Joey's MLB Pitching Prop Bets Tuesday 08/24/21
What is up Karma Nation! Welcome back to another edition of my MLB Pitching Props Article. Last week our prop fell short attacking Sam Hentges over 3.5 Ks for +115 against the Angels. Even though he made it to 4 innings as I projected, he did not make it to 4 Ks. As always, I start my research out by checking the FREE Projections Portal on DFSkarma.com. This is one of the best FREE tools on the market to help with not only DFS but player props as well. For tonight’s prop, we will be traveling to Boston where the Red Sox take on the Twins at home. This will be a battle between Tanner Houck and Griffin Jax.
Taking a look at the Props comparison tool at Betkarma.com, the books don’t really know how to project Tanner Houck. The values are ranging from 4.5 Ks to 6.5 Ks, which most likely means we will see him fall between 5 and 6 Ks. This is where the props comparison tool comes in handy. You have so many options to pick between books might as well stop by Betkarma so we can do the dirty work for you. Place this bet on DKSB by clicking HERE and get a $1,000 sign-up bonus. Lines may vary based on the time you are reading this or if you are using a different sportsbook. Check out where to bet to find other sportsbooks in your state. Let's dive in.
Just in his second season in the majors, the young pitcher from Missouri has had his ups and downs this season. As a starter, he has five games of 6+ Ks and two games of 2 Ks. In each of those two K games, he failed to surpass 60 pitches. Although, he has pitched for 74 or more in his other five starts. As well as, never going over five innings in any of his starts. Unfortunately, he has yet to record a win this season. He has looked fantastic when he is on though. He has a 12.25 K/9 this season, ranking him second best in the league if he was a qualified pitcher. For reference, Corbin Burnes has a league-best 12.40 K/9 followed by Max Scherzer with 12.11.
Houck is a 31% K% pitcher going up against a team with a 22% K%. So, a high K% guy going into a tough matchup. One thing I have noticed is Tanner Houck is much better going up against righties compared to lefties. Houck has an elite 38.5% K% against righties, while only a 24.5% K% against lefties. Still a good number. Righties are who the leftie is going to have to target tonight even though the Twins lineup isn’t heavy with righties. The Twins will be featuring five righties in their starting lineup, all but one has a K% over 30% against lefties and a combined k% of 32%. The flip side of the plate is where he may struggle. Twins’ lefties have a combined 20% K% against lefties with two batters with a K% of 27% or more. This means there is still a path to success tonight but with a few batters he just does not have a very good chance of striking out and that is ok. With the sheer number of batters that struggle against lefties that should be enough for Tanner Houck to go over tonight.