NBA Trends and Line Movement (3/22)
The new Bet Karma NBA Trends page is designed to show the line movement in team totals, the spread, and game totals. Each section features the opening number, live number, and difference between the two. The movement is taken from the DraftKings Sportsbook.
In this article, I’ll breakdown the movement from one game with the corresponding player prop bet from our Prop Predictor. All of our player props can be found on the Live Odds page by clicking “view props” for each individual game.
The Milwaukee Bucks opened as -10.5 point home favorites against the Indiana Pacers. The lines shifted 5.5 points towards Indiana, though, as Milwaukee is currently only a -5 point favorite. The game total opened at 232 points but hasn’t moved. The Pacers’ team total increased from 110.75 to 113.25, while the Bucks’ decreased from 121.25 to 118.5.
Neither team found success against the spread (ATS) this season. Milwaukee’s covered in only 46.3% of their games thus far. Indiana’s covered in only 41.5% of theirs. The Bucks are better at home, though, where they own a 12-9 ATS record. Surprisingly, Indiana’s found more success on the road, posting an 11-11 ATS record thus far.
Both teams have hit the over in 60% of their games this season. Milwaukee owns a similar over percentage at home, while Indiana’s increases to 66.7% on the road.
This game features a few solid prop bets, according to our Prop Predictor. Caris LeVert’s rebounding total is set at 3.5 tonight. He owns a Karma Projection of 4.3, though, giving the over an A Karma Grade.
You can view all of our player props for this game by clicking here.
LeVert’s averaging 4.2 rebounds in 28.5 minutes per game through 17 games this season. He’s only played 5 games with Indiana, though, averaging 3.8 rebounds in 31.3 minutes per game in those contests. Overall, he’s posted 4+ rebounds in 2 of his 5 games with Indiana this season.
LeVert’s a solid rebounding guard, and he’s expected to continue to find 30+ minutes per game for the Pacers. I’m not worried about his early rebounding struggles for his new team, and our Prop Predictor isn’t either.
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