in a fight that he was favored in. The biggest factor in determining who to back in this fight is that Alves has shown the willingness to quit in fights.