Steven's PGA Bets: WGC Workday Championship
An exciting end to the Genesis invitational saw Max Homa beat Tony Finau in a two hole playoff. This included Homa missing a three-foot putt for birdie and the win on 18 and then hitting a miraculous second shot on the first playoff hole before making par on the second hole and beating Finau.
I hope you jumped on our call to bet Homa with a Top 5 finish at +1100 plus AC’s call in the Premium Discord Golf Channel to take Homa outright at 60-1. Some premium members bet Homa at 65-1 as well and printed some cash! Let’s turn our attention to the WGC Workday Championship this week.
Course: The Concession Golf Club
Length: 7,425 yards, Par 72
Field: 72 Golfers, no cut
Defending Champion: Patrick Reed
Purse: $10.5 Million
FedEx Cup Points: 550 Points to the Winner
Key Stats to Consider: SG Approach, Opportunities Gained, Bogey Avoidance, SG Par 5s, SG ATG
The California swing of the PGA Tour season is over and, due to COVID, will head to Florida rather than Mexico. The host course will be the Concession Golf Club. There is not much course history to be found for any of these players at Concession as there are no result records on the PGA Tour website and this course has not played host to this tournament or any other PGA event in quite some time.
Collin Morikawa | Outright +4650 (1 Unit)
Morikawa’s approach game is going to help him this week at the WGC. He is 7th in my model and is currently 1st in SG Approach over the last 50 rounds. He putted horrendously last week—if he can turn it around, even slightly, then he should be competitive this week and have a chance on Sunday. His proximity and SG ARG are also elite.
Cam Smith | Outright +6000 (1 Unit), Top 10 +350 (1 Unit)
I placed a bet on him earlier this week for the Masters and will double down on him to win this week. He looked good at Genesis last week and has been playing well in Europe recently. He ranks 10th in my model and is Top 20 in three of the five key stats that I am looking at this week. He takes advantage of Par 5s which is going to play a factor this week as many of the Par 3s measure well over 200 yards and will likely be played over par. He has some momentum after last week and look for him to keep it going this week
Other Outright Bets: Shane Lowry +12500
Sungjaie Im | Top 10 +335 (1 Unit)
Not quite popping in every key stat but still 8th in Bogey Avoidance and Top 20 in SG Approach and SG ARG. He also loves putting on Bermuda and playing in Florida. He won the Honda Classic last year in Palm Beach and is coming off a couple of weeks rest. He should be focused this week.
Will Zalatoris | Top 20 +150 (1 Unit)
Zalatoris has three Top 20 finishes in his last four starts and is in the Top 10 in the field in SG Approach and Proximity over the last 50 rounds. He also ranks 12th in SG Par 5s, which as mentioned earlier, will come into play this week. I’ll take him to finish Top 20 this week.
JT over Hatton -150
Zalatoris over Fitzpatrick -125
Webb over Bryson -105
Xander over DJ +125 (this matchup didn’t work out for me last week but Xander plays well in smaller field/no cut tournaments and I like the plus money)