NBA Trends and Line Movement (5/6)
The new Bet Karma NBA Trends page is designed to show the line movement in team totals, spreads, and game totals. Each section features the opening number, live number, and difference between the two. The movement is taken from the DraftKings Sportsbook.
In this article, I’ll break down the movement from one game with a corresponding player prop bet from our Prop Predictor. All of our player props can be found on the Live Odds page by clicking “view props” for each game.
The Chicago Bulls opened as 3 point road favorites against the Charlotte Hornets. The line moved 1 point toward Chicago, as they are now 4 point favorites. The game total opened at 219.5 points, dropping to 218.5 throughout the day. The Chicago team total held strong at 111.25 points, while the Hornets dipped from 108.25 to 107.25.
Neither team has been overly successful against the spread (ATS) this season. Charlotte’s covered in 51.6% of their games, while Chicago’s covered in 50.8% of theirs. The Hornets have been better at home, though, where they own a 17-13-1 ATS record. The Bulls have looked outstanding on the road, boasting a 20-13 road ATS record this season.
Both of these teams lean toward the under in their games. Chicago’s found it 52.3% of the time this season, while Charlotte’s hit the under in 56.2% of theirs. The Hornets own a league-best, in terms of the under, 9-21-1 home over/under record. The Bulls bring an 18-15 road over/under record into this game, though.
Our Prop Predictor loves a few bets in this game. Caleb Martin’s rebounding total is set at 3.5 tonight. He owns a Karma Projection of 5.2, though, giving the over an A+ Karma Grade.
You can view all of our player props for this game by clicking here.
Martin’s averaging 2.8 rebounds in only 15 minutes per game through 48 contests this season. He hasn’t been playing big minutes recently, leaving his totals a bit low in recent games. Still, he’s posted 4+ rebounds in 5 of his last 7 games with 20+ minutes.
With Devonte’ Graham, Miles Bridges, Cody Martin, and Gordon Hayward out tonight, Caleb Martin is expected to see 30+ minutes. He’s a solid rebounding option and our Prop Predictors favorite bet of the game.
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