Tyler's UFC 261 Bets
Usman by Decision -115
Weili Zhang -196
On the feet this fight should be one sided. Zhang will have the power advantage and is very high volume. Zhang has shown that she could keep a high pace for 5 rounds, and as long as this fight avoids the ground it should be an easy win for her. I am leaning to playing Zhang by decision at +175 but haven’t pulled the trigger yet.
Jimmy Crute -196
Crute has a tendency to keep a high pace recently. He has implemented more wrestling into his game plan. If he keeps that strategy in this fight, he will exploit the weaknesses in Smith’s game and should wind up on the winning side of this match.
Brendan Allen -155
Allen should come in with a grappling heavy game plan, and use his aggression to keep Roberson on his back foot. Typically this strategy is one that Roberson has had problems with in his UFC run. Allen by submission at +200 is interesting, but I am hoping to get a better number closer to fight time.
Ariane Carnelossi -200
Liang is a fighter that is very aggressive with submissions, but she leaves herself in bad spots and it results in giving away rounds. As long as Carnelossi can avoid getting submitted, she should have no problem taking a decision in this fight. Carnelossi by decision is currently +390 which is really good value and something I suggest playing in this spot.
Batgerel vs Natividad does not go to decision +115