NBA Trends and Line Movement (3/25)
The new Bet Karma NBA Trends page is designed to show the line movement in team totals, spreads, and game totals. Each section features the opening number, live number, and difference between the two. The movement is taken from the DraftKings Sportsbook.
In this article, I’ll breakdown the movement from one game with the corresponding player prop bet from our Prop Predictor. All of our player props can be found on the Live Odds page by clicking “view props” for each individual game.
The Los Angeles Clippers opened as 6 point road favorites against the San Antonio Spurs. The line shifted half of a point toward Los Angeles throughout the day, as well. The game total opened at 221.5 points, increasing to 224 thus far. Ultimately, the Clippers team total jumped from 113.75 to 115.25, while the Spurs moved from 107.75 to 108.75.
Both teams have found success against the spread (ATS) this season. San Antonio’s covered in 56.1% of their games, while Los Angeles’ covered in 55.6% of theirs. Surprisingly, the Spurs only own a 10-12 home ATS record. The Clippers have been slightly better, recording a 13-11 road ATS record this season.
These teams are opposites in terms of the game total. Los Angeles’ hit the over in 59.1% of their games, while San Antonio’s found the under in 56.1% of theirs. The Spurs boast a 9-13 over/under record at home this season, as well. The Clippers, on the other hand, own a 14-10 over/under record on the road.
This game features a few props that our Prop Predictor likes, although only one stands out above the rest. DeMar DeRozan’s assist total is set at 5.5 tonight. He owns a Karma Projection of 6.7 assists, giving the over an A Karma Grade.
You can view all of our player props for this game by clicking here.
DeRozan’s averaging 7.3 assists in 34 minutes per game through 34 contests this season. He’s also averaging 7 assists in 34.3 minutes per game over the last 10 days. Overall, DeRozan’s recorded 6+ assists in 7 of his last 10 games.
He’s expected to continue to be locked into major minutes and a massive role in the San Antonio offense. Even in a tough matchup, it’s far from surprising that he’s our Prop Predictor’s favorite bet in this game.
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