Brandin Cooks vs Seattle Seahawks: NFL Prop Predictor (Week 14)
What is up Karma Nation! Welcome back to another week of my NFL Prop Ticket Article this week. In this article, I will break down my top 5 props of the week. We have an exciting week 14 on our hands. There is plenty of solid matchups and mispriced props this week to take advantage of including Justin Jefferson vs Detroit Lions. To gain access to the rest of my prop bets join our discord for FREE. We continue in the sweet spot of prop betting outside of dealing with the bye weeks. I can’t believe it is already week 13 of the NFL season and we are coming to the end of the regular season. The good news, there is still money to be made all the way through the playoffs. On top of my free play, click the link to get access to all our premium tools on our site. Top props have been fantastic this year. If you locked in all the A- or better props you would be up 10.73 units if you bet one unit on plus money props and to win one unit on minus money props. It has a record of 228-197 (53.6% hit rate).
Brandin Cooks vs Seattle Seahawks:
Brandin Cooks Over 4.5 Rec -130 1.30u tw 1u:
Cooks has seen his production decrease in recent weeks since Tyrod has returned to the line mainly due to how bad his performances have been since returning from injury. One of the most important parts of prop betting is to get the best value for your bets. Taking a look at one of our free tools below you can compare across all books to find the best value for your bet.
Now let’s dig into why I love this prop. The Texans have finally moved on from Tyrod Taylor and have focused their energy on the future by starting third-round rookie Davis Mills again. This should improve Cooks’ performance in the passing game drastically. Cooks is averaging 6.13 receptions per game with Mills and only 4 receptions with Tyrod as his QB this season. This comes with only a small boost from 7.25 targets per game to 8.6 targets per game. Basically, the offense just runs a lot smoother with Mills under center compared to Tyrod under center.
On top of the QB change, he also gets a positive matchup against the poor Seattle secondary. One of the reasons I chose receptions over yards for Cooks is that the Seattle Seahawks give up the second-most completions per game in the NFL this season. They train only the Tampa Bay Buccaneers who allow 27.2 completions per game. This should help lead Cooks to the over this week as the high completions allow should catapult his 7th best 27.5% target share to an easy over this week.
Prizepicks has him at 4.5 Rec Yards
Mike Williams vs New York Giants
Mike Williams Over 65.5 Rec Yards -115 1.15u tw 1u:
I never really have much faith in my Los Angeles Chargers to do well for me but they are going up against the New York Giants this week so I have to believe they will come to bat for me. Mike Williams’ volume has been extremely consistent for them this season. Here is another example of shopping lines on our props comparison tool which is more prevalent than a reception prop because books will always have a wide range of yards props.
The Chargers will be without their star slot WR Keenan Allen this week so that leaves Mike Williams alone in this offense to perform to the best of his abilities to help propel this team over the New York Giants. Mike Williams seemed to be breaking out this season but there comes games where the Chargers just refuse to use him.
An interesting trend with Williams this season. The Los Angeles Chargers are 7-5. In those seven wins, Williams is averaging 92.1 yards and 5.1 receptions on 10.93 targets per game. In those five losses, he is averaging 41.8 yards, 3.8 receptions on 6.15 targets. The Chargers come in as 10-point favorites this week so I am expecting them to get Williams involved early and often this week en route to victory.
Prizepicks has him at 60.5 Rec Yards
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