MLB Trends and Line Movement (6/12)
The Bet Karma MLB Trends page is designed to show the line movement in team totals, the moneyline, and game totals. Each section features the opening number, live number, and difference between the two. The movement is taken from the DraftKings Sportsbook.
In this article, I’ll break down the line movement from one game with a corresponding player prop bet from our Prop Predictor. All of our player props can be found on the Live Odds page by clicking “view props” for each game.
The Los Angeles Dodgers opened as -360 home favorites against the Texas Rangers. The line’s shifted drastically toward Texas, as Los Angeles is now a -286 favorite. The game total opened at 7.5 runs and hasn’t moved throughout the day. The Rangers team total increased from 1.9 to 2.2, while the Dodgers team total dipped from 5.9 to 5.6.
Both of these teams have struggled a bit in terms of the run line. Texas has covered it in 50% of their games, while Los Angeles has covered it in only 47.6% of theirs. The Dodgers have been significantly better at home, though, where they own a 16-14 run line record. The Rangers have been better on the road, bringing an 18-15 road run line record into this game.
These teams are opposites in terms of the game total this season. Los Angeles has hit the over in 54.8% of their games, while Texas has found the under in 53.2% of theirs. The Dodgers also own a 17-12-1 home over/under record this season. Texas enters this game with a 17-15-1 road over/under record, as well.
This game has a few solid bets, according to our Prop Predictor. Mookie Betts’ hit total is set at 0.5 with significant juice on the over. He boasts a 1.06 Karma Projection, giving the over a B Karma Grade.
You can view all of our player props for this game by clicking here.
Betts has struggled a bit this season, posting a .251 average this season. He boasts 53 hits in 53 games thus far. Betts has been playing better recently, recording a .275 average with 11 hits over his last 10 games. He owns at least 1 hit in 7 of his last 10 games.
Betts gets an interesting matchup against Kolby Allard tonight. Although Allard’s thrown well this season, he’s allowing right-handed batters to hit for a .240 average. The odds are wide, but Betts’ over on his hit total is our Prop Predictors’ favorite bet of the game.
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