NBA Trends and Line Movement (3/27)
The new Bet Karma NBA Trends page is designed to show the line movement in team totals, spreads, and game totals. Each section features the opening number, live number, and difference between the two. The movement is taken from the DraftKings Sportsbook.
In this article, I’ll breakdown the movement from one game with the corresponding player prop bet from our Prop Predictor. All of our player props can be found on the Live Odds page by clicking “view props” for each game.
The Minnesota Wolves opened as 5 point home favorites against the Minnesota Wolves. The lines shifted slightly toward Houston throughout the day, as Minnesota is now a 4 point favorite. The game total opened at 227.5 points, increasing to 229 points thus far. Overall, the Rockets team total moved from 111.25 to 112.5, while the Wolves jumped from 116.25 to 116.5.
Neither team’s found success against the spread (ATS) this season. Houston’s covered in a league-low 29.5% of their games, while Minnesota’s covered in 43.2% of theirs. The Wolves own a 10-12 home ATS record this season, while the Rockets have struggled with a 40.9% road ATS record.
Houston’s consistently found the under throughout the season, hitting it in 62.8% of their games. Minnesota’s gone over in 51.1% of their contests thus far. The Wolves have found the under more often than not at home, recording a 10-12 over/under record. The Rockets own an 11-11 over/under record on the road this season.
There’s one prop that stands above the rest, according to our Prop Predictor. Ricky Rubio’s point total is set at 9.5, but he owns a Karma Projection of 12. That gives the over an A+ Karma Grade.
You can view all of our player props for this game by clicking here.
Rubio’s only averaging 8.5 points in 26.2 minutes per game through 43 contests this season. He’s averaging 10.3 points in 30.2 minutes per game over the last 10 days, though. Rubio’s made only 1 shot over his last 2 games, but he’s scored 10+ points in 6 of his last 10 games.
Rubio’s expected to continue to play big minutes with D’Angelo Russell injured. He gets a plus matchup against a bad Houston defense, and is far and away the best prop bet in this game, according to our Prop Predictor.
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