Steven's PGA Bets: Valero Texas Open
This week’s tournament sports a weaker field as many golfers are preparing for the Master’s next week. Nevertheless, this should still be an entertaining tournament in San Antonio as the Valero Open takes place after a COVID-sabbatical last year.
Course: TPC San Antonio
Length: 7,490 yards
Defending Champion: Corey Conners
Purse: $7.7 Million
FedEx Cup Points: 500 Points to the Winner
Key Stats: SG Approach, Par 5 Scoring, Opportunities Gained, SG OTT, and SG Ball Striking
Ryan Palmer | Outright +2500 (1 Unit), Top 10 +250 (1 Unit)
Going to roll with the guy from my hometown this week, Ryan Palmer. He’s a Texan that ranks 14th in my model overall and 1st in SG Par 5s. His last start was a T-17 at The Players and he also has three Top 6 finishes at this tournament in the last five years (MC last two years). I expect him to play well this week and like his odds at 25/1.
Ryan Moore | Outright +8000 (1 Unit), Top 5 +1400 (1 Unit)
I love Ryan Moore this week. This tournament just feels like the type of tournament where we usually see guys like Ryan Moore play well and compete late in the afternoon on Sunday. He missed the cut at the Honda Classic but did post a T-35 at The Players in a stacked field. This week will be anything but a stacked field. Ranks in the Top 20 in my model and has finished in the Top 10 in the last two years at this tournament.
Other Outright Bet Considerations: Matthew NeSmith (+10000), Luke List (+14000)
Best Finishing Position Group Bets
Ancer over Matsuyama -103
Conners over Scheffler +105
Woodland over Vegas -110
Kirk over Griffin -103
Moore over Huh -109