NBA Trends and Line Movement (4/8)
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NBA Trends and Line Movement (4/8)

Justin Bales
04-08-2021

The new Bet Karma NBA Trends page is designed to show the line movement in team totals, spreads, and game totals. Each section features the opening number, live number, and difference between the two. The movement is taken from the DraftKings Sportsbook

 

In this article, I’ll break down the movement from one game with the corresponding player prop bet from our Prop Predictor. All of our player props can be found on the Live Odds page by clicking “view props” for each game. 

 

Chicago Bulls vs Toronto Raptors



The Chicago Bulls opened as 3.5 point road favorites against the Toronto Raptors. The lines shifted 0.5 points toward Chicago, as they are now 4 point favorites. The game total opened at 221.5 points, dropping to 217 throughout the day. The Bulls team total dipped from 112.5 to 110.5, while the Raptors decreased from 109 to 106.5. 

 

Chicago’s found success against the spread (ATS) throughout the season, covering in 57.1% of their games. Toronto hasn’t been as successful, covering in only 41.2% of their contests. The Raptors have struggled at home, as well, where they own a 10-14 ATS record. The Bulls have been the best ATS team on the road this season, boasting a 17-6 record. 

 

These teams are opposites in terms of the total. Toronto’s found he over in 54.9% of their games, while Chicago’s hit he under in 53.1% of theirs. The Raptors have found the under more often at home, though, where they’ve recorded an 11-13 over/under record. The Bulls quietly own a 12-11 over/under record on the road this season, though. 

 

This game features several bets our Prop Predictor likes. Tomas Satoransky’s rebound total is set at only 2.5. He owns a Karma Projection of 3.6, though, giving the over an A+ Karma Grade. 

You can view all of our player props for this game by clicking here

 

Satoransky’s averaging 2.7 rebounds in 23.3 minutes per game on the season. He’s averaging 3.6 rebounds in 30.1 minutes per game over the last 10 days, though. He’s also posted 3+ rebounds in 5 of his last 10 games. 

 

Satoransky’s expected to continue to play around 30 minutes for Chicago. He’s a solid rebounding guard, and boasts the best bet in this game, according to our Prop Predictor. 


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