MLB Trends and Line Movement (5/31)
The Bet Karma MLB Trends page is designed to show the line movement in team totals, the moneyline, and game totals. Each section features the opening number, live number, and difference between the two. The movement is taken from the DraftKings Sportsbook.
In this article, I’ll break down the line movement from one game with a corresponding player prop bet from our Prop Predictor. All of our player props can be found on the Live Odds page by clicking “view props” for each game.
The Los Angeles Dodgers opened as -177 home favorites against the St. Louis Cardinals. The line’s shifted drastically, as Los Angeles is now a -200 favorite. The game total opened at 6.5 runs, increasing to 7 thus far. The Cardinals team total hasn’t moved at 2.6 runs, while the Dodgers jumped from 4.2 to 4.7.
St. Louis one of the best teams in the MLB in terms of the run line, covering it in 58.5% of their games. Los Angeles hasn’t found as much success, covering it in only 45.3% of theirs. The Dodgers are slightly better at home, where they boast a 13-13 run line record this season. The Cardinals enter this game with a 17-11 road run line record, though.
Los Angeles has found the over in 53.8% of their games in 2021. St. Louis is slightly more neutral, hitting the over in 51% of their contests thus far. At home, the Dodgers own a 14-11-1 over/under record. The Cardinals quietly bring a 15-11-2 road over/under record into this game.
There are a few bets our Prop Predictor likes in this game. Tommy Edman’s hit total is set at 0.5 with wide odds on the over. He owns a 1.18 Karma Projection tonight, giving the over a B+ Karma Grade.
You can view all of our player props for this game by clicking here.
Edman’s performed well for St. Louis this season. He’s hitting for a .277 average with 59 hits over 52 games this season. Edman’s cooled off a bit recently, posting a .256 average with 10 hits over his last 10 games. Overall, he’s recorded at least 1 hit in 8 of those 10 games.
Edman gets a terrible matchup against Trevor Bauer, who’s holding left-handed batters to a .153 average this season. With that being said, he’s expected to lead off for the Cardinals, giving him ample opportunities to find a hit. He’s been a consistent option this season and is our Prop Predictor’s favorite bet of the game.
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