MLB Trends and Line Movement (6/11)
The Bet Karma MLB Trends page is designed to show the line movement in team totals, the moneyline, and game totals. Each section features the opening number, live number, and difference between the two. The movement is taken from the DraftKings Sportsbook.
In this article, I’ll break down the line movement from one game with a corresponding player prop bet from our Prop Predictor. All of our player props can be found on the Live Odds page by clicking “view props” for each game.
The Cleveland Indians opened as -162 home favorites against the Seattle Mariners. The line has grown a bit throughout the day, as they are now -175 favorites. The game total opened at 8.5 runs, increasing to 9 thus far. The Mariners team total moved from 3.6 to 3.7, while the Indians team total jumped from 5.3 to 5.7.
Both of these teams have found success in terms of the run line this season. Seattle’s covered it in 54.7% of their games, while Cleveland’s covered it in 52.5% of theirs. The Indians have struggled at home, where they own a 12-14 run line record. The Mariners quietly own an 18-15 road run line record this season.
Seattle’s been a neutral team in terms of the game total, finding the over in 50.8% of their games. Cleveland leans more toward the over, hitting it in 56.1% of their contests in 2021. The Indians enter this game with a 14-11-1 home over/under record. The Mariners boast a 20-12-1 road over/under record, as well.
This game features a few solid bets, according to our Prop Predictor. Amed Rosario’s hit total is set at 0.5 with significant juice on the over. He boasts a 1.06 Karma Projection, though, giving the over a B Karma Grade.
You can view all of our player props for this game by clicking here.
Rosario’s seen mixed results this season, posting a.256 average thus far. He boasts 46 hits through 52 games. Rosario’s caught fire recently, though, posting a .316 average with 12 hits over his last 10 games. He owns at least 1 hit in 9 of those 10 games.
Rosario gets an interesting matchup against Justin Dunn tonight. Dunn’s held right-handed batters to a .181 average, although he’s due for quite a bit of regression. Rosario’s expected to hit second in the Cleveland lineup, giving him ample opportunities to find the over, as well.
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