NBA Trends and Line Movement (2/22)
The new Bet Karma NBA Trends page is designed to show the line movement in team totals, spreads, and game totals. Each section features the opening number, live number, and difference between the two. The movement is taken from the DraftKings Sportsbook.
In this article, I’ll breakdown the movement from one game with the corresponding player prop bet from our Prop Predictor. All of our player props can be found on the Live Odds page by clicking “view props” for each individual game.
The Utah Jazz opened as 12.5 point home favorites against the Charlotte Hornets. The line hasn’t moved yet. The game total opened at 228.5 points, dropping 1.5 points to 227 throughout the day thus far. Overall, Charlotte’s team total shifted from 108 points to 107.25, while Utah’s moved from 120.5 to 119.75.
The Hornets and Jazz have been two of the best against the spread (ATS) teams in the NBA this season. Utah leads the league, covering in 73.3% of their games, while Charlotte’s covered in 57.1% of their contests. Utah’s also covered in a league-high 80% of their home games. Charlotte, on the other hand, has been slightly better on the road, covering in 58.3% of their road games.
The Hornets have been a neutral team in terms of the over/under, hitting the over in exactly 50% of their contests this season. The Jazz haven’t been as neutral, finding the under in 55.2% of their games. Utah boasts a similar percentage at home, although Charlotte’s hit the over in 66.7% of their road games this season.
There are a few props our Prop Predictor likes in this contest, although one sticks out above the rest. LaMelo Ball’s rebounding total is set at 5.5. He owns a Karma Projection of 7.8 rebounds, though, giving this prop an A+ Karma Grade.
You can view all of our player props for this game by clicking here.
Ball’s averaging 6.1 rebounds in only 27.5 minutes per game this season. With that being said, he’s averaging 8.7 rebounds in 35.5 minutes per game over the last 10 days. He’s played 28+ minutes in each of his last 10 games, posting 6+ rebounds in 5 of those games, including 5 of his last 8.
With Devonte’ Graham doubtful tonight, Ball is expected to continue to play minutes in the mid-30s. He’s a player that will likely still find minutes in a blowout, as well. It’s easy to see why our Prop Predictor loves this bet tonight.
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