Manav's US OPEN Day 1 Best Bets
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Manav's US OPEN Day 1 Best Bets

Manav Mehta
08-29-2021

♦ Hello Everyone ♦

 

For tennis I try to take into account many different factors such as handedness, type of court, head to head, and current form. Through these I try to find the best available plays for each given night. I will be posting two single plays every single night and recommend you only play 1 unit per bet. 

If you have any questions with units and bankroll management check out Bet Karma as we have plenty of content for you.

All odds in this site are shown from DraftKings Sportsbook

 

Cem Ilkel +5.5 Games 2.4U to win (-120) to profit 2 Unit 

My first play starts at 2:15 PM Est so make sure to get this in before then. We bet on Cem last week also in qualifying and I still think the bookies are undervaluing him giving him these many games. Cem on hardcourt in the past 6 months is 8-3 and has been grinding the challengers. I think his game fits this surface better than Molcan who is more of a clay court player. This is my most confident play and that's why I am risking 2U.

 

 Zapata Mirallas ML 1.45U to win (-145) to profit 1 Unit

My second play starts at 11: Am Est so make sure to get this in before then. ZM is way better than Feli this year. He has been grinding the hard courts trying to better his game on this surface. He is 5-3 on this surface in the last six months compared to Feli who is 3-7. Also his first service is what will win him this match. He gets 63 percent of his first serves in compared to Feli who only gets 48 percent of first serves in. This will be the key factor and push him over the edge in this one.

 

Thiago Monteiro +5.5 Games 1.1U to win (-110) to profit 1 Unit 

My third play starts at 11:00 Am Est so make sure to get this in before then. Again the bookies continue to overprice Dan. He has been playing horrible this summer at a 2-7 win loss this summer. Thiago is 2-2 and has been playing well the past few weeks. Yes that's not many matches but we are getting a lot of games to cover. Also in my opinion the hard courts are Thiago's best surface by far. 

 Norbert Gombos +6 Games 1.25U to win (-125) to profit 1 Unit

My second play starts at 5:00 Am Est so make sure to get this in before then. First things first both of these guys suck on hard courts. This year Gombos is 3-10 and Garin is 1-6, so essentially they both can’t win on this surface. The bookies are making Garin a 6 game favorite when he has won one match on hard. Makes no sense to me. This is more of a fade Garin play than me liking Gombos. Gombos has played well in the past , he just needs to keep his focus all match and he will cover this spread. 

 

Follow Manav on twitter @ManavsFades

 

 


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