NBA Trends and Line Movement (3/26)
The new Bet Karma NBA Trends page is designed to show the line movement in team totals, spreads, and game totals. Each section features the opening number, live number, and difference between the two. The movement is taken from the DraftKings Sportsbook.
In this article, I’ll breakdown the movement from one game with the corresponding player prop bet from our Prop Predictor. All of our player props can be found on the Live Odds page by clicking “view props” for each individual game.
The Atlanta Hawks opened as 5.5 point road favorites against the Golden State Warriors. The lines moved 2 points toward Atlanta throughout the day, as well. The game total opened at 220 points, dropping to 219 thus far. The Hawks team total shifted from 112.75 to 113.25, while the Warriors decreased from 107.25 to 105.75.
Atlanta’s found more success against the spread (ATS) than Golden State this season. The Hawks have covered in 51.2% of their games, while the Warriors have covered in only 46.7% of theirs. With that being said, Golden State owns a 12-9 home ATS record. Atlanta’s struggled more on the road, recording an 11-12-1 road ATS spread this season.
Both teams have found the under more often than not this season. The Hawks have hit the under in 54.5% of their contests with the Warriors hitting it in 60% of theirs. Unsurprisingly, Golden State owns a 9-12 over/under record at home this season. Atlanta features a similar percentage, recording an 11-13 over/under record on the road.
This game only features one outstanding prop at the moment. James Wiseman’s rebounding total is set at 6.5 tonight. He boasts a Karma Projection of 7.6. The difference gives the over an A- Karma Grade.
You can view all of our player props for this game by clicking here.
Wiseman’s averaging 6.0 rebounds in only 21.2 minutes per game this season. He’s also averaging 6.7 rebounds in 27.5 minutes per game over the last 10 days. Overall, Wiseman’s posted 7+ rebounds in 5 of his last 9 games.
Steve Kerr recently said that Golden State needed to get Wiseman more minutes, and that’s been the case in recent games. He’s averaging 10.1 rebounds on a per-36 minute basis. Although he isn’t likely to find that many minutes, he should continue to find them in the high-20s. It isn’t surprising this is our Prop Predictors favorite bet in this game.
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