NBA Trends and Line Movement (2/25)
The new Bet Karma NBA Trends page is designed to show the line movement in team totals, spreads, and game totals. Each section features the opening number, live number, and difference between the two. The movement is taken from the DraftKings Sportsbook.
In this article, I’ll breakdown the movement from one game with the corresponding player prop bet from our Prop Predictor. All of our player props can be found on the Live Odds page by clicking “view props” for each individual game.
The Philadelphia 76ers opened as 5.5 point home favorites against the Dallas Mavericks. The line shifted half of a point towards Dallas, as they’re now 5 point underdogs. The game total opened at 226 points but increased to 229 throughout the day. The Mavs team total increased from 110.25 to 112, while the Sixers moved from 115.75 to 117.
Philadelphia has found more success against the spread (ATS), covering in 51.6% of their games. Dallas has only covered in 43.3% of their contests this season. Philadelphia’s also been elite at home, where they boast a 10-5 ATS record. Dallas has been surprisingly strong on the road, where they own an 8-6 ATS record.
Both teams have found similar results in terms of the game total. The Sixers have found the over in 53.1% of their games, while the Mavs have in 50% of theirs. Philadelphia’s hit the over in 60% of their home games, though. Dallas, on the other hand, has found the under in 57.1% of their road games.
There’s one prop that sticks out above the rest according to our Prop Predictor tonight. Tobias Harris is set at 4.5 assists, but he owns a 3.4 Karma Projection. This gives this prop bet an A+ Karma Grade tonight.
You can view all of our player props for this game by clicking here.
Harris is averaging 3.4 assists in 34.4 minutes per game through 29 contests. He is averaging 5.2 assists in 36.5 minutes per game over the last 10 days. Harris has also posted 5+ assists in 8 of his last 10 games.
With that being said, the Sixers rotation is healthy tonight, meaning Joel Embiid will run the offense with Harris and Ben Simmons taking usage after him. Although he’s been a consistent over in recent games, our Prop Predictor is betting on the under tonight.
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