Joey's NBA Playoff Props Tuesday 06/08/2021
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Season: 110-105 +6.80 Units
Playoff Free Plays: 5-4 +0.70 Units
All Prop lines are based on DraftKings Sportsbook. Lines may vary based on the time you are reading this or if you are using a different sportsbook.
Joe Ingles Over 10.5 Points -110 1.10 units to win 1 unit: Ingles' role always expands with the absence of Mke Conley. In the previous 20 games without Mike Conley, Ingles has double-digit scoring in all but three of those games. Over the course of the whole season, Ingels is averaging 10.4 PPG with Conley and 15.8 PPG without Conley. This is evident with his increase from 7.3 FGA to 10.8 FGA per game. His usage rate also jumps from 15% to 19.5%. This is all a simple case of more minutes and more usage leads to more points.
Also taking a look over the last three months, Ingles has played 81 minutes with Conley off the floor and Mitchell, O'Neale, and Gobert on the floor with him. He is averaging 23 points per 36 minutes and 5.33 3s per 36s minutes as well. While I am expecting those numbers to go down a little. It is not enough to warrant such a low number.