NBA Trends and Line Movement (4/6)
NBA
NBA Trends and Line Movement (4/6)

Justin Bales
04-06-2021

The new Bet Karma NBA Trends page is designed to show the line movement in team totals, spreads, and game totals. Each section features the opening number, live number, and difference between the two. The movement is taken from the DraftKings Sportsbook

 

In this article, I’ll break down the movement from one game with the corresponding player prop bet from our Prop Predictor. All of our player props can be found on the Live Odds page by clicking “view props” for each game. 

 

Chicago Bulls vs Indiana Pacers



The Indiana Pacers opened as 1.5 point home favorites against the Chicago Bulls. The lines shifted 2.5 points towards Chicago, as they are now 1 point favorites. The game total opened at 224.5 points, increasing to 227 throughout the day. The Pacers team total hasn’t moved, while the Bulls jumped from 111.5 to 114. 

 

Chicago’s found success against the spread (ATS) this season, covering in 56.2% of their games. Indiana hasn’t performed as well, covering in only 39.6% of their contests. The Pacers have been even worse at home, where they own a 6-16 ATS record this season. The Bulls own the best road ATS record in the NBA at 16-6. 

 

Indiana’s found the over significantly more often than not, hitting it in 59.6% of their games. Chicago’s leaned toward the under, finding itt in 52.1% of their contests. The Pacers have been neutral at home, though, where they own an 11-11 over/under record. The Bulls have recorded a 12-10 over/under record on the road, as well. 

 

This game features one prop better than the rest, according to our Prop Predictor. Myles Turner’s assist total is set at 1.5 tonight. He owns a 1.1 Karma Projection, though, giving the under an A+ Karma Grade. 

You can view all of our player props for this game by clicking here

 

Turner’s averaging 1.0 assist in 31.1 minutes per game through 45 contests this season. He’s also averaging 1.2 assists in 33.2 minutes per game over the last 10 days. Most importantly, Turner’s recorded 1 or fewer assists in 8 of his last 10 games. 

 

He’s expected to play 30+ minutes once again tonight. He could see a slightly larger offensive role if Malcolm Brogdon is out, as well. With that being said, he isn’t a great facilitator at center, making the under our Prop Predictors favorite bet in the contest. 


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