Week 13 ATS Confidence Ranks
Corey
12-04-2020
Corey
12-04-2020
Each week of the NFL season I will assign confidence ranks to all Sunday and Monday games against the spread. When there are 15 games, I will rank each game from 1 to 15. Number 1 represents my most confident spread selection, while 15 represents my least confident. The confidence ranks do not necessarily represent how I am distributing my bets.
Note: These are not the extent of handicaps, so keep an eye out on twitter and discord to see all my takes. Some of these selections were made earlier in the week and the line posted may no longer be available. Make sure to sign-up for the Bet Karma NFL Premium package to get exclusive access to our market-beating picks, props, and daily fantasy plays delivered in real-time and posted in our premium Discord channel. And as always, find me on twitter @PICKSwCLARS24 for all the fun and profit!
Season Recap (84-65-3)
#1 ATS: 5-6
#2 ATS: 5-6
#3 ATS: 5-5-1
#4 ATS: 7-3-1
#5 ATS: 8-3
#6 ATS: 8-3
#7 ATS: 4-7
#8 ATS: 6-5
#9 ATS: 5-6
#10 ATS: 7-4
#11 ATS: 5-6
#12 ATS: 8-3
#13 ATS: 6-5
#14 ATS: 4-1-1
#15 ATS: 1-2
I have included DVOA comparisons for each and every matchup this week. DVOA measures a team's efficiency by comparing success on every single play to a league average based on situation and opponent. Each statistic is ranked 1 to 32 for the 32 teams in the NFL, with 1 being the best, and 32 being the worst. I created an offensive grade that I give them based on each of the individual matchups pictured. This is something I love to look at on a week-to-week basis in regards to how the teams stack up vs. one another. But as always, there is a lot more that goes into my selection of games from week-to-week than just these rankings.
#1 ATS Selection: Los Angeles Rams -2.5
#2 ATS Selection: New York Jets +8.5
#3 ATS Selection: Indianapolis Colts -3
#4 ATS Selection: Denver Broncos +14
#5 ATS Selection: Pittsburgh Steelers -7
#6 ATS Selection: Buffalo Bills +1
#7 ATS Selection: Philadelphia Eagles +8.5
#8 ATS Selection: New Orleans Saints -2.5
#9 ATS Selection: Seattle Seahawks -10
#10 ATS Selection: Chicago Bears -3
#11 ATS Selection: Minnesota Vikings -10
#12 ATS Selection: Los Angeles Chargers PK
#13 ATS Selection: Cleveland Browns +5.5
#14 ATS Selection: Miami Dolphins -11
#15 ATS Selection: Baltimore Ravens -7
Remember to sign-up for the Bet Karma NFL Premium package to get exclusive access to our market-beating, competitor-crushing managed Sportfolio picks ????, delivered in real-time and posted in our premium Discord channel. Be sure to also listen to The Sports Trading Desk Podcast ???? on iTunes and Stitcher each week to hear our most salient handicaps, market insights, and Sportfolio performance breakdowns ????. Follow Brett (@nonrandomalpha), Zach (@betkarmazach) and Corey (@PICKSwCLARS24) on Twitter ???? to catch their latest musings, actionable intel, and sardonic commentaries - you might even find a free premium play or two ????????
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