Florida vs Florida State Best Bet In College Basketball

On Sunday at 1 o'clock EST as seven NFL games are kicking off, I'll be tuned into a college basketball game between in-state rivals Florida and Florida State.  My college basketball bets have been on fire to start the season, hitting at a 78% win rate of 14-4 +9.18 units going into the Saturday late night heavyweight matchup between Gonzaga and Texas. You can get all my college hoops bets for FREE in the discord chat channel HERE!  While you're at it, make sure to sign up for the Bet Karma premium package to utilize the industry leading NFL prop predictor tool!

 

I really like the Seminoles this season, enough to make Florida State my pick to win the ACC regular season championship. This year's squad pairs Anthony Polite, who is ready to break out in his senior season, with last year's AAC preseason player of the year Caleb Mills.  The team overall follows the Leonard Hamilton blue print: lengthy, athletic defenders that try to force opposing teams into isolation offense, with some talented young freshmen and 7-foot trees to plant in the paint.
 

It's this defensive recipe that makes me love Florida State in the annual matchup with Florida. Year in, year out, Florida State forces turnovers and gains extra possessions by dominating the offensive glass.  Those are two weaknesses Mike White's Gators typically struggle with. Last season Florida ranked 290th in turnovers and 275th in opponent offensive rebound rate, per kenpom. If the Gators continue to reflect anywhere near those levels, the 'Noles should have a field day.

 

Simply put, Leonard Hamilton owns Mike White. Hamilton's Florida State teams have beaten Florida in 7 straight games. I have no reason to believe that trend will change this weekend. 
 

Best Bet: Florida State +1.5 -105 @ Florida for 2 units

Odds via FanDuel Sportsbook

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