Joey's NBA Prop Bets Saturday 04/03/2021
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Premium: 78-60 +30.43 units
Free Plays: 12-15 -2.58 units
All Prop lines are based on DraftKings Sportsbook. Lines may vary based on the time you are reading this or if you are using a different sportsbook.
Collin Sexton UNDER 24.5 Points -120 1.20 units to win 1 unit:
Sexton gets a tough matchup against the Heat who have been dominant against guards all season and now gets to add Oladipo who is one of the best defenders in the league. He helped turn Houston into one of the best defenses in the league after the trade and is now going to put the already defensively sound Heat into the top defenses in the league, especially against the 1, 2, and 3.
Sexton is averaging 23.9 points per game this season on 18.4 field goal attempts, 4.5 3 point attempts, and 5.8 Free throw attempts per game. Over the last three games, with Jarrett Allen out, he is averaging 23.3 PPG on 19.0 FGA, 4.7 3PA, and 6.3 FTA per game. Although his numbers did increase this was mainly due to one ceiling game against the Kings in an obvious pace-up spot for the Cavs. The next two games were against similar opponents he will be facing tonight in the Utah Jazz and the Philidphila 76ers. In both of those two games, he fell below his season average in all scoring categories.
The Heat are 12 points favorite and the Cavs have been blown out the previous two games. We could see something similar tonight as the Cavs have no one to really matchup defensively to Rudy Gobert. If this game gets out of hand early we could see these guys sit early.