NBA Trends and Line Movement (4/23)
The new Bet Karma NBA Trends page is designed to show the line movement in team totals, the spread, and game totals. Each section features the opening number, live number, and difference between the two. The movement is taken from the DraftKings Sportsbook.
In this article, I’ll break down the movement from one game with a corresponding player prop bet from our Prop Predictor. All of our player props can be found on the Live Odds page by clicking “view props” for each game.
The Brooklyn Nets opened as -4.5 point home favorites against the Boston Celtics tonight. The line shifted slightly toward Brooklyn throughout the day, as they are now -5 point favorites. The game total opened at 229.5 points, dropping to 226.5 thus far. The Celtics team total dipped from 112.5 to 110.75, while the Nets moved from 117 to 115.75.
Both teams have been relatively neutral against the spread (ATS) this season. Boston’s covered in 50% of their games, while Brooklyn’s covered in 49.1% of theirs. The Nets have been slightly worse at home, where they own a 14-16 ATS record. The Celtics have struggled on the road, though, posting a 13-16 ATS record.
Brooklyn’s found the over more often than not this season, hitting it in 59.3% of their games. Boston leans slightly toward the under, finding it in 50.8% of their contests. The Nets enter this game with a 17-13 home over/under record, while the Celtics have recorded a 17-12 over/under record on the road.
This game boasts one prop that stands above the rest. Joe Harris’ rebounding total is set at 3.5. He owns a 4.3 Karma Projection, though, and the difference gives the over an A Karma Grade.
You can view all of our player props for this game by clicking here.
Harris is averaging 3.6 rebounds in 30.5 minutes per game through 59 contests this season. He’s averaging only 2.3 rebounds in 30.4 minutes per game over the last 10 days. He’s posted 4+ rebounds in 5 of his last 10 games, although he’s done so in only 1 of his last 6 contests.
With that being said, Brooklyn will be without James Harden and Kevin Durant tonight. Harris will continue to see 30+ minutes, but he could find more rebounding opportunities, leading to the over.
Not sure where to bet? Check out all of the available options for your state by clicking here.