NBA Trends and Line Movement (2/23)
The new Bet Karma NBA Trends page is designed to show the line movement in team totals, the spread, and game totals. Each section features the opening number, live number, and difference between the two. The movement is taken from the DraftKings Sportsbook.
In this article, I’ll breakdown the movement from one game with the corresponding player prop bet from our Prop Predictor. All of our player props can be found on the Live Odds page by clicking “view props” for each individual game.
The Atlanta Hawks opened as -6.5 point road favorites against the Cleveland Cavaliers. The line has shifted 1 point towards Atlanta, currently sitting at -7.5. The game total opened at 227.5 points, increasing to 228 points throughout the day. Atlanta’s team total increased from 117 points to 117.75, while Cleveland dropped from 110.5 to 110.25.
The Hawks have been average against the spread (ATS), covering in 50% of their games this season. The Cavs haven’t performed as well, covering in a league-low 32.3% of their contests thus far. Atlanta's found more success away from home, covering in 57.1% of their road games. Cleveland's better at home but still covered in only 43.8% of their home games this season.
These teams also lean toward the under, as the Hawks and Cavs have hit the under in 53.3% and 56.7% of their games, respectively. Atlanta's hit the under in 57.1% of their road games this season. Cleveland's also found the under in 53.3% of their home games.
This game features one prop that sticks out to our Prop Predictor. Trae Young’s rebounding total is set at 4.5, but the Karma Projection sits at only 3.7 rebounds. This gives the under an A Karma Grade tonight.
You can view all of our player props for this game by clicking here.
Young’s averaging 3.9 rebounds in 34.5 minutes per game this season. That total’s dipped to 3.0 in 34.3 minutes per game over the last 10 days. Overall, Young’s posted 5+ rebounds in only 2 of his last 10 games.
He gets an interesting matchup, although he posted 4 rebounds in 34.1 minutes against Cleveland earlier this season. Young will be locked into major minutes, but it’s no surprise why our Prop Predictor likes the under on this bet.
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