NBA Trends and Line Movement (2/24)
The new Bet Karma NBA Trends page is designed to show the line movement in team totals, the spread, and game totals. Each section features the opening number, live number, and difference between the two. The movement is taken from the DraftKings Sportsbook.
In this article, I’ll breakdown the movement from one game with the corresponding player prop bet from our Prop Predictor. All of our player props can be found on the Live Odds page by clicking “view props” for each individual game.
The Boston Celtics opened as -3.5 point road favorites against the Atlanta Hawks tonight. The line has moved 1.5 points toward Atlanta, though, and they are currently +2 point underdogs. The game total opened at 227.5 points but has dropped to 224 points throughout the day. Boston’s team total dipped from 115.5 points to 113, while Atlanta’s moved from 112 to 111.
Both teams have struggled against the spread (ATS) this season, covering in 48.4% of their games. The Hawks have struggled at home, where they’ve covered in only 43.8% of their games this season. The Celtics have been one of the worst teams in the league on the road, though, covering in 33.3% of their road games thus far.
Atlanta’s found the under more often than not this season, hitting the under in 54.8% of contests. Boston’s found the over slightly more, going over the game total in 51.6% of their games. Atlanta owns an 8-8 over/under record at home this season. Boston’s also hit the over and under at 50% of the time on the road, recording a 9-9 road over/under record.
There are a few solid prop bets in this game, but our Prop Predictor likes one better than the rest. Kevin Huerter’s assist total is set at 2.5, but he owns a Karma Projection of 3.8 tonight. This prop owns an A+ Karma Grade.
You can view all of our player props for this game by clicking here.
Huerter’s averaging 3.6 assists in 31.5 minutes per game through 31 games this season. That total is up to 3.8 in 34.1 minutes per game over the last 10 days. Huerter’s posted 3+ assists in 6 of his last 9 games, although he’s hit that number in only 1 of his last 4 games.
He’ll be locked into 30+ minutes with De’Andre Hunter and Bogdan Bogdanovic out, Cam Reddish doubtful, and John Collins questionable tonight. Huerter will likely find a bigger role in the offense, and he’s one of the best bets according to our Prop Predictor tonight.
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