NBA Trends and Line Movement (3/23)
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NBA Trends and Line Movement (3/23)

Justin Bales
03-23-2021

The new Bet Karma NBA Trends page is designed to show the line movement in team totals, spreads, and game totals. Each section features the opening number, live number, and difference between the two. The movement is taken from the DraftKings Sportsbook

 

In this article, I’ll breakdown the movement from one game with the corresponding player prop bet from our Prop Predictor. All of our player props can be found on the Live Odds page by clicking “view props” for each individual game. 

 

Los Angeles Lakers vs New Orleans Pelicans



The New Orleans Pelicans opened as 6 point home favorites over the Los Angeles Lakers. The line hasn’t shifted yet. The game total opened at 222 points, dropping to 221.5 throughout the day. With little movement, the Pelicans’ team total dipped from 114 to 113.75, while the Lakers’ dropped from 108 to 107.75. 

 

Neither team’s been successful against the spread (ATS) this season. Los Angeles’ covered in 48.8% of their games, while New Orleans has covered in only 45.2% of theirs. The Pelicans home ATS record sits at only 10-12 on the season. The Lakers have been a bit better on the road, where they own an 11-9 ATS record. 

 

These teams are polar opposites in terms of the game total. New Orleans has hit the over in a league-high 69% of their games. Los Angeles, on the other hand, has found the under in a league-high 65.1% of their contests. The Pelicans boast an 18-4 home over/under record, which also leads the NBA. Unsurprisingly, the Lakers own a 4-16 road over/under record, which also leads the NBA in under percentage. 

 

This game features one prop bet that stands above the rest. Eric Bledsoe’s assist total is set at 4.5 tonight. He owns a 3.6 Karma Projection, though, and the difference is enough to garner an A+ Karma Grade. 

You can view all of our player props for this game by clicking here

 

Bledsoe’s averaging 3.8 assists in 29 minutes per game through 41 contests this season. He’s also averaging 3.8 assists in only 26.3 minutes per game over the last 10 days. Overall, Bledsoe’s posted 4 or fewer assists in 5 of his last 6 games. 

 

Lonzo Ball is questionable to play tonight, but Bledsoe likely won’t be the primary ball-handler even if Ball misses. Although Bledsoe does boast plenty of upside in terms of assists, his minutes have been inconsistent and he isn’t as involved in the offense as many would expect. 


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