MLB Trends and Line Movement (5/8)
The Bet Karma MLB Trends page is designed to show the line movement in team totals, the moneyline, and game totals. Each section features the opening number, live number, and difference between the two. The movement is taken from the DraftKings Sportsbook.
In this article, I’ll break down the line movement from one game with a corresponding player prop bet from our Prop Predictor. All of our player props can be found on the Live Odds page by clicking “view props” for each game.
The Chicago White Sox opened as -190 road favorites against the Kansas City Royals. The line shifted toward Kansas City thus far, as Chicago is currently a -175 favorite. The game total opened at 9 runs, staying there throughout the day. The White Sox team total decreased from 5.9 to 5.7, while the Royals increased from 3.5 to 3.6.
Both of these teams have been neutral in terms of the run line. Chicago’s covered it in 50% of their games, while Kansas City’s covered it in 51.6% of theirs. The Royals have struggled a bit at home, where they own an 8-10 run line record. The White Sox are slightly better on the road, posting an 8-7 road run line record.
Each of these teams leans toward the under this season. Chicago’s hit the under in 56.7% of their games, while Kansas City’s found it in 55.2% of theirs. The Royals enter this game with a 9-8-1 home over/under record, though. The White Sox own a 7-8 road over/under record thus far.
There are a few solid props in this game, according to our Prop Predictor. One sticks out above the rest, though. Nick Madrigal’s hit total is set at 0.5 with heavy juice on the over. He boasts a 1.3 Karma Projection, though, giving the over an A- Karma Grade.
You can view all of our player props for this game by clicking here.
Madrigal’s looked outstanding this season, hitting for a .301 average. He also boasts a .325 average over his last 10 games. Overall, Madrigal owns 28 hits over 26 games thus far. He’s posted at least 1 hit in 8 of his last 10 games, as well.
Madrigal gets a plus matchup against Daniel Lynch tonight. Lynch struggled in his only start in the Majors, and there’s little reason to believe he’ll find early success this season. Madrigal’s a consistent option, who our Prop Predictor loves tonight.
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