Joey's MLB Pitching Prop Bets Friday 10/08/21

What is up Karma Nation! Welcome back to another edition of my MLB Pitching Props Article. Last week we took the chance on a pitcher who had seen a decrease in his pitch count to end the season for plus odds that did not work out. As always, I start my research out by checking the FREE Projections Portal on DFSkarma.com. This is one of the best FREE tools on the market to help with not only DFS but player props as well.  Although, if you are looking for ease of mind to have us compare the books to our projections check out our premium tools. Tonight’s prop will be targeting a pitcher in his first post-season start as the Rays take on the Red Sox at home. This will be a battle between Shane Baz and Chris Sale.

 

As always, all prop lines are based on DraftKings Sportsbook. Join today and get a bonus deposit match of up to $1,000! Lines may vary based on the time you are reading this or if you are using a different sportsbook. Check out where to bet to find other sportsbooks in your state. 

 

Baz is coming off an amazing rookie campaign where he pitched in three games accumulating 18 strikeouts in 13.1 innings pitched in those games.  As well as getting wins in his first two starts of his career against the Blue Jays and Marlins. Although the Rays did win his third start against the Yankees, he did not record the win because he only pitched 2.2 innings giving up one run and coming out when they were up 3-1. So, you can see why the Rays are relying on a rookie Pitcher to make the start of game two in the ALDS where they find themselves up 1-0 in the series in Tampa Bay.

Baz has looked great in a small sample size during the regular season but that is just it; regular season. He has a fantastic 36.7% k%, this would rank top 10 in the league if he was able to sustain this across 50 innings pitched to qualify with the best. His 12.5 K/9 would rank 20th in the league.

In the first two games of the playoffs, pitchers have not faired well against the JD Martinezless Red Sox. Both Gerrit Cole and Shane McClanahan fell way below their average throwing just 3 strikeouts each. Now it looks like Martinez will play as the manager said there is a “strong possibility” that he will play tonight. This is Boston’s first playoff appearance since 2018 so you know they are trying to make this run count. Boston is not really known for being a high K team. As a team, they rank 20th in k% at 22.6%. This number seems way too high for a rookie making his 4th career start and his first career playoff game.

Shane Baz Under 5.5 Strikeouts -115 1.15 units to win 1 unit: