Joey's MLB Pitching Prop Bets Friday 10/22/21
What is up Karma Nation! Welcome back to another edition of my MLB Pitching Props Article. Last week we were a game too early on Framber Valdez. The day we bet on him he pitched 2.2 innings for only 2 Ks. The following game he pitched on the 20th, he went for 8.0 innings and 5 Ks. We were on the right play just a game too early. Let’s see what edge we can find tonight. As always, I start my research out by checking the FREE Projections Portal on DFSkarma.com. This is one of the best FREE tools on the market to help with not only DFS but player props as well. Although, if you are looking for ease of mind to have us compare the books to our projections check out our premium tools. Tonight, I will be targeting a pitcher’s under pitching outs at home. This will be a battle between rookie Luis Garcia and Vet Nathan Eovaldi in game six of the ALCS in Houston as the Red Sox look to tie the series down 3-2 on the road.
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The Houston Astros will be starting struggling and slightly injured rookie pitcher, Luis Garcia, as they try to finish the series on the home field. They are up 3-2 and at home so you know they don’t want to push it one more game and risk elimination. Unlike other sports, Houston finishes the series with two home games as they format it 2 home 3 away, and back to 2 at home. Unlike in the NBA, where they play 2-2-1-1-1.
Garcia has struggled these playoffs, never making it to the third inning. In game two of the series, Garcia only played one inning and pitched 33 times. You do not want to start a game pitching 33 times in the first inning. Although, the main reason Garcia’s time at the mound was cut short was due to right knee discomfort. If his knee is still bothering him tonight, which it appears still is, look for a potential short stint from the rookie.
During the regular season, the Astros were able to rely on Garcia to go pretty far in games. He pitched for 5 or more innings in 22 of 30 games this season, extending his pitch count way over 70 in all but three games. So it may come as a surprise that he has struggled in the playoffs. This really shouldn’t struggle most now that we know he is pitching through an injury. So, combine him dealing with an injury with the inexperience of a playoff environment leading to a short leash and low pitch count. I expect another low pitch count game as Boston will look to get to the young pitcher early and often.
Luis Garcia Under 13.5 outs - 140 1.40 units to win 1.00 unit: