Joey's NBA Prop Bets Wednesday 04/28/21
What’s up Karma Nation! Welcome to another edition of my prop bets. In this article, I will be outlining my favorite prop bet of the day. To find my other prop bets and all of the other staff’s favorite bets, make sure to sign up for the Premium package.
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Season: 98-95 +5.00 Units
All Prop lines are based on DraftKings Sportsbook. Lines may vary based on the time you are reading this or if you are using a different sportsbook.
Tyrese Haliburton Over 6.5 assists (-127) 1.27 units to win 1 unit: Let's go right back to Haliburton as we did from Monday's article. Without Fox, Haliburton should consistently be at 7.5 assists at this point. Haliburton has excelled in the absence of De'Aaron Fox. Over three games, he has at least 7 assists and a 25% usage rate. This is accompanied by averaging 9 assists per 36 minutes, a number he has reached in his previous two starts. Tonight the Kings will be without another playmaker, Harison Barnes. In 83 minutes this season, Haliburton is averaging 8.25 assists per 36 minutes and a 29% usage rate with Fox, Barnes, and Bagley off the floor. This shows that he does not need Barnes' scoring to help him reach his over. To top this off, Haliburton is averaging 14.5 potential assists over those games as well. Making him a prime candidate for 7+ assists.
The one downside to this play is the matchup. The Jazz have been a formidable defense all year and are coming off two back-to-back losses to the worst team in the league, the Timberwolves. This should give the Jazz a little more motivation to play harder while trying to secure home-court advantage throughout the playoffs. Although, the Jazz will be without Mike Conley tonight. This could lead to a potential uptick in scoring for the game. We don't have a ton of data on their defense without Conley and Mitchell but in one game against the Lebron and Davisless Lakers, they surrendered an 118.3 defensive rating. As well as, giving up a 116.2 defensive rating in two games last season without the two.