Joey's NBA Prop Bets Monday 03/15/21
What’s up Karma Nation! Welcome to another edition of my prop bets. In this article, I will be outlining my favorite prop bet of the day. To find my other prop bets and all of the other staff’s favorite bets, make sure to sign up for the Premium package.
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Premium: 65-47 +25.76 units
Free Plays: 8-12 -4.58 units
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All Prop lines are based on DraftKings Sportsbook. Lines may vary based on the time you are reading this or if you are using a different sportsbook.
Donatas Sobaonis UNDER 6.5 Assists -130 1.20 units to win 1 unit: With Caris Levert finally in the lineup for the Pacers that has changed the way the Pacers played last game. It was the Brogdan and Sabonis show, but Levert steps in during his first game without a minutes limit and commands a 31% usage rate in the offense. That is going to hurt Brogdan and Sabonis in the long run, even though we just saw both dominate still last game. Since Levert has no minutes limit we should expect him to steadily see an increase in minutes to well over 30 during the next couple of games.
With Sabonis, Levert, and Brogdan on the floor, last game Sabonis did not record a single assist in 18 minutes even though he finished with 10 for the game. He only saw 11 potential assists as well. So close to every shot attempt from his passes went in. That is no a sustainable rate either. So as Levert sees more minutes, Sabonis will continue to lose his assist upside.