MLB Trends and Line Movement (6/14)
The Bet Karma MLB Trends page is designed to show the line movement in team totals, the moneyline, and game totals. Each section features the opening number, live number, and difference between the two. The movement is taken from the DraftKings Sportsbook.
In this article, I’ll break down the line movement from one game with a corresponding player prop bet from our Prop Predictor. All of our player props can be found on the Live Odds page by clicking “view props” for each game.
The Chicago White Sox opened as -113 home favorites against the Tampa Bay Rays. The line has flipped, though, as Tampa Bay is now the -113 favorite. The game total opened at 7.5 runs, dropping to 7 throughout the day. The Rays team total dipped from 3.8 to 3.7, while the White Sox team total decreased from 4 to 3.6.
These teams are two of the best in the MLB in terms of the run line. Tampa Bay’s covered the run line in 63.6% of their games, while Chicago’s covered it in 58.5% of theirs. The White Sox have found plenty of success at home, where they boast a 21-15 run line record this season. With that being said, the Rays boast a league-best 25-8 road run line record in 2021.
These teams are opposites in terms of the game total. Tampa Bay’s hit the over in 57.8% of their games, while Chicago’s found the under in 57.8% of their contests. The White Sox enter this game with a 12-23-1 home over/under record. The Rays, on the other hand, bring a 22-10-1 road over/under record into this game.
There are a few solid bets in this game, according to our Prop Predictor. Tim Anderson’s hit total sits at 0.5 with significant juice on the over. He boasts a Karma Projection of 1.25, though, giving the over a B+ Karma Grade.
You can view all of our player props for this game by clicking here.
Anderson’s been enjoying an outstanding season, posting a .303 average thus far. He owns 63 hits in only 50 games. Anderson’s been playing at a high level recently, as well, recording a .341 average with 14 hits over his last 10 games. He boasts at least 1 hit in 8 of those 10 games.
Anderson gets a tough matchup against Tyler Glasnow tonight. The Rays ace is holding right-handed batters to a .210 average this season. With that being said, Anderson is expected to lead off for Chicago, and he’s our Prop Predictors’ favorite bet of the game.
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