Joey's NBA Playoff Props Wednesday 05/26/2021
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Season: 107-101 +8.22 Units
Playoff Free Plays: 2-0 +2.00 Units
All Prop lines are based on DraftKings Sportsbook. Lines may vary based on the time you are reading this or if you are using a different sportsbook.
Joel Embiid Over 32.5 Points -112 1.12 units to win 1 unit: Embiid is an undisputed top two center in the league. It is crazy to think that in today's NBA that two of the top three MVP finalists are centers. Embiid averaged 32.5 PPG and went over this total in 58% of games this season where he played over 30 minutes; 31 out of 51 games he played. The NBA has been so volatile with blowouts that I try to ignore the games where he played fewer than 30 minutes because obviously if the minutes aren't there he has to play extremely efficiently to go over a total this high. In the other 20 games, he was active and played fewer than 30 minutes, he averaged 22.2 PPG and went over this total in just three games. A perfect example of this was in game one. He only played 29 minutes and scored 30 points. He got into early foul trouble leading to 11 first-half minutes. Two things stand out to me after watching this game, the Wizards refused to attack the basket to get Embiid that fourth foul early in the third and the Wizard had no answer for him on the defensive end. So I am not expecting Embiid to get into any foul trouble again tonight, leading to potentially 35+ minutes, which is what he averaged last season in their playoff series against Boston.
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