PGA Expert Picks: Rocket Mortgage Classic
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PGA Expert Picks: Rocket Mortgage Classic

Steven
06-29-2021

Congrats to Harris English winning the Travelers last weekend after an exciting eight hole playoff with Kramer Hickock! Playoffs are always fun to watch and even more exciting when it takes multiple holes and guys grinding out difficult shots to keep their winning hopes alive. Hickock will be a tour winner in the next year or so—very talented and has been improving his play.

 

This week we get a Donald Ross designed golf course this week at the Detroit Golf Club. The Tour has been playing at Pete Dye courses recently so it is a welcomed change. Ross has also designed other courses such as Seminole Golf Club in Florida, Oakland Hills in Michigan, Pinehurst (No. 2) in North Carolina, and Essex County Club in Massachussetts among many others. He is also the designer of this week’s host course, Detroit Golf Club. This course is definitely scoreable as DeChambeau showed us last year. The modern day golfer can make this course play much shorter with the ability to drive the ball long distances. Driving accuracy is not as important this week as the fairways are wider than the Tour average so many shots should be from the short grass. The approach shots will be incoming to larger than Tour average greens as well so GIR is not as important this week. However, because of that, opportunities or birdie or better percentage will be critical and will be heavily factored into my selections and bets this week. If you can’t make a ton of birdies (and a couple of eagles) then you don’t have a chance of posting a good finish here. The course is relatively unchanged so I will also be looking at tournament and course history as well.

Home - Detroit Golf Club

Course: Detroit Golf Club—Detroit, Michigan

Length: 7,370 yards

Par: 72

Greens: Bentgrass/Poa

Defending Champion: Bryson DeChambeau

Purse: $7.5 Million

FedEx Cup Points: 500 Points to the Winner

Key Stats: SG OTT, SG Approach, Par 5 Scoring, Opportunities Gained, BoB Percentage

 

Outright

Steven: Jason Kokrak +2500

Sam: Maverick McNealy +8000


Top 10 Finish

Steven: Sebastian Munoz +800

Sam: Gary Woodland +450


Top 20 Finish

Steven: Martin Laird +500

Sam: Joel Dahmen +335


Longshot Outright

Steven: Lucas Glover +10000

Sam: Cam Davis +15000

 

 

AC's Outright Betting Card

Outright

Will Zalatoris +2500

Jason Kokrak +2500

Jason Day +3500


Longshot Outright Dart Bets

Maverick McNealy +8000

Matt Jones +10000


 

Jason Kokrak | Outright +2500 (1 Unit)

I am looking for guys that can drive the ball, stick it close on approach, and that can score. Kokrak has all of that going and then some. He ranks first in my model this week but he was a guy I was already considering before I ran the numbers. He ranks first in SG Par 5 and BoB Gained. He also ranks inside the Top Ten in SG Approach, SG OTT, and Opportunities Gained. He won just a few weeks ago and I like the way that this course sets up for him. 25-1 odds seem like a steal for a guy of his caliber given the strength of the field. He is going to score on the Par 5s this week which will be critical. He is long OTT and will be able to give himself legitimate eagle opportunities inside of twenty feet on these large greens.

 

Gary Woodland | Top 10 +450 (1 Unit)

Woodland’s performance as of late does not necessarily instill the greatest of confidence in him this week but the numbers and stats do. Gary ranks sixth in my model and is another guy that comes to mind when talking about driving distance and where driving accuracy is not as crucial. He will really be able to let it fly OTT and will have plenty of shots from the fairway where he is an elite ball-striker. I expect his game to start improving and tuning up before The Open that is quickly upcoming and this is the perfect event to do that. He has the distance and approach game to set himself up for numerous birdie and eagle attempts this week.


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