Joey's NBA Playoff Props Tuesday 06/15/2021
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Season: 113-106 +8.70 Units
Playoff Free Plays: 8-5 +2.70 Units
All Prop lines are based on DraftKings Sportsbook. Lines may vary based on the time you are reading this or if you are using a different sportsbook.
Khris Middleton Under 34.5 Points+Rebounds+Assists -104 1.04 units to win 1 unit: Middleton has had back-to-back fantastic games for the Bucks as they find themselves tied 2-2 and what looks like to be in the driver's seat for the remainder of this series against the Nets. What looked to be a potential sweep for the Nets when they left Brooklyn with a 2-0 lead, has turned into a complete 360. With Irving hurt and Harden trying to force his way back, the Bucks could end up ending this series on a 4 game winning streak.
Middleton is averaging 33 P/R/A during this series, these numbers include; 30, 23, 51, and 31. As you can see, there was one outlier in this series which was the only game where he went over this total. He is someone that doesn't really wow you with his peripherals. From time to time, you will see him have those ceiling rebound games but other than that never really see a peak in assists. His eight assists last game is the most this postseason. With Holiday playing so poorly we have seen Middleton try to step into a bigger ball-handling role. Neither of his rebounding or assisting numbers are too sustainable to hit this over without a huge scoring outburst for Middleton. Which being back on the road I doubt we see tonight. As well as, there is some blowout risk that could lead to fewer minutes for him. Even though there is only a 4 point spread and Harden is predicted back, doesn't mean the Bucks won't handle business again like we saw after Kyrie got hurt.