Joey's MLB Prop Bets Friday 08/06/21

What is up Karma Nation! Welcome back to another edition of my MLB Prop Bets article! Today we will be diving into my favorite MLB prop for tonight’s slate of games. I like to start my research off by comparing our projections portal to the books to find the biggest edge. Then I dig deeper into the props that the data loves and find the biggest edge. Make sure you are checking the projections portal daily to find the biggest edges in DFS and betting. Get it FREE while it lasts because it won’t be free for much longer.

As always, to find all of the other staff’s favorite bets make sure to sign up for the Premium package. All prop lines are based on DraftKings Sportsbook. Join today and get a bonus deposit match of up to $1,000! Lines may vary based on the time you are reading this or if you are using a different sportsbook. Check out where to bet to find other sportsbooks in your state. Let's dive in. 

 

 

Ryan Weathers UNDER 3.5 Ks +120 1 unit to win 1.20 units:

In Weathers' first season as a pro, he has not jumped off the page as an amazing strikeout pitcher, but he gets the job done. He has a career 4-3 record and 2-2 as a starter. He only has a 17.5% K% and has not performed well against this team in the two matchups earlier in the season. Although, in two games he has not pitched against the Diamondbacks as a traditional starter. In one game he only pitched the first inning and in the other game, he pitched 3 innings to close the game. He normally sees around 70+ pitches a game if he can get something going, they will even stretch him out to the upper 80s. His best strikeout games are obviously when he pitches towards his ceiling innings’ numbers. Unfortunately, Weathers is seeing one of the tougher matchups in the league but that just means we can take advantage of his under. The Diamondbacks don’t really strike out much. Although, on the season the Diamondbacks are a middle-of-the-road team for strikeouts this lineup that they have been rolling out recently is not. On the season the Diamondbacks have a 23% K%, while the projected lineup for tonight has a combined K% of 20%. The main issue is the back of their lineup is atrocious, both giving up upwards of a K% over 30%. As long as the front of the lineup takes care of business, he should have no issue going under tonight and we get plus money on this bet.