Welcome in to a new article for 2023...the HR Predictor! This will be a daily article, where I use my own research to highlight a few names I think are in a great position to hit a homerun on each days slate! These are low unit bets -- between 0.1 and 0.3&nbsp;units -- with typically high-odds and we will only need to hit one or two a week to make some money! If you&#39;re interested in all of my MLB betting and prop picks, plus access to our PrizePicks Predictor, you can sign-up by clicking<a href="https://betkarma.com/pricing"> HERE</a>. With that being said, let&#39;s dive in...

UPDATED HR RECORD: 15-47&nbsp;+$315.00

Note: This unit scale is $100 = 1 unit.&nbsp;

*odds via FanDuelSportsbook*

<hr />
<h2>Jorge Soler +320 (0.2u)</h2>

Soler has been a staple bet for everyone against left-handed pitching this season, and he draws another southpaw today in Blake Snell. If you&#39;ve followed my content this season, you know that I&#39;ve been pretty consistently fading Snell. He&#39;s struggled to adapt to the new pitch clock and is walking even more batters than in the past. He&#39;s given up 9 homeruns already this season, seven of which have some against right-handed batters. Soler matches up perfectly with Snell, he hits the ball hard and in the air and is a notoriously good fastball hitter. Snell relies heavily on his fastball, throwing it well over 50% of the time. Soler didn&#39;t do much last night, but this is an even better spot and I&#39;m fine going back to the well on Wednesday.&nbsp;

Written by Ben Hossler (Follow @BenHossler on Twitter)

 Welcome in to a new article for 2023...the HR Predictor! This will be a daily article, where I use my own research to highlight a few names I think are in a great position to hit a homerun on each days slate! These are low unit bets -- between 0.1 a

MLB Betting 5/31/23 - HR Predictor

Welcome in to a new article for 2023...the HR Predictor! This will be a daily article, where I use my own research to highlight a few names I think are in a great position to hit a homerun on each days slate! These are low unit bets -- between 0.1 and 0.3&nbsp;units -- with typically high-odds and we will only need to hit one or two a week to make some money! If you&#39;re interested in all of my MLB betting and prop picks, plus access to our PrizePicks Predictor, you can sign-up by clicking<a href="https://betkarma.com/pricing"> HERE</a>. With that being said, let&#39;s dive in...

UPDATED HR RECORD: 15-46&nbsp;+$335.00

Note: This unit scale is $100 = 1 unit.&nbsp;

*odds via FanDuelSportsbook*

<hr />
<h2>Luis Robert +420</h2>

Robert and the White Sox have an amazing match-up tonight against Tyler Anderson. Anderson was once a solid real-life pitcher, but has fallen off a cliff this season and is allowing a .365 wOBA, .224 ISO and 38% hard-hit rate to right-handed batters. He&#39;s given up seven homeruns this season, six of which have been from right-handed hitters. Luis Robert has had an up-and-down season to date, but he is still arguably the best hitter in this lineup against lefties and matches up very well in terms of pitch mix. Anderson throws mainly fastball/change-up to righties -- with the two pitches accounting for over 80% of his total pitches this season. Robert owns over a .250 ISO against both pitches, including a team-best .368 mark against fastballs. Chicago has one of the larger team-totals on the board today and I think we could see them hit multiple-HR&#39;s on Tuesday evening.&nbsp;

Written by Ben Hossler (Follow @BenHossler on Twitter)

MLB Betting 5/30/23 - HR Predictor

Welcome in to a new article for 2023...the HR Predictor! This will be a daily article, where I use my own research to highlight a few names I think are in a great position to hit a homerun on each days slate! These are low unit bets -- between 0.1 and 0.3&nbsp;units -- with typically high-odds and we will only need to hit one or two a week to make some money! If you&#39;re interested in all of my MLB betting and prop picks, plus access to our PrizePicks Predictor, you can sign-up by clicking<a href="https://betkarma.com/pricing"> HERE</a>. With that being said, let&#39;s dive in...

UPDATED HR RECORD: 15-44&nbsp;+$375.00

Note: This unit scale is $100 = 1 unit.&nbsp;

*odds via FanDuelSportsbook*

<hr />
<h2>Adolis Garcia +370 (0.2u)</h2>

I love this spot for the Texas Rangers today against Matt Boyd. Texas ranks top-three in wRC+, wOBA and OPS against left-handed pitching this season, and has been a nightmare for southpaws to go up against. Futhermore, Matt Boyd has really struggled with right-handed batters. He&#39;s allowing a .345 wOBA and .186 ISO in the split, compared to .238 and .053 marks against lefties. Texas will pile in seven right-handed hitters against him today, and it could be a really tough outing for Boyd. Garcia has as much power as anyone in baseball, and has posted a .213 ISO against lefties since the start of last season. He&#39;s also been seeing the ball well, and ranks top-30 in hard-hit rate over the last 7 days.&nbsp;

<h2>Vinnie Pasquantino +600 (0.2u)</h2>

Anyone that reads my articles knows how much I love Vinnie P and I think he is going to have a monster summer for the Royals. He matches up with Adam Wainwright today, who has been nothing short of a disaster for the Cardinals this season. Waino has pitched to a 7.01 xERA with just 10% strikeouts. He&#39;s getting destroyed by left-handed hitters and Pasquantino happens to be the best lefty in this lineup. He has huge power splits against righties, and matches up well with Wainwright&#39;s pitch mix as well. He&#39;s throwing his curve over 30% of the time to lefties making it his most used pitch -- Vinnie owns a monster .286 ISO and 55% hard-hit rate against the pitch.&nbsp;

Written by Ben Hossler (Follow @BenHossler on Twitter)

MLB Betting 5/29/23 - HR Predictor

Welcome in to a new article for 2023...the HR Predictor! This will be a daily article, where I use my own research to highlight a few names I think are in a great position to hit a homerun on each days slate! These are low unit bets -- between 0.1 and 0.3&nbsp;units -- with typically high-odds and we will only need to hit one or two a week to make some money! If you&#39;re interested in all of my MLB betting and prop picks, plus access to our PrizePicks Predictor, you can sign-up by clicking<a href="https://betkarma.com/pricing"> HERE</a>. With that being said, let&#39;s dive in...

UPDATED HR RECORD: 15-42&nbsp;+$415.00

Note: This unit scale is $100 = 1 unit.&nbsp;

*odds via FanDuelSportsbook*

<hr />
<h2>Ryan Mountcastle +320 (0.2u)</h2>

Mountcastle has been a staple bet for me this season, and I&#39;m willing to go back to the well with him pretty much anytime he faces a left-handed pitcher. Andrew Heaney is the exact type of pitcher I like to target with HR props as well, he&#39;s always allowed above-average power to righties and is sitting at a .200 ISO in the split this season. Mountcastle has been one of the most underrated hitters in baseball this season. He ranks first on the Orioles in ISO and fly-ball rate against lefties this season, and third in hard-hit rate. He also destroys fastballs, which is great news considering that Heaney relies on his heater 60% of the time. He has only seen Heaney a handful of times, but has two homeruns in four at-bats against him.&nbsp;

<h2>Bryce Harper +390 (0.2u)</h2>

I love both Harper and Kyle Schwarber for HR&#39;s today, but I&#39;ll side with Bryce at better odds. Charlie Morton has been very inconsistent this season, and is allowing a .200 ISO to left-handed hitters. We know that Harper has monster power, and he matches up well with Morton&#39;s pitch mix. He throws his curveball almost 50% of the time, making it his most-used pitch. Both Harper and Schwarber have huge power splits against the pitch -- and both have homers off Morton in their careers.&nbsp;

Written by Ben Hossler (Follow @BenHossler on Twitter)

MLB Betting 5/27/23 - HR Predictor

Welcome in to a new article for 2023...the HR Predictor! This will be a daily article, where I use my own research to highlight a few names I think are in a great position to hit a homerun on each days slate! These are low unit bets -- between 0.1 and 0.3&nbsp;units -- with typically high-odds and we will only need to hit one or two a week to make some money! If you&#39;re interested in all of my MLB betting and prop picks, plus access to our PrizePicks Predictor, you can sign-up by clicking<a href="https://betkarma.com/pricing"> HERE</a>. With that being said, let&#39;s dive in...

UPDATED HR RECORD: 14-42&nbsp;+$335.00

Note: This unit scale is $100 = 1 unit.&nbsp;

*odds via FanDuelSportsbook*

<hr />
<h2>Bobby Witt Jr +500 (0.2u)</h2>

Witt and the Royals match up with one of our favorite HR targets on Friday night, Patrick Corbin. Corbin is once again allowing over one HR/9 innings this season, and I believe the value to be better with Witt and Salvy Perez tonight. Witt has been great against left-handed pitching this season, leading the team in both ISO and fly-ball percentage in the split. He also matches up well with Corbin&#39;s pitch mix. Witt ranks first on the team in ISO against sinkers -- which happens to be Corbin&#39;s most-used pitch against right-handed hitters. I&#39;m on the over in this game, and think we could see multiple HR&#39;s from both teams tonight.&nbsp;

<h2>Rafael Devers +310</h2>

Brandon Pfaadt is one of the best pitching prospects in baseball, but he has struggled since getting called up. It&#39;s clear he has strikeout ability, but he has allowed seven homeruns in 20 IP given how often he challenges hitters in the zone with his fastball. Devers has big power splits against both right-handed pitchers and fastballs -- and he is my favorite overall HR pick for Friday nights slate.&nbsp;

Written by Ben Hossler (Follow @BenHossler on Twitter)

MLB Betting 5/26/23 - HR Predictor

Welcome in to a new article for 2023...the HR Predictor! This will be a daily article, where I use my own research to highlight a few names I think are in a great position to hit a homerun on each days slate! These are low unit bets -- between 0.1 and 0.3&nbsp;units -- with typically high-odds and we will only need to hit one or two a week to make some money! If you&#39;re interested in all of my MLB betting and prop picks, plus access to our PrizePicks Predictor, you can sign-up by clicking<a href="https://betkarma.com/pricing"> HERE</a>. With that being said, let&#39;s dive in...

UPDATED HR RECORD: 14-41&nbsp;+$355.00

Note: This unit scale is $100 = 1 unit.&nbsp;

*odds via FanDuelSportsbook*

<hr />
<h2>Adolis Garcia +400 (0.2u)</h2>

We smacked Rowdy Tellez at +360 last night, and I&#39;m looking to start up another streak with our boy Adolis Garcia on Tuesday. We&#39;ve cashed a Garcia HR multiple times already this season, and I love the spot for him tonight against Rich Hill. Hill has greatly outperformed his metrics this season, sporting an ERA two runs below his xERA. He has struggled and been hit hard by right-handed batters -- and will see seven of them in the Rangers lineup tonight. Unlilke the Tigers in his last start, the Rangers are well above-average as a team against lefty pitching and have plenty of power to make him pay. Garcia owns a huge .231 ISO against left-handed pitching this season, and matches up very well with Hill&#39;s pitch mix. He&#39;s also been locked in at the plate recently, ranking top-25 in baseball in hard-hit rate over the last 14 days.&nbsp;

Written by Ben Hossler (Follow @BenHossler on Twitter)

MLB Betting 5/23/23 - HR Predictor

Welcome in to a new article for 2023...the HR Predictor! This will be a daily article, where I use my own research to highlight a few names I think are in a great position to hit a homerun on each days slate! These are low unit bets -- between 0.1 and 0.3&nbsp;units -- with typically high-odds and we will only need to hit one or two a week to make some money! If you&#39;re interested in all of my MLB betting and prop picks, plus access to our PrizePicks Predictor, you can sign-up by clicking<a href="https://betkarma.com/pricing"> HERE</a>. With that being said, let&#39;s dive in...

UPDATED HR RECORD: 13-41&nbsp;+$283.00

Note: This unit scale is $100 = 1 unit.&nbsp;

*odds via FanDuelSportsbook*

<hr />
<h2>Rowdy Tellez +360 (0.2u)</h2>

Tellez is always one of my favorite HR targets, and I&#39;ll be backing him on Monday night against Cristian Javier. Javier is a good pitcher, but can run into HR issues due to the amount of fly-balls he allows -- while Tellez owns the highest fly-ball rate on the Brewers since the start of last season. He also matches up well with Javier&#39;s pitch mix, sporting a .216 ISO against fastballs. Javier relies heavily on his heater, throwing it over 55% of the time to left-handed hitters. Tellez has always been better at home, and he has hit significantly more homeruns there than on the road during his tenure with the Brewers. Overall, I think Milawukee is in a sneaky decent spot tonight and I won&#39;t be shocked to see their team hit multiple homeruns in this game.&nbsp;

Written by Ben Hossler (Follow @BenHossler on Twitter)

MLB Betting 5/22/23 - HR Predictor

Welcome in to a new article for 2023...the HR Predictor! This will be a daily article, where I use my own research to highlight a few names I think are in a great position to hit a homerun on each days slate! These are low unit bets -- between 0.1 and 0.3&nbsp;units -- with typically high-odds and we will only need to hit one or two a week to make some money! If you&#39;re interested in all of my MLB betting and prop picks, plus access to our PrizePicks Predictor, you can sign-up by clicking<a href="https://betkarma.com/pricing"> HERE</a>. With that being said, let&#39;s dive in...

UPDATED HR RECORD: 13-40&nbsp;+$303.00

Note: This unit scale is $100 = 1 unit.&nbsp;

*odds via FanDuelSportsbook*

<hr />
<h2>Patrick Wisdom +400 (0.2u)</h2>

We have a huge MLB slate tonight, and immediately the odds on Patrick Wisdom jumped out to me. Wisdom is still fourth-overall in the HR race, and I like the spot here against Ranger Suarez. Suarez hasn&#39;t throw a ton this season, but we know that Wisdom has massive power against left-handed pitching. Since the start of last season, he owns a team-high .326 ISO in the split. He also has multiple XBH against Suarez in a few career at-bats, which isn&#39;t shocking given how good he is against southpaw pitching. Overall, I think there is value in the 4/1 odds and he&#39;s my favorite HR pick for Friday night.&nbsp;

Written by Ben Hossler (Follow @BenHossler on Twitter)

MLB Betting 5/19/23 - HR Predictor

Welcome in to a new article for 2023...the HR Predictor! This will be a daily article, where I use my own research to highlight a few names I think are in a great position to hit a homerun on each days slate! These are low unit bets -- between 0.1 and 0.3&nbsp;units -- with typically high-odds and we will only need to hit one or two a week to make some money! If you&#39;re interested in all of my MLB betting and prop picks, plus access to our PrizePicks Predictor, you can sign-up by clicking<a href="https://betkarma.com/pricing"> HERE</a>. With that being said, let&#39;s dive in...

UPDATED HR RECORD: 13-39&nbsp;+$323.00

Note: This unit scale is $100 = 1 unit.&nbsp;

*odds via FanDuelSportsbook*

<hr />
<h2>Randy Arozarena +500 (0.2u)</h2>

We have a smaller Wednesday slate of games resulting in just one HR picks...our boy Randy Arozarena. We have cashed Randy HR&#39;s multiple times this season, and I&#39;m willing to go back to the well against Kodai Senga. Senga started out really hot this season for the Mets, but has struggled with his command and that has led to inconsistent results. He&#39;s surrendered five HR&#39;s in his last five starts, and there&#39;s nobody on the Rays with more pop than Arozarena. We know about Senga&#39;s nasty ghostfork pitch, but he relies heavily on his fastball to set that pitch up. He&#39;s throwing it almost 60% of the time -- while Randy has monster power numbers against the pitch. Tampa has seen their team total rise throughout the day, and I think we could see more offense than expected in this spot.&nbsp;

Written by Ben Hossler (Follow @BenHossler on Twitter)

MLB Betting 5/17/23 - HR Predictor

Welcome in to a new article for 2023...the HR Predictor! This will be a daily article, where I use my own research to highlight a few names I think are in a great position to hit a homerun on each days slate! These are low unit bets -- between 0.1 and 0.3&nbsp;units -- with typically high-odds and we will only need to hit one or two a week to make some money! If you&#39;re interested in all of my MLB betting and prop picks, plus access to our PrizePicks Predictor, you can sign-up by clicking<a href="https://betkarma.com/pricing"> HERE</a>. With that being said, let&#39;s dive in...

UPDATED HR RECORD: 13-38&nbsp;+$343.00

Note: This unit scale is $100 = 1 unit.&nbsp;

*odds via FanDuelSportsbook*

<hr />
<h2>Rafael Devers +350</h2>

We are awarded fantastic hitting weather again in Fenway, and I&#39;m expecting pleny of offense on Tuesday night. I respect Luis Castillo as a pitcher, but weather wins out for me more often than not and Castillo has allowed a homerun in each of his last three starts. Devers has the most power on the team vs right-handed pitching -- and matches up very well against Castillo&#39;s fastball-heavy pitch mix. Devers also has better batting splits at home than on the road for his career, so I like to target him in Fenway when the wind is blowing out.&nbsp;

<h2>Jose Ramirez +360</h2>

Ramirez has just four homeruns this season, but it seems like the Guardians offense is finally waking up (thanks to Josh Naylor) after a big series against the Angels over the weekend. Lance Lynn has been a HR target for us all season, and Ramirez owns four longalls against him in his career. Ramirez notoriously crushes fastballs -- sporting a team-high .418 ISO against the pitch. Given that he&#39;s such a good fastball hitter, it makes sense why he&#39;s had success against Lynn who throws his heater 50% of the time. Overall, I wouldn&#39;t blame you for targeting Naylor here, but I&#39;ll go with Ramirez to have a breakout game at the plate.&nbsp;

Written by Ben Hossler (Follow @BenHossler on Twitter)

&nbsp;

MLB Betting 5/16/23 - HR Predictor

Welcome in to a new article for 2023...the HR Predictor! This will be a daily article, where I use my own research to highlight a few names I think are in a great position to hit a homerun on each days slate! These are low unit bets -- between 0.1 and 0.3&nbsp;units -- with typically high-odds and we will only need to hit one or two a week to make some money! If you&#39;re interested in all of my MLB betting and prop picks, plus access to our PrizePicks Predictor, you can sign-up by clicking<a href="https://betkarma.com/pricing"> HERE</a>. With that being said, let&#39;s dive in...

UPDATED HR RECORD: 13-36&nbsp;+$383.00

Note: This unit scale is $100 = 1 unit.&nbsp;

*odds via FanDuelSportsbook*

<hr />
<h2>Corbin Carroll +680 (0.2u)</h2>

We are taking some shots on longer odds today, starting with Corbin Carroll against Drew Rucinski. Rucinski has really struggled against left-handed hitters in his return to the MLB &ndash; allowing a .300 ISO in the split. Carroll is among the leaders for the NL Rookie of the Year award, making the Diamondbacks early deal handed out to him look like a bargain. He does have power against right-handed pitchers, and the great news is that the A&rsquo;s bullpen is so bad he still has a strong chance to get there even if he doesn&rsquo;t get one off Rucinski. Arizona has one of the highest team totals on the slate tonight, and I will continue to pick on their starters / bullpen with HR props. 

<h2>Christian Yelich +680 (0.2u)</h2>

Yelich comes in at the nice price of +680 despite his bat starting to heat up, he hit three homeruns in two games over the weekend. Milwaukee matches up with a guy I&rsquo;ve been fading all season in Jack Flaherty. Flaherty is allowing a .236 ISO to lefties this season, so I think there is value on both Yelich and Rowdy Tellez tonight. Yelich matches up well against his pitch mix, and has multiple homeruns off Flaherty in his career &ndash; those coming when Jack was a much better pitcher than he is right now.

MLB Betting 5/15/23 - HR Predictor

Welcome in to a new article for 2023...the HR Predictor! This will be a daily article, where I use my own research to highlight a few names I think are in a great position to hit a homerun on each days slate! These are low unit bets -- between 0.1 and 0.3&nbsp;units -- with typically high-odds and we will only need to hit one or two a week to make some money! If you&#39;re interested in all of my MLB betting and prop picks, plus access to our PrizePicks Predictor, you can sign-up by clicking<a href="https://betkarma.com/pricing"> HERE</a>. With that being said, let&#39;s dive in...

UPDATED HR RECORD: 13-34&nbsp;+$423.00

Note: This unit scale is $100 = 1 unit.&nbsp;

*odds via FanDuelSportsbook*

<hr />
<h2>Josh Jung +360 (0.2u)</h2>

We are playing with house money today after hitting Willson Contreras on Friday &ndash; and I&rsquo;m going back to the well with Josh Jung. Jung did not homer last night, but draws another good match-up against JP Sears. Sears is allowing over a .300 ISO to right-handed hitters and we know that Jung has big-time power. He also throws a lot of fastballs, which is key given that Jung sports a massive .600 ISO against the pitch - albeit in a small 17 PA sample-size.&nbsp;

<h2>Taylor Trammell (0.2u)</h2>

I&rsquo;ve long been a fan of Taylor Trammell and I&rsquo;m still hopeful for a post-hype breakout given that he&rsquo;s still 25 years old. The window is closing, but not shut just yet and he does have two homeruns in 20 PA this season. This is one of the best spots on the slate against Alex Faedo, who looked like he shouldn&rsquo;t be in the MLB in his first start for the Tigers this season. It&rsquo;s a small sample size, but Trammell ranks first on the team in ISO vs right-handed pitching this season. Faedo threw his fastball a ton in that first start, and that&rsquo;s Trammell&rsquo;s best pitch. Seattle has one of the bigger team totals on the board today, and I do think they hit at least one out. You can take your pick on other guys, but 6/1 seems like a nice price.&nbsp; 

Written by Ben Hossler (Follow @BenHossler on Twitter)

&nbsp;

MLB Betting 5/13/23 - HR Predictor

Welcome in to a new article for 2023...the HR Predictor! This will be a daily article, where I use my own research to highlight a few names I think are in a great position to hit a homerun on each days slate! These are low unit bets -- between 0.1 and 0.3&nbsp;units -- with typically high-odds and we will only need to hit one or two a week to make some money! If you&#39;re interested in all of my MLB betting and prop picks, plus access to our PrizePicks Predictor, you can sign-up by clicking<a href="https://betkarma.com/pricing"> HERE</a>. With that being said, let&#39;s dive in...

UPDATED HR RECORD: 12-33&nbsp;+$373.00

Note: This unit scale is $100 = 1 unit.&nbsp;

*odds via FanDuelSportsbook*

<hr />
<h2>Willson Contreras +350 (0.2u)</h2>

We get a classic turn back the clock night in MLB on Friday, with the corpse of Adam Wainwright squaring off with the ghost of James Paxton in Boston. I truly can&#39;t believe we are getting this pitching match-up in 2023, but here we are. We haven&#39;t seen Paxton start a game since 2021, and the recent results in the minor leagues don&#39;t inspire any confidence. He has six appearances at Triple A this season, resulting in an ERA north of 6.00. St. Louis will pack righty bats in against him tonight, including Contreras who is heating up at the plate. He has above-average power to left-handed pitching and I have 0 confidence in Paxton here. It&#39;s going to be very warm in Boston tonight, with winds blowing out, and I think there is value on both sides of the game when it comes to HR props tonight.&nbsp;

<h2>Josh Jung +370 (0.2u)</h2>

Texas also finds themselves in a strong spot tonight against Ken Waldichuk. It&#39;s become common knowledge to attack the Oakland A&#39;s pitching staff with HR props, because their bullpen is so bad that even if they don&#39;t get there in their first few AB&#39;s they are never truly dead until the game ends. Waldichuk has allowed 11 homeruns to right-handed hitters this season, and will see eight righties in the Rangers lineup tonihgt. Jung has been heating back up at the plate, and matches up well against his pitchmix. Waldichuk throws his heater over 60% of the time, while Jung has the best power splits on the team against fastballs.&nbsp;

Written by Ben Hossler (Follow @BenHossler on Twitter)

MLB Betting 5/12/23 - HR Predictor

Welcome in to a new article for 2023...the HR Predictor! This will be a daily article, where I use my own research to highlight a few names I think are in a great position to hit a homerun on each days slate! These are low unit bets -- between 0.1 and 0.3&nbsp;units -- with typically high-odds and we will only need to hit one or two a week to make some money! If you&#39;re interested in all of my MLB betting and prop picks, plus access to our PrizePicks Predictor, you can sign-up by clicking<a href="https://betkarma.com/pricing"> HERE</a>. With that being said, let&#39;s dive in...

UPDATED HR RECORD: 12-31&nbsp;+$413.00

Note: This unit scale is $100 = 1 unit.&nbsp;

*odds via FanDuelSportsbook*

<hr />
<h2>Vinnie Pasquantino +600</h2>

This game feautures the most sketchy weather of the day, but should it play I think there is a ton of of value on a number of the HR props in this game. We have two pitchers toeing the rubber who have allowed a ton of power this season, starting with Mike Clevinger of the White Sox. Sunshine has fallen off a cliff this season, allowing a .281 ISO to left-handed hitters along with 50% fly-balls and 40% hard-hits. The Pasquatch has been coming on strong for the Royals lately, and this someone I want to continue to buy moving forward. Over the last 7 days, he ranks top-20 among qualified hitters in both hard-hit rate and fly-ball rate. Clevinger throws a ton of fastballs, while Pasquantino is one of the best fastball hitters on this team. If this game plays, I&#39;ll be betting both Vinnie and MJ Melendez at +500.&nbsp;

<h2>Brandon Lowe +330</h2>

As for the night slate, I&#39;m interested in some of the Rays guys who continue to mash right-handed pitching. As a team they rank first-overall in both ISO and wRC+ against RHP this season. We know that Lowe has big power, while German is prone to giving up HR&#39;s. Lowe matches up very well against German&#39;s pitch mix, and I think both he and Luke Raley have value tonight.&nbsp;

Written by Ben Hossler (Follow @BenHossler on Twitter)

MLB Betting 5/11/23 - HR Predictor

Welcome in to a new article for 2023...the HR Predictor! This will be a daily article, where I use my own research to highlight a few names I think are in a great position to hit a homerun on each days slate! These are low unit bets -- between 0.1 and 0.3&nbsp;units -- with typically high-odds and we will only need to hit one or two a week to make some money! If you&#39;re interested in all of my MLB betting and prop picks, plus access to our PrizePicks Predictor, you can sign-up by clicking<a href="https://betkarma.com/pricing"> HERE</a>. With that being said, let&#39;s dive in...

UPDATED HR RECORD: 12-29&nbsp;+$453.00

Note: This unit scale is $100 = 1 unit.&nbsp;

*odds via FanDuelSportsbook*

<hr />
<h2>Sean Murphy +390 (0.2u)</h2>

We smashed a +350 on Gleyber Torres last night, and return for some more HR props on a big Tuesday night slate. Murphy has been the best offensive catcher in baseball this season, and it&#39;s crazy to think he was added into this Braves lineup. He ranks first overall in xwOBA this season -- among all MLB players -- and top-ten in ISO as well. He has power to both sides of the plate, and has a great match-up against Nick Pivetta who has allowed seven homeruns this season. Pivetta has used his heater a lot to both lefties and righties this season, while Murphy has some of the best power splits on the Braves in the split. Overall, Atlanta has one of the highest team totals on the board tonight, and I do expect them to send a few balls out of the yard. Murphy and Matt Olson are my favorite candidates.&nbsp;

<h2>Wilmer Flores +540 (0.2u)</h2>

Everyone knows that Patrick Corbin allows a ton of power, and it&#39;s becoming tradition to take a HR prop against him every fifth day. We get some amazing odds on the Giants players tonight due to the game being played in pitcher-friendly San Francisco. Flores has looked the best batting from the right side for this team, and matches up very well with Corbin&#39;s pitch mix. Corbin throws his sinker over 40% of the time -- while Flore owns a huge .357 ISO against the pitch. I love these odds -- and you can also look at JD Davis for +360 who has four career HR&#39;s off Corbin during his time with the Mets.&nbsp;

Written by Ben Hossler (Follow @BenHossler on Twitter)

MLB Betting 5/9/23 - HR Predictor

Welcome in to a new article for 2023...the HR Predictor! This will be a daily article, where I use my own research to highlight a few names I think are in a great position to hit a homerun on each days slate! These are low unit bets -- between 0.1 and 0.3&nbsp;units -- with typically high-odds and we will only need to hit one or two a week to make some money! If you&#39;re interested in all of my MLB betting and prop picks, plus access to our PrizePicks Predictor, you can sign-up by clicking<a href="https://betkarma.com/pricing"> HERE</a>. With that being said, let&#39;s dive in...

UPDATED HR RECORD: 11-28&nbsp;+$383.00

Note: This unit scale is $100 = 1 unit.&nbsp;

*odds via FanDuelSportsbook*

<hr />
<h2>Brent Rooker +350 (0.2u)</h2>

Cortes was a monster for the Yankees last season, but has struggled with the long-ball in 2023 allowing six homeruns over his last three starts. He had elite numbers to both sides of the plate a season ago, but he has been significantly worse against right-handed hitters allowing a .235 ISO in the split -- compared to a .137 mark in 2022. Rooker is tied for 5th in the homerun race currently, and regular playing time for the A&#39;s has allowed him to flash the extreme raw power we saw from him in the minors. He has the best numbers on the A&#39;s against left-handed pitching and matches up very well with Cortes&#39; pitch-mix. He&#39;s relying heavily on his fastball this season, a pitch that Rooker sports a .370 ISO against.&nbsp;

<h2>Gleyber Torres +350 (0.2u)</h2>

Sticking with the same game, there is value on the Yankees side as well with Gleyber Torres. Torres is the best hitter in this lineup right now with the injuries they&#39;ve dealt with, and any match-up against the Oakland A&#39;s is a good one. The great thing about picking on the A&#39;s is that their bullpen is so bad, even if they don&#39;t get there the first few at-bats you&#39;re never truly dead in the later innings. Torres will match-up with JP Sears to start the game, a lefty who allows a .263 ISO against righties. Like Cortes, he throws a ton of fastballs -- a pitch that Torres has great power numbers against. Harrison Bader was recently brought back up for the Yankees, and he hit two homers over the weekend. Batting from the right side, there is some value in him to hit one at +350 as well.&nbsp;

Written by Ben Hossler (Follow @BenHossler on Twitter)

MLB Betting 5/8/23 - HR Predictor

Welcome in to a new article for 2023...the HR Predictor! This will be a daily article, where I use my own research to highlight a few names I think are in a great position to hit a homerun on each days slate! These are low unit bets -- between 0.1 and 0.3&nbsp;units -- with typically high-odds and we will only need to hit one or two a week to make some money! If you&#39;re interested in all of my MLB betting and prop picks, plus access to our PrizePicks Predictor, you can sign-up by clicking<a href="https://betkarma.com/pricing"> HERE</a>. With that being said, let&#39;s dive in...

UPDATED HR RECORD: 10-21&nbsp;+$398.00

Note: This unit scale is $100 = 1 unit.&nbsp;

*odds via DraftKings Sportsbook*

<hr />
<h2>Trayce Thompson +350 (0.2u)</h2>

The books have nuked the HR odds on this game today due to big winds blowing out at Wrigley Field - we hit Cody Bellinger here yesterday (happy 4/20) and are going back to the well with this game and Trayce Thompson. We want to target right-handed power against Drew Smyly, and Thompson gives us the best odds of all the Dodgers right-handed bats. Smyly is not a bad pitcher, but he relies heavily on fly-balls which can get him into some trouble when the winds are blowing out in that stadium. Thompson owns above-average power splits against both of Smyly&#39;s most-used pitches and I think we will see multiple homeruns from this game.&nbsp;

<h2>Gleyber Torres +475 (0.2u)</h2>

Yusei Kikuchi is one of our favorite pitchers to target homeruns again, and I will be doing so again today with Gleyber Torres. Per usual, I would love to pick Aaron Judge here but I can&#39;t stomach paying 2/1 on a HR prop. Torres gives us much better odds -- and still owns a .252 ISO against left-handed pitching since the start of last season. Kikuchi has allowed a .271 ISO to righties over the span - and Torres does have power against fastballs which is important when facing Kikuchi. He&#39;s homered off him previously, and it&#39;s important to note this game is at home in Yankee Stadium. 60% of Torres&#39; career HR&#39;s have come at home as opposed to on the road.&nbsp;

Written by Ben Hossler (Follow @BenHossler on Twitter)

MLB Betting 4/21/23 - HR Predictor

Welcome in to a new article for 2023...the HR Predictor! This will be a daily article, where I use my own research to highlight a few names I think are in a great position to hit a homerun on each days slate! These are low unit bets -- between 0.1 and 0.3&nbsp;units -- with typically high-odds and we will only need to hit one or two a week to make some money! If you&#39;re interested in all of my MLB betting and prop picks, plus access to our PrizePicks Predictor, you can sign-up by clicking<a href="https://betkarma.com/pricing"> HERE</a>. With that being said, let&#39;s dive in...

UPDATED HR RECORD: 9-19&nbsp;+$349.00

Note: This unit scale is $100 = 1 unit.&nbsp;

*odds via DraftKings Sportsbook*

<hr />
<h2>George Springer +360 (0.25u)</h2>

We hit the Kris Bryant homer last night, which means it&#39;s time to start up another 4+ day streak of hitting HR props, starting with George Springer! I&#39;ve loved what I&#39;ve seen from Springer at the plate recently, he&#39;s had a few loud fly-outs and I think that a power surge could be coming soon for the Blue Jays lead-off man. This is a great match-up against Jose Urquidy, who has always allowed above-average power to right-handed hitters. He pounds the zone with fastballs, which is great news for Springer who is one of the best fastball hitters in the AL. Over the last few seasons he owns a massive .440 ISO against the pitch, far and away the highest mark on the Blue Jays roster. Springer has homered off Urquidy before, and I think there&#39;s value in dabbling with him to hit the first HR of the game at +800 with a potential lead-off homer in play tonight -- should he see a fastball to hit.&nbsp;

<h2>Byron Buxton +380 (0.2u)</h2>

Chris Sale has struggled so far in 2023, allowing five homeruns in three starts and giving up at least one in every start this season. We know that Byron Buxton has massive power, but that&#39;s even more so against left-handed pitching with a huge .315 ISO since the start of last season. He matches up well against Sale&#39;s pitch mix - and owns a career 97 mph average exit velocity in 15 career at-bats against Sale. I always consider him against a lefty, but this seems to be the worst version of Chris Sale we&#39;ve seen and I like the spot for him on Tuesday night.&nbsp;

Written by Ben Hossler (Follow @BenHossler on Twitter)

MLB Betting 4/18/23 - HR Predictor

Welcome in to a new article for 2023...the HR Predictor! This will be a daily article, where I use my own research to highlight a few names I think are in a great position to hit a homerun on each days slate! These are low unit bets -- between 0.1 and 0.3&nbsp;units -- with typically high-odds and we will only need to hit one or two a week to make some money! If you&#39;re interested in all of my MLB betting and prop picks, plus access to our PrizePicks Predictor, you can sign-up by clicking<a href="https://betkarma.com/pricing"> HERE</a>. With that being said, let&#39;s dive in...

UPDATED HR RECORD: 8-18&nbsp;+$284.00

Note: This unit scale is $100 = 1 unit.&nbsp;

*odds via DraftKings Sportsbook*

<hr />
<h2>JT Realmuto +550 (0.2u)</h2>

I wanted to write up Kyle Schwarber here, but I can&#39;t stomach paying 2/1 on any player for a HR prop. That being said, we can still attack Lance Lynn who has allowed SIX homeruns through three starts. He&#39;s worse against left-handed hitters than righties, but he still allows 38% hard-hits to right-handed hitters. More importantly, two of those six homers have come vs righties so it&#39;s not impossible. Realmuto may have found his swing this weekend, after a slow start to the season he homered on Sunday. I love the way he matches up with Lynn&#39;s pitch mix -- everyone knows that he relies heavily on his fastball while Realmuto has the highest ISO on the team against the pitch (.370).&nbsp;

<h2>Kris Bryant +340 (0.25u)</h2>

Bryant is the perfect example of why you shop around lines -- he&#39;s +340 on DKSB to homer today but is +205 over on FanDuel. You can actually probably find even better odds than +340 on some other books as well. Overall, the Rockies are at home in Coors Field and have a fantastic match-up against the corpse of Rich Hill. Hill has also served up six longballs this season, while Bryant is the best hitter on the Rockies against left-handed pitching. He has huge power splits vs southpaws -- and I think he has one of the best chances overall at a HR on Monday night.&nbsp;

Written by Ben Hossler (Follow @BenHossler on Twitter)

MLB Betting 4/17/23 - HR Predictions

Welcome in to a new article for 2023...the HR Predictor! This will be a daily article, where I use my own research to highlight a few names I think are in a great position to hit a homerun on each days slate! These are low unit bets -- between 0.1 and 0.3&nbsp;units -- with typically high-odds and we will only need to hit one or two a week to make some money! If you&#39;re interested in all of my MLB betting and prop picks, plus access to our PrizePicks Predictor, you can sign-up by clicking<a href="https://betkarma.com/pricing"> HERE</a>. With that being said, let&#39;s dive in...

UPDATED HR RECORD: 8-16&nbsp;+$324.00

Note: This unit scale is $100 = 1 unit.&nbsp;

*odds via DraftKings Sportsbook*

<hr />
<h2>Randy Arozarena +360 (0.2u)</h2>

It appears to be the same situation for Yusei Kikuchi in 2023, that we saw last season, He has good stuff, but he can&#39;t seem to figure out right-handed hitters and he&#39;s pitched to a 5.63 xERA through two starts this season. Since the start of 2022, he&#39;s allowing a .281 ISO and 51% hard-hit rate to right-handed batters...yikes! Tampa Bay will be able to pile in eight or nine righties against him,&nbsp;which could make it another long day for him on Saturday. Arozarena has the most power on the team vs left-handed pitching -- and he matches up perfectly with Kikuchi as well. He throws his fastball 50% of the time -- a pitch that Arozarena mashes to the tune of a .397 ISO and 94 average exit velocity.&nbsp;

<h2>Brent Rooker +550 (0.1u)</h2>

Thi is more of the odds range I like to target HR&#39;s in, and I think there is definite value on Rooker today. Carlos Carrasco has looked horrible to begin the season, he&#39;s allowed three homeruns in two starts and alowed 40% hard-contact. Luckily for Cookie, Oakland is one of the worst offenses in baseball so he has a decent change at a solid outing today. Of all the Athletics hitters, Rooker is the biggest power threat and he already has four homeruns in eight games this season. He matches up well with Carrasco&#39;s pitch mix, and if anyone leaves the yard from Oakland this afternoon my money is on Rooker.&nbsp;

Written by Ben Hossler (Follow @BenHossler on Twitter)

MLB Betting 4/15/23 - HR Predictions

Welcome in to a new article for 2023...the HR Predictor! This will be a daily article, where I use my own research to highlight a few names I think are in a great position to hit a homerun on each days slate! These are low unit bets -- between 0.1 and 0.3&nbsp;units -- with typically high-odds and we will only need to hit one or two a week to make some money! If you&#39;re interested in all of my MLB betting and prop picks, plus access to our PrizePicks Predictor, you can sign-up by clicking<a href="https://betkarma.com/pricing"> HERE</a>. With that being said, let&#39;s dive in...

UPDATED HR RECORD: 8-14&nbsp;+369.00

Note: This unit scale is $100 = 1 unit.&nbsp;

*odds via DraftKings Sportsbook*

<hr />
<h2>Jose Ramirez +400 (0.25u)</h2>

Ramirez has yet to hit his first homerun of the 2023 season, but that won&#39;t last forever and I think getting ahead of it before his power surge is a smart move. Ramirez has multiple loud, warning track fly-outs and it&#39;s just a matter of time before the close ones start leaving the yard. His exit velocity still looks good, he&#39;s hitting the ball in the air and he has always hit better from the left-handed side of the plate which he will do tonight against Trevor Williams. Williams struggles mightily with lefty bats -- allowing a .190 ISO in the split compared to a .144 mark vs right-handed hitters. He throws a lot of fastballs, and that&#39;s J-Ram&#39;s best pitch to hit...he owns a monster .434 ISO against opposing fastballs. Overall, we have hot weather with winds blowing out in DC tonight and I&#39;m expecting offense...there&#39;s no better spot for Ramirez to nab his first longball of the season.&nbsp;

<h2>Adley Rutschman +450 (0.2u)</h2>

I love this spot for the O&#39;s bats tonight, and I like the odds here on arguably the best young hitter in baseball. Mike Clevinger was once a Cy Young candidate-level pitcher but his career has been derailed by both injuries and off the field issues. He&#39;s pitched to a respectable 3.48 ERA through two starts this season, but it appears he&#39;s walking a very fine line. His xERA is north of 8.00 -- one of the highest numbers in baseball -- and his strikeouts have fallen below 20%. He walks a lot of guys as well, which can lead to big innings if he&#39;s issuing free passes. Rutschman has the highest ISO on the Orioles since the start of last season vs RHP at .231 and Sunshine has been much worse vs left-handed hitters than righties. The best part is, he throws his fastball over 40% of the time to lefties while Rutschman absolutely crushes fastballs. There&#39;s value on multiple O&#39;s guys tonight, but Adley is my choice if choosing just one.&nbsp;

Written by Ben Hossler (Follow @BenHossler on Twitter)

MLB Betting 4/14/23 - HR Predictions

Welcome in to a new article for 2023...the HR Predictor! This will be a daily article, where I use my own research to highlight a few names I think are in a great position to hit a homerun on each days slate! These are low unit bets -- between 0.1 and 0.3&nbsp;units -- with typically high-odds and we will only need to hit one or two a week to make some money! If you&#39;re interested in all of my MLB betting and prop picks, plus access to our PrizePicks Predictor, you can sign-up by clicking<a href="https://betkarma.com/pricing"> HERE</a>. With that being said, let&#39;s dive in...

UPDATED HR RECORD: 8-14&nbsp;+$369.00

Note: This unit scale is $100 = 1 unit.&nbsp;

*odds via DraftKings Sportsbook*

<hr />
<h2>Jose Ramirez +400 (0.25u)</h2>

Ramirez has yet to hit his first homerun of the 2023 season, but that won&#39;t last forever and I think getting ahead of it before his power surge is a smart move. Ramirez has multiple loud, warning track fly-outs and it&#39;s just a matter of time before the close ones start leaving the yard. His exit velocity still looks good, he&#39;s hitting the ball in the air and he has always hit better from the left-handed side of the plate which he will do tonight against Trevor Williams. Williams struggles mightily with lefty bats -- allowing a .190 ISO in the split compared to a .144 mark vs right-handed hitters. He throws a lot of fastballs, and that&#39;s J-Ram&#39;s best pitch to hit...he owns a monster .434 ISO against opposing fastballs. Overall, we have hot weather with winds blowing out in DC tonight and I&#39;m expecting offense...there&#39;s no better spot for Ramirez to nab his first longball of the season.&nbsp;

<h2>Adley Rutschman +450 (0.2u)</h2>

I love this spot for the O&#39;s bats tonight, and I like the odds here on arguably the best young hitter in baseball. Mike Clevinger was once a Cy Young candidate-level pitcher but his career has been derailed by both injuries and off the field issues. He&#39;s pitched to a respectable 3.48 ERA through two starts this season, but it appears he&#39;s walking a very fine line. His xERA is north of 8.00 -- one of the highest numbers in baseball -- and his strikeouts have fallen below 20%. He walks a lot of guys as well, which can lead to big innings if he&#39;s issuing free passes. Rutschman has the highest ISO on the Orioles since the start of last season vs RHP at .231 and Sunshine has been much worse vs left-handed hitters than righties. The best part is, he throws his fastball over 40% of the time to lefties while Rutschman absolutely crushes fastballs. There&#39;s value on multiple O&#39;s guys tonight, but Adley is my choice if choosing just one.&nbsp;

Written by Ben Hossler (Follow @BenHossler on Twitter)

Welcome in to a new article for 2023...the HR Predictor! This will be a daily article, where I use my own research to highlight a few names I think are in a great position to hit a homerun on each days slate! These are low unit bets -- between 0.1 and 0.3&nbsp;units -- with typically high-odds and we will only need to hit one or two a week to make some money! If you&#39;re interested in all of my MLB betting and prop picks, plus access to our PrizePicks Predictor, you can sign-up by clicking<a href="https://betkarma.com/pricing"> HERE</a>. With that being said, let&#39;s dive in...

UPDATED HR RECORD: 8-12&nbsp;+419.00

Note: This unit scale is $100 = 1 unit.&nbsp;

*odds via DraftKings Sportsbook*

<hr />
<h2>Giancarlo Stanton +290 (0.3u)</h2>

I wanted to write-up Aaron Judge for the first time this season...but, I can&#39;t bet anyone below +200 to hit a HR. I refuse. So, I&#39;ll settle with his teammate Giancarlo Stanton in a strong match-up with Joe Ryan. I&#39;m actually fairly high on Ryan long-term, but he has struggled with power during his early career mainly because he has such strong control of his pitches he routinely challenges hitters. He does this with his fastball a lot, and then relies on his slider which is his second most used pitch to righties. Stanton has been locked in at the plate to begin this season, ranking top-ten in barrels/PA and average exit velocity. He smashes both fastballs and sliders -- and it just happens that Yankee Stadium features the best hitting weather on Thursday. It&#39;s 80+ degrees with 10+ mph winds blowing straight out to center.&nbsp;

<h2>Tyler O&#39;Neill +390 (0.2u)</h2>

O&#39;Neill homered on Wednesday, and is showing signs of heating up as we approach the end of the first month of the season. Hitting the ball hard has never been an issue for him, but it&#39;s nice to see that his 56% hard-contact rate is still 13% higher than the 43% rate we saw in 2022. His average exit velocity is up so far this season as well, and I like the match-up today against Vince Velasquez. VV has always allowed more power to same-handed batters I feel, and his ISO vs right-handed hitters since last season is well over .200. He throws mostly fastball/slider -- two pitches that O&#39;Neill owns huge power splits against. I don&#39;t buy into small sample-sizes like this - but it is worth noting that he has two homeruns in just 4 PA against VV in his career.&nbsp;

Written by Ben Hossler (Follow @BenHossler on Twitter)

MLB Betting 4/13 - HR Predictor

Welcome in to a new article for 2023...the HR Predictor! This will be a daily article, where I use my own research to highlight a few names I think are in a great position to hit a homerun on each days slate! These are low unit bets -- between 0.1 and 0.3&nbsp;units -- with typically high-odds and we will only need to hit one or two a week to make some money! If you&#39;re interested in all of my MLB betting and prop picks, plus access to our PrizePicks Predictor, you can sign-up by clicking<a href="https://betkarma.com/pricing"> HERE</a>. With that being said, let&#39;s dive in...

UPDATED HR RECORD: 7-10&nbsp;+385.00

Note: This unit scale is $100 = 1 unit.&nbsp;

*odds via DraftKings Sportsbook*

<hr />
<h2>Paul Goldschmidt +320 (0.3u)</h2>

Obviously we are accustomed to high-scoring games in Coors Field, but today looks especially tasty with a 13 run O/U. It&#39;s very warm weather in Colorado today, with winds blowing straight out to center and two bad pitchers toeing the rubber. Jose Urena has a legitimate case for worst pitcher in baseball, and Goldy looks to have carried over his MVP form from last season. He&#39;s barreling the ball a lot, and actually hitting it harder than he did in 2022. Urena throws a lot of sinkers to both sides of the plate, while Goldy is a notoriously succesful against the pitch. He owns a .252 ISO against the pitch, with 47% hard-hits. I think we see multiple-HR&#39;s from this game today, but Goldy is my favorite option to leave the yard.&nbsp;

<h2>Pete Alonso (0.2u +370)</h2>

There&#39;s good hitting weather in New York today as well, with winds blowing out and I like the match-up for Alonso against Blake Snell. Snell has only allowed one HR this season, but he&#39;s allowed 7 runs through two starts and looks like one of the guys that has been most negatively affected by the pitch clock. He made comments before the season started about how he was going to struggle with it, and he&#39;s looked very uncomfortable to begin the season. We know that Alonso feasts on left-handed pitching, but even more so against fastballs which Snell throws over half the time to right-handed batters. Alonso has one career HR off Snell already, and I think there&#39;s a strong chance we see number two on Wednesday.&nbsp;

Written by Ben Hossler (Follow @BenHossler on Twitter)

&nbsp;

MLB Betting 4/12/23 - HR Predictor

Welcome in to a new article for 2023...the HR Predictor! This will be a daily article, where I use my own research to highlight a few names I think are in a great position to hit a homerun on each days slate! These are low unit bets -- between 0.1 and 0.3&nbsp;units -- with typically high-odds and we will only need to hit one or two a week to make some money! If you&#39;re interested in all of my MLB betting and prop picks, plus access to our PrizePicks Predictor, you can sign-up by clicking<a href="https://betkarma.com/pricing"> HERE</a>. With that being said, let&#39;s dive in...

UPDATED HR RECORD: 6-9 +335.00

Note: This unit scale is $100 = 1 unit.&nbsp;

*odds via DraftKings Sportsbook*

Note: After Franmil Reyes wasn&#39;t starting on Monday, I posted in Discord that I was betting Corey Seager for my second HR pick.&nbsp;

<hr />
<h2>Corey Seager +400 (0.2u)</h2>

Coming off a huge night with HR picks, I&#39;m going back to Corey Seager who I pivoted onto with Franmil Reyes not starting. Seager continues to look locked in at the plate, he&#39;s top-30 in barrels/PA and also top-15 in average exit velocity. He finally left the yard last night, and he has another great match-up against Jordan Lyles. Lyles has struggled recently against left-handed hitters allowing a .225 ISO and 42.5% hard-contact. His most-used pitch in the split is his fastball, which is great news for Seager who is the best fastball hitter in the Rangers lineup. He&#39;s posted a monster .488 ISO against the pitch, and I think he has some of the best odds for a HR again on Tuesday night.&nbsp;

<h2>Jared Kelenic +470 (0.1u)</h2>

Wrigley Field features the best non-Coors hitting weather on the slate tonight with warm temperatures and 10 mph winds blowing straight out to center. I think there&#39;s value in a few guys from this game tonight, including Cal Raleigh and Jared Kelenic. I&#39;ll take the longer odds of Kelenic, who hit a monster homerun late in last nights game and has maybe found his swing. He matches up really well with Hayden Wesneski&#39;s pitch mix, and I think there will be a lot of offense from this game tonight.&nbsp;

Written by Ben Hossler (Follow @BenHossler on Twitter)

MLB Betting 4/11/23 - HR Predictor

Welcome in to a new article for 2023...the HR Predictor! This will be a daily article, where I use my own research to highlight a few names I think are in a great position to hit a homerun on each days slate! These are low unit bets -- between 0.1 and 0.3&nbsp;units -- with typically high-odds and we will only need to hit one or two a week to make some money! If you&#39;re interested in all of my MLB betting and prop picks, plus access to our PrizePicks Predictor, you can sign-up by clicking<a href="https://betkarma.com/pricing"> HERE</a>. With that being said, let&#39;s dive in...

UPDATED HR RECORD: 4-9+$193.00

Note: This unit scale is $100 = 1 unit.&nbsp;

*odds via DraftKings Sportsbook*

<hr />
<h2>Franmil Reyes +450 (.1u)</h2>

Reyes already has two homeruns this season, and he&#39;ll be searching for another one tonight against Andrew Heaney. Heaney is what he is as a pitcher at this point, sometimes he looks like a Cy Young candidate and other times he looks like a Triple A pitcher. It&#39;s been the same story with him for a few seasons now, and he&#39;s always allowed a lot of power to right-handed bats. The reason I like this match-up so much is how reliant he is on his fastball. Heaney throws his heater over 60% of the time to right-handed hitters which is great news for Reyes. He&#39;s one of the best fastball hitters on the Royals, and has massive power to go along with it. He also has one career HR off Heaney already.&nbsp;

<h2>Hunter Renfroe +370 (.3u)</h2>

Renfroe is my favorite play for today, in a match-up against Patrick Corbin tonight. Renfroe seems to have found his swing,&nbsp;going 5-9 with two doubles and two homeruns over his last two games. We know that Patrick Corbin struggles with right-handed power, so this Angels lineup could be a nightmare for him with their ability to stuff in eight right-handed bats tonight. Renfroe has some of the best splits on the team vs southpaws including a .244 ISO and 45% hard-contact rate. Corbin uses his sinker over 45% of the time to righty bats, which is why I like Renfroe so much tonight. He has video game-like numbers against sinkers including a massive .423 ISO. He&#39;s also 6-21 in his career off Corbin, with a pair of longballs.&nbsp;

Written by Ben Hossler (Follow @BenHossler on Twitter)

MLB Betting 4/10/23 - HR Predictor

Welcome in to a new article for 2023...the HR Predictor! This will be a daily article, where I use my own research to highlight a few names I think are in a great position to hit a homerun on each days slate! These are low unit bets -- between 0.1 and 0.25 units -- with typically high-odds and we will only need to hit one or two a week to make some money! If you&#39;re interested in all of my MLB betting and prop picks, plus access to our PrizePicks Predictor, you can sign-up by clicking<a href="https://betkarma.com/pricing"> HERE</a>. With that being said, let&#39;s dive in...

UPDATED HR RECORD: 3-8&nbsp;+$135.00

Note: This unit scale is $100 = 1 unit.&nbsp;

*odds via DraftKings Sportsbook*

<hr />
<h2>Joey Gallo +450 (0.1u)</h2>

Our streak of hitting HR picks had to come to an end at some point, but that means that we have the opportunity to start a new one tonight! I&rsquo;ve been very pleased with what I&rsquo;ve seen from Gallo this season &ndash; he&rsquo;s chasing pitches out of the zone less than he ever has and that&rsquo;s resulted in him seeing more fastballs than ever before. Obviously, he&rsquo;s a fastball hitter with a career .362 ISO against the pitch. He also excels against fast pitches, while Sandy Alcantara is one of the hardest throwers in baseball. I think we could be in for a big season from Gallo &ndash; and to top it off he&rsquo;s had previous success against Sandy going 3-8 with a double, triple and an average exit velocity of 99.7. 

<h2>Salvador Perez +300 (0.2u)</h2>

Unlike our friend Gallo, Perez doesn&rsquo;t have a great history against Yusei Kikuchi but we are dealing with a very limited sample-size. Overall, Perez is the best hitter on the Royals against left-handed pitching, including in the power department posting a .231 ISO last season. Kikuchi has good strikeout stuff, but was mauled by righties in 2022 allowing a .279 ISO and 50% hard-contact. Kikuchi throws a ton of heaters, relying on the pitch 50% of the time to righties and Perez is one of the best fastball hitters in the AL. Over the last few seasons, he&rsquo;s posted a monster .413 ISO against the pitch. Salvy is hitless in his career against Kikuchi, but I expect that to change tonight in the best hitting weather on the slate. It&rsquo;s warm in KC today, with winds blowing out to left at 20-25 mph. 

Written by Ben Hossler (Follow @BenHossler on Twitter)

MLB Betting 4/4/23 - HR Predictions

Welcome in to a new article for 2023...the HR Predictor! This will be a daily article, where I use my own research to highlight a few names I think are in a great position to hit a homerun on each days slate! These are low unit bets -- between 0.1 and 0.25 units -- with typically high-odds and we will only need to hit one or two a week to make some money! If you&#39;re interested in all of my MLB betting and prop picks, plus access to our PrizePicks Predictor, you can sign-up by clicking<a href="https://betkarma.com/pricing"> HERE</a>. With that being said, let&#39;s dive in...

UPDATED HR RECORD: 3-5 +$175.00

Note: This unit scale is $100 = 1 unit.&nbsp;

*odds via DraftKings Sportsbook*

<hr />
<h2>Oneil Cruz +450 (0.2u)</h2>

We are coming off three days in a row of hitting a HR pick, and I&#39;m looking to extend that streak starting with Oneil Cruz against Kutter Crawford. I&#39;m already on the over in this game with two bad pitchers toeing the rubber, and the Red Sox games have all sailed over their totals to begin the season. Crawford is a truly horrific pitcher against left-handed batters -- allowing a monster .325 ISO and 47% fly-balls in 2022. Cruz hits the ball harder than anyone on the team vs RHP, and we know he as video game-like power. More importantly, he&#39;s a dominant fastball hitter and Crawford relies on his heater over 40% of the time to left-handed hitters.&nbsp;

<h2>Adley Rutschman +500 (0.1u)</h2>

Adley has been on fire to start his 2023 campaign, and already has left the yard once. He has another good chance at it tonight against Jon Gray, in a game that I think Baltimore can have some offensive success. Gray is a solid pitcher, but is more vulnerable to lefties than righties which is good news for Adley -- who is the best hitter in this lineup regardless. Gray throws over 50% fastballs, which is a big reason why I&#39;m on Rutschman in this spot. He&#39;s an elite fastball hitter -- posting a .435 ISO and 95 mph EV against the pitch during his short MLB career.&nbsp;

<h2>Vinnie Pasquantino +700 (0.1u)</h2>

If you read any of my content last year, you know how much I love Vinnie P and the Royals have a really good young player on their hands. I&#39;m actually bullish on the KC offense today despite the perceived bad match-up against Jose Berrios. Berrios is coming off a really bad season, in which is strikeouts dipped to below 20% and he was really beat up by lefty batters. Pasquantino is the best lefty hitter in the KC lineup, and he matches up very well against Berrios&#39; pitch mix.&nbsp;

Written by Ben Hossler (Follow @BenHossler on Twitter)

MLB Betting 4/3/23 - HR Predictions

Welcome in to a new article for 2023...the HR Predictor! This will be a daily article, where I use my own research to highlight a few names I think are in a great position to hit a homerun on each days slate! These are low unit bets, with typically high-odds and we will only need to hit one or two a week to make some money! If you&#39;re interested in all of my MLB betting and prop picks, plus access to our PrizePicks Predictor, you can sign-up by clicking<a href="https://betkarma.com/pricing"> HERE</a>. With that being said, let&#39;s dive in...

*odds via DraftKings Sportsbook*

<hr />
<h2>Matt Olson +215</h2>

This is extremely short odds, but I can&#39;t argue the spot against Josiah Gray. Gray allowed 22 homeruns to left-handed hitters in 2022, and we know that Olson has massive power. He owns the highest ISO on the team against right-handed pitching and feasts on fastballs, which Gray throws over 45% of the time. It&#39;s chalky, but I think Olson leaves the yard on Saturday with winds blowing out to center.&nbsp;

<h2>Brandon Belt +550</h2>

Toronto is one of the best spots for offense on Saturday against Jack Flaherty, who has resally struggled the last year or so. He was pretty bad again this spring, and was beat up by lefties last season allowing over a .353 wOBA and .210 ISO. Toronto specifically features a ton of right-handed power, but they do have two capable lefties in Brandon Belt and Daulton Varsho. Belt has the second-highest fly-ball rate on the team at 46.5% and matches up extremely well vs Flaherty&#39;s pitch mix. He relies heavily on his fast-ball, to which Belt owns a massive .284 ISO.&nbsp;

Written by Ben Hossler (Follow @BenHossler on Twitter)

 Welcome in to a new article for 2023...the HR Predictor! This will be a daily article, where I use my own research to highlight a few names I think are in a great position to hit a homerun on each days slate! These are low unit bets, with typically 

MLB 4/1/23 - HR Predictions

Welcome in to a new article for 2023...the HR Predictor! This will be a daily article, where I use my own research to highlight a few names I think are in a great position to hit a homerun on each days slate! These are low unit bets, with typically high-odds and we will only need to hit one or two a week to make some money! If you&#39;re interested in all of my MLB betting and prop picks, plus access to our PrizePicks Predictor, you can sign-up by clicking<a href="https://betkarma.com/pricing"> HERE</a>. With that being said, let&#39;s dive in...

*odds via DraftKings Sportsbook*

<hr />
<h2>Manny Machado +450</h2>

San Diego has the highest team total on the board tonight at 4.5 runs - and I agree that it looks like one of the top spots for offense against Kyle Freeland. Colorado spoiled the Padres home opener last night, but I expect the Padres to bounceback tonight and their offense should get going against a pretty mediocre lefty. Machado is the best hitter in this lineup against left-handed pitching -- posting an insane .271 ISO in the split last season. He&#39;s been a lefty masher his entire career, and nothing has changed during his time on the West Coast. He also has the biggest sample-size on the team against Freeland -- sporting a 93.2 EV in 43 career PA. He has six doubles across those at-bats, but has yet to take him deep...I think that changes tonight.&nbsp;

<h2>Kyle Tucker +425</h2>

This is a small Friday night MLB slate, but there are still a few hitters in great spots including Tucker. I think most people will be on Yordan Alvarez in this spot, but I&#39;m going to lean on Tucker who matches up a bit better vs Lance Lynn&#39;s pitch mix. Lynn improved vs left-handed hitters a season ago, but has still been much better vs RHH than lefties in his career. Despite the improvements he made, he still allowed above-average power to the left side of the plate. Tucker has plenty of pop, and matches up well vs Lynn&#39;s fastball-heavy approach. He threw his fastball over 40% of the time in 2022 -- while Tucker owns the highest ISO on the Astros against the pitch (.274).&nbsp;

Written by Ben Hossler (Follow @BenHossler on Twitter)

MLB 3/31/23 - HR Predictions

Welcome in to a new article for 2023...the HR Predictor! This will be a daily article, where I use my own research to highlight a few names I think are in a great position to hit a homerun on each days slate! These are low unit bets, with typically high-odds and we will only need to hit one or two a week to make some money! If you&#39;re interested in all of my MLB betting and prop picks, plus access to our PrizePicks Predictor, you can sign-up by clicking<a href="https://betkarma.com/pricing"> HERE</a>. With that being said, let&#39;s dive in...

*odds via DraftKings Sportsbook*

<hr />
<h2>Cedric Mullins +750</h2>

Mullins is one of my favorite players in baseball, and I love his match-up on Opening Day. Corey Kluber is a shell of his former self, and I&#39;ve actually already bet on the Orioles to win this game. He isn&#39;t a huge HR hitter with 16 last year, but he does have power and he does have one 30 HR season under his belt at the big league level. Mullins owns a .333 ISO against cutters, which is Kluber&#39;s most-used pitch to left-handed hitters. This is about the longest odds I would ever look at for a HR pick, but I think the Orioles could blitz the Red Sox today.&nbsp;

<h2>Brandon Lowe +550</h2>

Lowe is more of a homerun threat than Mullins, with 39 longballs in his last fully healthy season. People may want to shy away here due to the lefty on lefty match-up vs Eduardo Rodriguez, but we can actually use that to our advantage. Despite batting from the left-side, last season Lowe sported the second-highest ISO on the Rays against southpaw pitching (.261). Furthermore, Rodriguez was a reverse-splits pitcher last season struggling with left-handed batters more so than righties. Lowe owns above-average power numbers against both of his two most-used pitchers --&nbsp;fastball and sinker. Lowe also has three homers in his career of Rodriguez.&nbsp;

<h2>Matt Carpenter +650</h2>

Caprneter was aboslutely insane for the Yankees in a small-sample last season, and this might actually be my favorite pick for Opening Day. He posted video game numbers against right-handed pitching for the Bronx Bombers a year ago, inluding a massive .343 ISO. There were legit questions about him being on the juice, and to be honest, I&#39;m not sure if they ever got answered! That being said, he does have a 35+ HR season during his time with the Cardinals. German Marquez allowed a ton of power to lefties last season, and Vegas in general seems to be down on Carp tonight. His total bases prop is just 0.5, and I love the over on that. Carp matches up well with his pitch mix, and I won&#39;t be shocked if he finds success in his Padres debut.&nbsp;

Written by Ben Hossler (Follow @BenHossler on Twitter)

MLB 3/30/23 - HR Predictions

What&#39;s up Karma Nation! This article will detail my favorite prop bet for Super Bowl 57! Remember to always shop for the best lines possible, using the BetKarma&nbsp;<a href="https://www.betkarma.com/props-comparison">Props Comparison</a>&nbsp;and&nbsp;<a href="https://www.betkarma.com/odds-comparison">Odds Comparison</a>&nbsp;pages. If you aren&rsquo;t sure which sportsbooks are available in your state, check out our&nbsp;<a href="https://www.betkarma.com/where-to-bet">Where to Bet page</a>. Get access to our proprietary sports betting prediction models, such as our PrizePicks&nbsp;Predictor by&nbsp;<a href="https://www.betkarma.com/pricing">signing up here</a>.

The Super Bowl is one of the best sports betting events of the year and we have a Super Bowl only package up on DFS Karma. You can get access to DFS core plays, projections and access to all of our expert prop picks + my full betting card for just one price!&nbsp;<a href="http://dfskarma.com/superbowl">Click here</a> for access.&nbsp;

*These odds are via FanDuel Sportsbook.&nbsp;<a href="https://betkarma.com/FanDuel">Click here</a>&nbsp;for a FREE bet upon your first deposit with your promo code*

<hr />
<h1>Miles Sanders vs the Kansas City Chiefs</h1>

<h3>Miles Sanders Most Rushing Yards in the Game +105</h3>

The time has finally come, the Super Bowl is here and I feel like we actually are being awarded the two best teams in football. One team, the Philadelphia Eagles, clearly separate as an all around team but the Chiefs have the best QB in football which helps them overcome roster deficiencies. I&rsquo;ve been on the Eagles all season, nabbing them at 25/1 to win the Super Bowl pre-season and I fully expect them to win this game, because they are simply the better team. Patrick Mahomes can certainly go legend and win this game for the Chiefs, but I just don&rsquo;t think they have enough top to bottom to compete with the most well-rounded, dominant team in football.&nbsp;

I love everything about Miles Sanders in this game, because I think the Eagles will be winning and playing from ahead. It&rsquo;s worth mentioning that coming off a 0 touchdown season in 2021-22, Sanders ranked top-five in rushing yards to go along with double-digit touchdowns. He had more rushing yards than Dalvin Cook, Christian McCaffrey and Najee Harris while also posting more trips to the end-zone on the ground than those players as well. He&rsquo;s been one of the best backs in football, and he was clearly hindered by injury down the stretch of the season. After getting multiple weeks off to rest, he looked great in their first playoff game rushing 17 times for 90 yards against the New York Giants. He found the box twice against the vaunted 49ers rushing defense in the NFC Championship game, but was only needed for 11 carries due to the score of the game. It&rsquo;s true that the Eagles like to mix in Kenneth Gainwell and Boston Scott, but it&rsquo;s also true that most of their playoff damage has come in the second-half of these games once they are already out of hand.&nbsp;

In the first two playoff games this season, Sanders has out-touched Gainwell 24-10 in the first half, with Scott logging a combined 4 touches in the first half of those games. Philadelphia is going to run the football, behind the best offensive line in football, especially with concerns about Hurts&rsquo; deep ball due to his injured shoulder. I have no idea the real health of his shoulder and I&rsquo;m not expecting it to limit him in this game, but I am expecting the Eagles to run the ball a lot if playing from ahead. Kansas City is quietly a pretty bad run-defense, and I think that the Bengals could have exploited that more when they had the ball late in the game two weeks ago instead of launching 40+ yard deep balls.&nbsp;

There is a scenario where the Chiefs are winning and Isaiah Pacheco is going off, but I just don&rsquo;t see him having the volume to do so if they&rsquo;re trailing. That narrows it down to Sanders and Hurts to lead the game in rushing yards and I really think Sanders will get fed in a big game. They&rsquo;ve been cautious with him when winning big, but in the biggest game of them all they&rsquo;re going to ride with Sanders in my opinion. I think there is value in multiple Sanders bets, but locking him in at plus money to lead the game in rushing is my current favorite. 

Written by Ben Hossler (Follow @BenHossler on Twitter)

&nbsp;

&nbsp;

 What&#39;s up Karma Nation! This article will detail my favorite prop bet for Super Bowl 57! Remember to always shop for the best lines possible, using the BetKarma&nbsp;Props Comparison&nbsp;and&nbsp;Odds Comparison&nbsp;pages. If you aren&rsquo;t 

Super Bowl Prop: Miles Sanders Prop Bet for Super Bowl 57

What&#39;s up Karma Nation! This article will detail my favorite prop bet for Wildcard Weekend! Remember to always shop for the best lines possible, using the BetKarma&nbsp;<a href="https://www.betkarma.com/props-comparison">Props Comparison</a>&nbsp;and&nbsp;<a href="https://www.betkarma.com/odds-comparison">Odds Comparison</a>&nbsp;pages. If you aren&rsquo;t sure which sportsbooks are available in your state, check out our&nbsp;<a href="https://www.betkarma.com/where-to-bet">Where to Bet page</a>. Get access to our proprietary sports betting prediction models, such as our PrizePicks&nbsp;Predictor by&nbsp;<a href="https://www.betkarma.com/pricing">signing up here</a>.

The NFL divsional round is here and leads us into one of the best weekends of the year -- we have four NFL games, CBB, NBA, NHL and the PGA all going this weekend! I think all of these games will be cmpetitive, and I&#39;ve already posted a few premium plays in our <a href="http://dfskarma.com/chat">Discord</a>.&nbsp;

2023 Prop Record (UPDATED): 19-15&nbsp;+5.2u

Note: All&nbsp;bets are to win 1u unless otherwise noted

*These odds are via DraftKings&nbsp;Sportsbook.&nbsp;<a href="https://sportsbook.draftkings.com/featured?referrer=singular_click_id%3d161096ab-38ab-4da5-a19b-bd2e112b2089">Click here</a>&nbsp;for a FREE bet upon your first deposit with your promo code*

<hr />
<h1>Travis Kelce vs the Jacksonville Jaguars</h1>

<h2>Travis Kelce OVER&nbsp;79.5 Receiving Yards</h2>

We&#39;ve hit our last four free article props, and I&#39;m looking to make that five in a row with Travis Kelce against the Jaguars. Typically, I like to find plays that my analysis sides with our projections, but we have him projected for around this number -- with no glaring value in the number. That being said, I think this is a fantastic spot for Kelce and I actually think this game is going to be closer than the spread indicates as well. Jacksonville played Kansas City really tough once already this season, and that was with them leaving several points on the board. I think the Chiefs ultimately win this game, but I&#39;m personally not expecting any huge negative game-script for their passing game.&nbsp;

Kelce comes into this game having topped this number in his last six postseason games -- all of which were coming when Tyreek Hill was on the roster. KC loves to lean on Kelce in the postseason, and I don&#39;t see that changing this weekend. Jacksonville was just carved up by Gerald Everett last weekend -- allowing over 100 yards to the Chargers tight end. A lot of his damage came after the catch, and we know that Kelce has big-time run after the catch ability. Jacksonville has allowed the fourth-most yards to Tight Ends -- along with the highest Yards per target to the position. This is one of the best possible match-ups, and I think he can push towards 100 or more if the game is close.&nbsp;

Written by Ben Hossler (Follow @BenHossler on Twitter)

 What&#39;s up Karma Nation! This article will detail my favorite prop bet for Wildcard Weekend! Remember to always shop for the best lines possible, using the BetKarma&nbsp;Props Comparison&nbsp;and&nbsp;Odds Comparison&nbsp;pages. If you aren&rsquo

Kansas City Chiefs vs Jacksonville Jaguars: Travis Kelce Player Prop

What&#39;s up Karma Nation! This article will detail my favorite prop bet for Wildcard Weekend! Remember to always shop for the best lines possible, using the BetKarma&nbsp;<a href="https://www.betkarma.com/props-comparison">Props Comparison</a>&nbsp;and&nbsp;<a href="https://www.betkarma.com/odds-comparison">Odds Comparison</a>&nbsp;pages. If you aren&rsquo;t sure which sportsbooks are available in your state, check out our&nbsp;<a href="https://www.betkarma.com/where-to-bet">Where to Bet page</a>. Get access to our proprietary sports betting prediction models, such as our PrizePicks&nbsp;Predictor by&nbsp;<a href="https://www.betkarma.com/pricing">signing up here</a>.

Wildcard weekend is finally here and I couldn&#39;t be more excited. I will have multiple bets posted in the Discord for BetKarma premium members prior to the weekend. These free articles have been fairing well, also, so this will be my favorite overall prop pick of the weekend.&nbsp;

2023 Prop Record (UPDATED): 14-8&nbsp;+12.1u

Note: All premium bets are to win 1u unless otherwise noted

*These odds are via FanDuel Sportsbook.&nbsp;<a href="https://betkarma.com/FanDuel">Click here</a>&nbsp;for a FREE bet upon your first deposit with your promo code*

<hr />
<h1>Daniel Jones vs Minnesota Vikings</h1>

<h3>Daniel Jones OVER 38.5 Rushing Yards</h3>

Firstly, I expect this line to move as it&#39;s listed at 40.5 over on DraftKings Sportsbook -- so get this in ASAP if you&#39;re looking to tail!

This game is going to be one of the most competitive of the weekend in my opinion, and I think the Giants are pretty live to win this game as road dogs against what has been the luckiest team in football.&nbsp;Given that it&#39;s a must win game, I expect Brian Daboll to pull out everything from his bag of tricks in order to win. I think that in a must-win game, he will lean on Jones running the ball more than usual and we saw that last weekend when he carried the ball 11 times against the Colts. We also saw that in years past when he was calling plays for the Buffalo Bills -- Josh Allen carried the ball 11 times against the Chiefs in the playoffs last season.&nbsp;

This seems like a high number for Jones, but we actually have him projected for 43 rushing yards this week, so there is value in getting this number at 38.5. Recently, Minnesota switched to a more man defense as well, which we know can boost rushing production for QB&#39;s. Typically, rushing QB&#39;s have much more success against man-coverage. Overall, I think that the Giants can win this game and I expect Jones and Barkley to be leaned on heavily.&nbsp;

Written by Ben Hossler (Follow @BenHossler on Twitter)

&nbsp;

&nbsp;

&nbsp;

New York Giants vs Minnesota Vikings: NFL Player Prop for Wildcard Weekend

What&#39;s up Karma Nation! This article will detail my favorite prop bet for Wednesday night!&nbsp;Remember to always shop for the best lines possible, using the BetKarma&nbsp;<a href="https://www.betkarma.com/props-comparison">Props Comparison</a>&nbsp;and&nbsp;<a href="https://www.betkarma.com/odds-comparison">Odds Comparison</a>&nbsp;pages. If you aren&rsquo;t sure which sportsbooks are available in your state, check out our&nbsp;<a href="https://www.betkarma.com/where-to-bet">Where to Bet page</a>. Get access to our proprietary sports betting prediction models, such as our PrizePicks&nbsp;Predictor by&nbsp;<a href="https://www.betkarma.com/pricing">signing up here</a>.

This week has been filled with medium-sized slates, which I actually much prefer to the usual 10+ game slates on Monday and Wednesday and then the 2-4 game slates on Tuesday and Thursday. It&#39;s been a fantastic start to the new year for BetKarma Premium members, and I&#39;ll list my updated premium prop record below.&nbsp;

2023 Prop Record (UPDATED): 13-7 +12.3u&nbsp;

Note: All premium bets are to win 1u unless otherwise noted

*These odds are via FanDuel Sportsbook.&nbsp;<a href="https://betkarma.com/FanDuel">Click here</a>&nbsp;for a FREE bet upon your first deposit with your promo code*

<hr />
<h1>John Collins vs the Milwaukee Bucks</h1>

<h3>John Collins OVER 13.5 Points -122</h3>

As I noted above, it&#39;s been a great and profitable start to the new year so let&#39;s keep things rolling with the Baptist. This is one of the top differentials in our BetKarma projections for tonight - and I wouldn&#39;t be shocked to see this line move up at some point today. Despite being listed at 13.5 points, we have him projected for over 17 points tonight against the Bucks. This game features just a 2.5 point spread in favor of Milwaukee, and I do expect it to be a close game.&nbsp;

Collins is averaging just 13 points per game this season, but a lot changes with Clint Capela off the floor. Capela continues to be out tonight, which is a huge boost for Collins and the rest of the Hawks frontcourt. With him off the floor this season, Collins&#39; PPG jumps from 13 to over 18 -- while his FGA moves from 10 to over 13 as well. There are more shots to go around, and he is able to take on a larger role in the offense. The minutes have been strong as well - he averages 31 per game but that number has been over 37 over the last four games with only one of them being an OT game.&nbsp;

It&#39;s a fine match-up, and I think this number is simply too low. Note that premium members got this a bit earlier when the odds were -120 - and I&#39;m already seeing -125 on DKSB.&nbsp;

Written by Ben Hossler (Follow @BenHossler on Twitter)

 What&#39;s up Karma Nation! This article will detail my favorite prop bet for Wednesday night!&nbsp;Remember to always shop for the best lines possible, using the BetKarma&nbsp;Props Comparison&nbsp;and&nbsp;Odds Comparison&nbsp;pages. If you aren&r

Milwaukee Bucks vs Atlanta Hawks: NBA Player Prop for 1/11/23

What&#39;s up Karma Nation! This article will detail my favorite prop bet for Friday night!&nbsp;Remember to always shop for the best lines possible, using the BetKarma&nbsp;<a href="https://www.betkarma.com/props-comparison">Props Comparison</a>&nbsp;and&nbsp;<a href="https://www.betkarma.com/odds-comparison">Odds Comparison</a>&nbsp;pages. If you aren&rsquo;t sure which sportsbooks are available in your state, check out our&nbsp;<a href="https://www.betkarma.com/where-to-bet">Where to Bet page</a>. Get access to our proprietary sports betting prediction models, such as our PrizePicks&nbsp;Predictor by&nbsp;<a href="https://www.betkarma.com/pricing">signing up here</a>.

We have a massive 11 game NBA slate on Friday night with tons of action across the board. If you want access to more of my bets, including NFL picks, get into the Discord and sign-up for BetKarma premium! Let&#39;s get to my top play for Friday night...

*These odds are via FanDuel Sportsbook.&nbsp;<a href="https://betkarma.com/FanDuel">Click here</a>&nbsp;for a FREE bet upon your first deposit with your promo code*

<h1>&nbsp;</h1>

<hr />
<h1>Julius Randle vs Toronto Raptors</h1>

<h3>Julius Randle OVER 2.5 Made Threes</h3>

This has been one of my favorite bets since betting went live in Ohio, and I&#39;m going back to the well on Friday night. Julius Randle has been absolutely taking over for the New York Knicks since RJ Barrett went down. Barrett hasn&#39;t played since December 28th, and over that span Randle ranks seventh-overall in points per game (32.3). More importantly, he&#39;s attempting 11.5 threes per game which is the fourth-highest mark in basketball over that span. He&#39;s topped this 2.5 number in four of his last five games -- with the lone miss coming last time out against the Spurs. He still attempted eight threes in that game, his shot just wasn&#39;t falling. Furthermore, over the last week the Raptors are allowing the sixth-highest opponent three-point percentage.&nbsp;

We have him projected for around four made threes tonight, making him one of our number one differential projections on the slate. I&#39;ve been riding this exact prop since last Sunday and as long as they list it at 2.5 without Barrett I&#39;m probably going to continue to do so.&nbsp;&nbsp;

Written by Ben Hossler (Follow @BenHossler on Twitter)

&nbsp;

 What&#39;s up Karma Nation! This article will detail my favorite prop bet for Friday night!&nbsp;Remember to always shop for the best lines possible, using the BetKarma&nbsp;Props Comparison&nbsp;and&nbsp;Odds Comparison&nbsp;pages. If you aren&rsqu

New York Knicks vs Toronto Raptors: NBA Player Prop for 1/6/23

What&#39;s up Karma Nation! This article will detail my favorite prop bet for Wednesday night!&nbsp;Remember to always shop for the best lines possible, using the BetKarma&nbsp;<a href="https://www.betkarma.com/props-comparison">Props Comparison</a>&nbsp;and&nbsp;<a href="https://www.betkarma.com/odds-comparison">Odds Comparison</a>&nbsp;pages. If you aren&rsquo;t sure which sportsbooks are available in your state, check out our&nbsp;<a href="https://www.betkarma.com/where-to-bet">Where to Bet page</a>. Get access to our proprietary sports betting prediction models, such as our PrizePicks&nbsp;Predictor by&nbsp;<a href="https://www.betkarma.com/pricing">signing up here</a>.

Yesterday was a great day with our Jalen Williams Over 11.5 points prop hitting soon after half-time! He ended up scoring 21 points and was aided by Shai Gilgeous-Alexander being out due to an illness. We have a massive 12 game slate on tap tonight, with plenty of options to bet on.

*These odds are via FanDuel Sportsbook.&nbsp;<a href="https://betkarma.com/FanDuel">Click here</a>&nbsp;for a FREE bet upon your first deposit with your promo code*

<hr />
<h1>Draymond Green vs Detroit Pistons</h1>

<h3>Draymond Green OVER 14.5 Rebounds + Assists&nbsp;</h3>

Golden State are installed as 6.5 home favorites over the Detroit Pistons tonight, and will once again be short-handed. All of Steph Curry, Andrew Wiggins, Jonathan Kuminga and James Wiseman remain out -- but the team has caught fire and won five games in a row. Green has been logging heavy minutes over that stretch, with 30+ in all five games including 45 minutes last time out in their overtime win against the Atlanta Hawks. Given that they did not play last night, and were at home on Monday, I don&#39;t have any rest concerns for Green on Wednesday.&nbsp;

He&#39;s been a force for them across this winning streak, and has topped this 14.5 number in all five of those wins. He also ranks first on the team since Curry went down in potential assists per game at a whopping 13.8. Across that same time frame, he&#39;s second in rebound chances per game at 14.4.&nbsp;

Detroit is bottom ten in both assists and rebounds allowed per game as a team. Green has been handling a big load for this team over the last few games, and should the game remain close he&#39;s in a great position to go over this number on Wednesday night.&nbsp;

Written by Ben Hossler (Follow @BenHossler on Twitter)

&nbsp;

Warriors vs Pistons: NBA Player Prop for 1/4/23

What&#39;s up Karma Nation! This article will detail my favorite prop bet for Tuesday night!&nbsp;Remember to always shop for the best lines possible, using the BetKarma&nbsp;<a href="https://www.betkarma.com/props-comparison">Props Comparison</a>&nbsp;and&nbsp;<a href="https://www.betkarma.com/odds-comparison">Odds Comparison</a>&nbsp;pages. If you aren&rsquo;t sure which sportsbooks are available in your state, check out our&nbsp;<a href="https://www.betkarma.com/where-to-bet">Where to Bet page</a>. Get access to our proprietary sports betting prediction models, such as our PrizePicks&nbsp;Predictor by&nbsp;<a href="https://www.betkarma.com/pricing">signing up here</a>.&nbsp;

*These odds are via FanDuel Sportsbook.&nbsp;<a href="https://betkarma.com/FanDuel">Click here</a>&nbsp;for a FREE bet upon your first deposit with your promo code*

<hr />
<h2>Jalen Williams vs Boston Celtics</h2>

Jalen Williams OVER 11.5 points -115

You can also get this number on PrizePicks, and I will be considering betting it there as well. Williams is a promising rookie that was selected 12th overall by the Thunder in this years draft. He seems to be finding his own down the stretch of the season, and has logged 27+ minutes in every game since the start of December. More importantly, he&#39;s starting to be more aggressive on offense. He averages around eight FGA per game this season, but has attempted 10+ shots in three of his last four games. He&#39;s strung together some really strong games recently, and actually topped this point total in eight of his last ten games.&nbsp;

We have a small three game slate tonight, with limited options. We don&#39;t have this graded as a huge value bet, but we do have Williams projected for close to 13 points tonight. Furthermore, he had a strong game in his first outing against Boston scoring 14 points on 6-9 shooting.&nbsp;

Written by Ben Hossler (Follow @BenHossler on Twitter)

 What&#39;s up Karma Nation! This article will detail my favorite prop bet for Tuesday night!&nbsp;Remember to always shop for the best lines possible, using the BetKarma&nbsp;Props Comparison&nbsp;and&nbsp;Odds Comparison&nbsp;pages. If you aren&rsq

Celtics vs Thunder: NBA Player Prop for 1/3/23

What&#39;s up Karma Nation! This article will detail my Same Game Parlay for the Week 17 Monday Night Football game!&nbsp;Remember to always shop for the best lines possible, using the BetKarma&nbsp;<a href="https://www.betkarma.com/props-comparison">Props Comparison</a>&nbsp;and&nbsp;<a href="https://www.betkarma.com/odds-comparison">Odds Comparison</a>&nbsp;pages. If you aren&rsquo;t sure which sportsbooks are available in your state, check out our&nbsp;<a href="https://www.betkarma.com/where-to-bet">Where to Bet page</a>. Get access to our proprietary sports betting prediction models, such as our PrizePicks&nbsp;Predictor by&nbsp;<a href="https://www.betkarma.com/pricing">signing up here</a>.&nbsp;

Week 17 closes with what could be one of the best games of the season between the Cincinnati Bengals and Buffalo Bills. Not only are these two of the best teams in football, they both should be highly motivated to win this game with seeding on the line tonight. Buffalo needs to win to remain the number one seed earning a first-round bye -- while the Bengals are still live for the one seed of they win out. Overall, I&#39;m expecting fireworks like everyone else in this game, let&#39;s get to the bet!

*These odds are via FanDuel Sportsbook.&nbsp;<a href="https://betkarma.com/FanDuel">Click here</a>&nbsp;for a FREE bet upon your first deposit with your promo code*

<hr />
NFL Same Game Parlay Odds &amp; Picks: Bills vs Bengals

Leg 1: Gabe Davis Over 44.5 Receiving Yards

Leg 2: Joe Burrow 250+ Passing Yards

Leg 3: Josh Allen 225+ Passing Yards

Leg 4: Over 49.5 Total Points

SGP Payout: +325 Odds

As I noted above, both teams are highly motivated to perform in this game and I&#39;m going to back the over because of it. Recent trends would lean more towards the under in this spot, but in a must-win game I think these offenses will come to play and it could profile closer to some of the CIN/KC match-ups we&#39;ve seen over the last calendar year. Both those games went over 50 total points, and we aren&#39;t getting typical late-season weather with expected temperatures around 55 and only 4 mph winds.&nbsp;

Our&nbsp;proprietary like the over on all the props I listed -- we have Davis projected for 56 receiving yards, Burrow for 282 passing yards and Allen for 267 passing yards.&nbsp;

Davis came out on fire after his dynamic playoff game against the Chiefs last season, but has struggled down the stretch. He&#39;s dealt with injuries to both he and Josh Allen, and hasn&#39;t taken the expected leap we wanted from him. He has, however, topped this number in two straight games and has been regularly logging over 90% of the snaps. Cincinnati has struggled with outside receivers recently, and I&#39;m willing to go back to the well on Davis with such a sizable gap between the line and our projections.&nbsp;

I think this should be a fun game with two of the top-five teams in the NFL and this is my first legal SGP play with betting now legalized in Ohio. Good luck everyone!

<img alt="" src="https://assets-betkarma.s3.amazonaws.com/uploads/2023/01/02/sgp2.png" style="height:436px; width:775px" />

Written by Ben Hossler (Follow @BenHossler on Twitter)

 What&#39;s up Karma Nation! This article will detail my Same Game Parlay for the Week 17 Monday Night Football game!&nbsp;Remember to always shop for the best lines possible, using the BetKarma&nbsp;Props Comparison&nbsp;and&nbsp;Odds Comparison&nbs

NFL Same Game Parlay Picks: Bills vs Bengals Monday Night Football

What&#39;s up Karma Nation! This article will detail our favorite bets&nbsp;daily. Remember to always shop for the best lines possible, using the BetKarma&nbsp;<a href="https://www.betkarma.com/props-comparison">Props Comparison</a>&nbsp;and&nbsp;<a href="https://www.betkarma.com/odds-comparison">Odds Comparison</a>&nbsp;pages. If you aren&rsquo;t sure which sportsbooks are available in your state, check out our&nbsp;<a href="https://www.betkarma.com/where-to-bet">Where to Bet page</a>. Get access to our proprietary sports betting prediction models, such as our SPF Predictor by&nbsp;<a href="https://www.betkarma.com/pricing">signing up here</a>.&nbsp;

We have a small four game NBA slate on tap for Tuesday night, but there&#39;s still money to be made. I think this Nets game took an interesting turn on Tuesday afternoon when Steve Nash was fired. It has already been announced that suspended Celtics HC Ime Udoka will be taking over as the Nets new head coach in the coming days. There are no storylines quite like the NBA, but let&#39;s get to today&#39;s bet!

*These odds are via FanDuel Sportsbook. <a href="https://betkarma.com/FanDuel">Click here</a> for a FREE bet upon your first deposit with your promo code*

<hr />
NBA Same Game Parlay Odds &amp; Picks: Nets vs Bulls

Leg 1: Kyrie Irving 2+ made threes

Leg 2: Kevin Durant 20+ points

Leg 3: Zach LaVine 20+ points

Leg 4: Nikola Vucevic 12+ rebounds

Leg 5: Nets ML

SGP Payout: +454

Overall, even on a back-to-back I expect the Nets to rally around their coach getting fired and show up against the Bulls on Tuesday night. They&#39;ve also only really looked good one time this season, and it was last night&#39;s game against the Pacers. I have no idea if it&#39;s coincidence or not, but that one game they looked good happened to come with Ben Simmons out -- he has been ruled out for tonight&#39;s game as well. Durant and Irving are playing massive minutes for this team, and that&#39;s simply going to have to continue tonight in a game seperated by just two points on the spread.&nbsp;

LaVine hasn&#39;t played many games this season, but was announced in early this morning. He&#39;s topped 20+ points in three of four games. Vucevic is also one of the league-leaders in rebounded chances per game at almost 17. He&#39;s had a few massive rebounding games already, and Brooklyn has been one of the worst rebounding teams in the NBA this season.&nbsp;

Good luck everyone&nbsp;and let&#39;s run hot.

Written by Ben Hossler (Follow @BenHossler on Twitter)

&nbsp;

&nbsp;

 What&#39;s up Karma Nation! This article will detail our favorite bets&nbsp;daily. Remember to always shop for the best lines possible, using the BetKarma&nbsp;Props Comparison&nbsp;and&nbsp;Odds Comparison&nbsp;pages. If you aren&rsquo;t sure which

NBA Same Game Parlay Picks: Nets vs Bulls Tuesday 11/1/22

Welcome into Betting with Ben for Week 2&nbsp;of the NFL season! I couldn&#39;t be more excited that football is back and I&#39;ll be bringing you my favorite bet and ATD picks each week of the season. Let&#39;s dive in!

<a href="https://betkarma.com/pricing">Become a Bet Karma Premium member today</a>! Our Premium services are incredible and a true MUST HAVE for any gambler.&nbsp; From Props to Futures to Daily Fantasy, we&#39;ll guide you through everything you need start to finish.&nbsp;&nbsp;Get started for under $1 a day right now!

We truly have so many amazing features from our&nbsp;<a href="https://betkarma.com/live-trends">Live Betting Trends</a>&nbsp;to our&nbsp;<a href="https://betkarma.com/spf-predictor">SPF Predictor</a>&nbsp;to help you pad your bankroll.&nbsp;

The odds expressed in this article come from&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/draftkings" target="_blank">DraftKings Sportsbook</a>.&nbsp; Please be aware that lines may vary.&nbsp; If you are unaware of&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/where-to-bet" target="_blank">where to bet</a>&nbsp;please utilize our easy to use site to find other sportsbooks in your state.

YTD Record: 1-0 (+1 unit)

<h2>New Orleans Saints ML +120</h2>

I think the Tampa Bay Buccaneers could be in trouble. At the end of the day, Tom Brady is Tom Brady, and we have no idea if the off the field issues with his wife are going to affect him on the field. What we do know, however, is that for whatever reason this Dennis Allen-led defense has his number. Brady is 0-4 against the New Orleans Saints during his tenure in Tampa Bay -- and the Buccaneers themselves have <a href="https://twitter.com/AileenHnatiuk/status/1570064929654296576?s=20&amp;t=qSMn0ez9sE5Z71fXdekhDA">lost SEVEN straigh</a>t against the Saints. Brady needs quality offensive line play at this point in his career, and that&#39;s a major question mark heading into this game. He&#39;s been sacked double-digit times by New Orleans over those four losses -- and his offensive line is in complete shambles. Already down four lineman, new LT Donovan Smith was given the doubtful tag on Friday afternoon and it appears he will also miss this game. That is a scary situation against this New Orleans defense, especially on the road. I&#39;m a Saints backer this season, and despite a rough start to their Week 1 game they actually looked good when they put the game on Jameis Winston&#39;s shoulders and let him throw them back into the game. Throwing the ball is how you want to attack this Buccaneers defense, and I think New Orleans should be closer to a favorite at home in Week 2.&nbsp;

<h2>Anytime Touchdown Scorers</h2>

YTD Record: 1-3 (-0.47 units)

Chase Claypool +230- I feel like the average NFL has completely written off Chase Claypool and I&#39;m not sure why. Was he immature at times last season? Yes. But, this is a guy that scored 9 touchdowns in his first NFL season and the Steelers clearly still want him on their team. People speculated that he could be traded this off-season, but his Week 1 usage would indicate that was never a possibility. He was a huge part of the Steelers offensive game plan. Not only is he a match-up nightmare as the full-time slot reciever, but he also saw SIX carries including one at the goal line. We&#39;ve seen him score on rush attempts before, and if most other players were given six rush attempts it would be major news. This is a gross game environment against the Patriots, but I love the odds here for Claypool.&nbsp;

Juwan Johnson +330- As I noted last week, I love to have a longer odds TD play each weekend and I&#39;m siding with Juwan Johnson. Johnson is a coverted Wide Receiver that has taken over as the full-time TE (it appears) in New Orleans. He ran the same amount of routes as the WR&#39;s in Week 1 -- and was the clear passing option of the TE room. Adam Trautman was being used mainly as a blocker when on the field and Nick Vannett was a healthy scratch. I think he will be on the field a ton against the Bucs, and his 6&#39;4 frame could make him a potential red-zone threat, as well.&nbsp;

Written by Ben Hossler (Follow @BenHossler on Twitter)

 Welcome into Betting with Ben for Week 2&nbsp;of the NFL season! I couldn&#39;t be more excited that football is back and I&#39;ll be bringing you my favorite bet and ATD picks each week of the season. Let&#39;s dive in!Become a Bet Karma Premium me

NFL Week 2 | Betting with Ben

Welcome into Betting with Ben for Week 1 of the NFL season! I couldn&#39;t be more excited that football is back and I&#39;ll be bringing you my favorite bet and ATD picks each week of the season. Let&#39;s dive in!

<a href="https://betkarma.com/pricing">Become a Bet Karma Premium member today</a>! Our Premium services are incredible and a true MUST HAVE for any gambler.&nbsp; From Props to Futures to Daily Fantasy, we&#39;ll guide you through everything you need start to finish.&nbsp;&nbsp;Get started for under $1 a day right now!

We truly have so many amazing features from our&nbsp;<a href="https://betkarma.com/live-trends">Live Betting Trends</a>&nbsp;to our&nbsp;<a href="https://betkarma.com/spf-predictor">SPF Predictor</a>&nbsp;to help you pad your bankroll.&nbsp;

The odds expressed in this article come from&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/draftkings" target="_blank">DraftKings Sportsbook</a>.&nbsp; Please be aware that lines may vary.&nbsp; If you are unaware of&nbsp;<a href="http://betkarma.com/where-to-bet" target="_blank">where to bet</a>&nbsp;please utilize our easy to use site to find other sportsbooks in your state.

<h2>Minnesota Vikings ML +100</h2>

I&#39;m very bullish on the Vikings this season, and I think they kick things off with an outright win against the Packers. For starters, I don&#39;t like to look too much into past seasons but they did upset the Packers as +1.5 underdogs at home last season. We also have a strong historical trend working in their favor. Over the last 13 years, <a href="https://twitter.com/MurgesJohn/status/1567834274623094787?s=20&amp;t=-FfqUGmfsSgOW_Rt6zvswA">home underdogs are 19-4 ATS</a> in divisonal games during Week 1 of the season. Kevin O&#39;Connell should elevate this offense beyond what we saw recently&nbsp;with Mike Zimmer calling the shots, and I just don&#39;t love this Packers team. I was very keen on fading them late last season in favor of San Francisco and I&#39;m going to be fading a lot of GB again in 2022. To top things off, star LT David Bakhtiari looks 50/50 to play this game. If he misses, that would improve the spot for Minnesota even further. I think the Vikings are going to be a good team, and I don&#39;t think they should be getting plus odds at home even if Aaron Rodgers is on the opposing&nbsp;sideline.&nbsp;

<h2>Anytime Touchdown Scorers</h2>

Mike Williams +115- I love this spot for BMW and I think he can pass up Keenan Allen as the Chargers clear-cut Alpha WR this season. Williams was heavily involved in the red-zone last season -- seeing 12 targets inside the 10 yard line which was tied with his teammate, Keenan Allen, for fifth-most in football. He has an above-average match-up this week against an undersized CB in Anthony Averett. He should continue to be featured heavily in the red-zone and is one of my favorite targets in Week 1.&nbsp;

Elijah Mitchell +125- Mitchell is another guy I like a lot this week in a plus match-up against Chicago. San Francisco is going to continue to run the hell out of the football in 2022. They were top-six in both rush attempts and rushing yards as a team a season ago, and that number could rise with Trey Lance now at the helm of the offense. Mitchell was top-five in opportunity share last season, and should be featured as the main back again this season. Chicago is depleted on the defensive line compared to 2021 -- losing both Eddie Goldman and Akiem Hicks. I think this is a strong spot for Mitchell, and he has a strangle-hold on the red zone carries as well.&nbsp;

Marquise Brown +165- I just don&#39;t see how Brown doesn&#39;t get loose this week. It&#39;s the highest O/U on the slate and the Chiefs have moved all the way to 6 point favorites. Arizona is going to have to lean on Brown to stay in this game, especially with Rondale Moore now looking unlikely to play. Playing with his college QB, I&#39;m betting on Brown this weekend and I do think he can get in the box.&nbsp;

Cameron Brate +280- I love getting some higher-odds exposure to the primetime games and I don&#39;t even think this is that much of a stretch. We all know Rob Gronkowski and OJ Howard are both gone for Tampa Bay this season, clearing the path for Brate to be Brady&#39;s go-to Tight End. Brate also had a legitimate red-zone role already last season. For example, he actaully saw more targets inside the 20 yard line than Mike Evans -- 20 to 18. Evans out-targeted him 12 to 9 inside the five yard line, but it&#39;s clear they will look to Brate in the red-zone and that should remain the same with Gronk off the field.&nbsp;

<hr />
Written by Ben Hossler (Follow @BenHossler on Twitter)

 Welcome into Betting with Ben for Week 1 of the NFL season! I couldn&#39;t be more excited that football is back and I&#39;ll be bringing you my favorite bet and ATD picks each week of the season. Let&#39;s dive in!Become a Bet Karma Premium member 

NFL Week 1 | Betting with Ben

We are officially one week away from the NFL&#39;s triumphant return, and with that comes &quot;draft weekend&quot;. It&#39;s estimated as of 2021 that over 40 million US residents partake in fantasy football leagues, with Labor Day weekend being the most popular time frame for drafts. In this article, I&#39;m going to highlight my guys for the 2022 NFL season. These are players that I&#39;m most high on having a big season. I&#39;m also going to break down how I would be attacking my more casual fantasy football draft with friends and family. With that being said, let&#39;s get into the picks...

Round 1

Round 1 is very straightforward for me this season. If I have a top-two pick, I&#39;m selecting Christian McCaffrey and Jonathan Taylor in that order. If I pick after the top two, I&rsquo;m hoping and praying that I can get Justin Jefferson. Cooper Kupp is fresh off a near 2,000 receiving yard season, but with the true uncertainty surrounding Matthew Stafford&rsquo;s elbow I&rsquo;ve bumped Jefferson slightly above him. Jefferson has already had basically the best two year stretch to start a receiving career in NFL history, and he could truly pop off this season playing in a more fantasy-friendly offense. If all three of those players are gone, I would be happy with either Cooper Kupp or Ja&rsquo;Marr Chase as consolation prizes. Chase one-upped Jefferson&rsquo;s dominant rookie season in 2021 while playing with a truly horrific offensive line. There&rsquo;s no telling how high his upside actually is this season. 

Round 2

Round 2 is a running back round for me, and it starts with Saquon Barkley. This is the one player I have the most conviction on this season, and it pains me to see him creeping into the bottom of Round 1 after being regularly selected in the third round a few months ago. I think people have forgotten how good he is. I full-faded him the last two seasons due to how bad the Giants offense projected to be, but now is the time to buy back in. I&rsquo;m much more bullish on this offense this season from a play-calling standpoint. I don&rsquo;t think they&rsquo;re going to be a great offense, but they can&rsquo;t possibly be any worse than what they were under Jason Garrett and I think Barkley is going to be on the field a ton. Kenny Golladay is reportedly &ldquo;moving as stiff as a mannequin&rdquo; and Kadarius Toney has barely practiced over the last few weeks &ndash; though he will reportedly be ready for Week 1. This severe lack of weaponry is going to force touches to Barkley, and there&rsquo;s a good chance he can lead the league in touches in 2022. He was second in the NFL in touches in 2018, and has a 90 catch season on his resume. For reference, Alvin Kamara has never eclipsed 90 catches in a season. If you can&rsquo;t get Barkley, the next best things would be D&rsquo;Andre Swift or Alvin Kamara in that order. Kamara has gone ahead of Barkley in a lot of drafts, but the suspension concerns have held him out of Round 1. Swift is someone I like a lot, and he&rsquo;s another guy with a massive receiving role. What separates Barkley from Swift for me, is the presence of Jamaal Williams. Williams is going to play, and probably play a lot, and Barkley just doesn&rsquo;t have those concerns. If things break right for Swift, however, he could be the number one overall player in fantasy football and getting that ceiling outside of Round1 is always a fine move. 

If you&#39;re looking for more drafts this weekend and don&#39;t want to worry about setting your lineups or gridning the waiver wire -- try Underdog Fantasy Best Ball Leagues! <a href="http://underdog.online">CLICK HERE</a> to sign up and lock in your deposit bonus!

Round 3

Round 3 might shock some people, but this is a priority for me in my drafts this season and it&rsquo;s locking in Kyle Pitts. Pitts is a historic NFL prospect, and is coming off arguably the best season ever for a rookie Tight End. He fell just short of Mike Ditka&rsquo;s 1,076 receiving yards, but hauled in 12 more catches. The thing that held back Pitts was the fact that he scored just one touchdown. People can argue back and forth about good luck or bad luck when it comes to touchdowns, but the fact is he&rsquo;s most likely going to score more touchdowns in 2022. Locking in a massive ceiling at a position almost devoid of ceilings is a fruitful move &ndash; and if for some reason Mark Andrews is there in the third round he would be considered for me as well. Depending on how soft your draft is, you may be able to get Pitts in Round 4. 

Round 4

There&rsquo;s a few players I&rsquo;m targeting in Round 4 of my drafts but the number one priority is Travis Etienne. It&rsquo;s worrisome that Jame Robinson has returned so quickly from his Achilles tear last season, but we&rsquo;ve also never really seen an NFL RB return to form after that injury. Cam Akers returned quickly from the same injury late last season, and looked terrible. It&rsquo;s a win that Robinson will even be on the field at this point and I just can&rsquo;t expect him to have a good season. Etienne is playing with his college Quarterback, and has elite receiving upside. There&rsquo;s a real chance he&rsquo;s a second round pick next off-season so it will feel good to get in early. I don&rsquo;t love any of the other running backs in this range, so if he&rsquo;s off the board I would be leaning towards a WR. 

Round 5

Round 5 is another spot to pound WR for me, with some strong options in Courtland Sutton, Jaylen Waddle and Amon-Ra St. Brown. I think Sutton is in for a smash season playing with the best Quarterback of his NFL career. We&#39;ve seen a few WR&#39;s take massive fantasy leaps in recent seasons after receiving a QB upgrade and Sutton fits that mold in 2022. Waddle has to share the field with Tyreek Hill this season, but I&rsquo;m not as concerned as my peers. YAC guys have perennially excelled in Shanahan-like offenses and I don&rsquo;t think it&rsquo;s unreasonable to expect Waddle to score similarly to Hill for a much lower cost in your drafts. St. Brown is another guy I&rsquo;m very high on, manning the slot role for Jared Goff in Detroit. We saw the rapport they have together late last season, and I think he is a fantastic mid-round fantasy pick. 

Round 6

When looking at ADP, I&rsquo;m focused on WR&rsquo;s in high-powered offenses in Round 6. We have both Gabe Davis and JuJu Smith-Schuster primed for big-time seasons. Davis feels like a reach, but we all saw what he can do in that playoff game against KC. Davis is a guy that always had upside but was never really awarded the opportunity until late last season. JuJu is the complete opposite of Davis, excelling early in his career and fading since but this clearly a better situation. Patrick Mahomes is a massive upgrade over late-career Ben Roethlisberger and I wouldn&rsquo;t be shocked at all if JuJu tops 100 catches in 2022. 

Round 7

At this point we&rsquo;ve locked in a solid, solid team and pounded WR effectively. This round can go many ways for me and it just depends on your leaguemates. Weeks ago I was able to grab Dameon Pierce here, but in the smarter drafts he is likely going 5th or 6th Round after the moving of Marlon Mack to the Texans practice squad. It&rsquo;s a pipe dream that he&rsquo;s still there, so I would be looking at either another running back &ndash; like Chase Edmonds &ndash; or a receiver like Michael Thomas. I think Thomas could have a really good season and this is such a discount for someone that has his ability. Ultimately grabbing him here and hoping for Edmonds in the next round would be my strategy. 

I&#39;ll also bring up the possibilty that Clyde Edwards-Helaire is still on the board. It&#39;s gross, I know, but he&#39;s still the starting running back on one of the best offenses in the NFL. I think him vs Edmonds is close -- and if you don&#39;t want to touch MT you could try to grab both these RB&#39;s.&nbsp;

Round 8

As I just noted, if Chase Edmonds is still here at this point I&#39;m grabbing him. If you locked him up in Round 7 or for some reason he&#39;s off the board my lean would be to draft based on your team. You can reach for another RB like Rhamondre Stevenson who I think is a lock to have a big role over Damien Harris for this Pariots team. You also could attempt to set up a back-end stack, picking up Brandon Aiyuk here and pairing him with Trey Lance in the next round. I would rank them Edmonds, Aiyuk, Stevenson in that order.&nbsp;

Round 9

Around Round 9 is where I&rsquo;ll go Quarterback. Trey Lance is the clear pick here, I think he has overall QB1 upside and it&rsquo;s very rare to get that type of potential at this point in the draft. I have 0 concerns about Lance personally, and I think he will be a top-five fantasy QB if he plays a full season in 2022. You can also go for a stack route based-off my prior targets. For example, if you drafted Courtland Sutton, you can pair him with Russell Wilson. I like Russ a lot this season, and he&rsquo;s been a model of consistency for fantasy football purposes. This offense should be tailored to him, and he could be in for a huge season. Another guy I like late is Kirk Cousins, especially if you managed to get Justin Jefferson. These are really the three main QB&rsquo;s I&rsquo;ve been targeting in my drafts this season. 

Guys I Like Later On

--Isaiah Pacheco

--Jahan Dotson

--Josh Palmer

Written by Ben Hossler (Follow @BenHossler on Twitter)

 We are officially one week away from the NFL&#39;s triumphant return, and with that comes &quot;draft weekend&quot;. It&#39;s estimated as of 2021 that over 40 million US residents partake in fantasy football leagues, with Labor Day weekend being th

Season Long Fantasy Football | The Dream Draft

It feels like the spectacle of the NFL grows&nbsp;each year, and it&#39;s poised for its biggest season yet in 2022. The AFC is absolutely loaded with a young Quarterback group unlike anything we&#39;ve ever seen -- while the NFC holds the reigning Super Bowl Champion Los Angeles Rams and the best Quarterback of all-time...Tom Brady. I typically don&#39;t find value in tying up my money for six months with a chance at a 2 or 3-1 payout. When I bet player awards, I swing for the fences and I&#39;m going to highlight one of my favorite futures bets for the 2022 season.&nbsp;These odds are based on&nbsp;<a href="http://dkng.co/betkarma" target="_blank">DraftKings Sportsbook</a>. Lines may vary based on the time you are reading this or if you are using a different sportsbook. Check out&nbsp;<a href="https://www.betkarma.com/where-to-bet" target="_blank">where to bet&nbsp;</a>to find other sportsbooks in your state. Let&#39;s dive in...

Trey Lance +5000 to win MVP

This one might come as a shock to some people, with Lance being maybe the most inexperienced Quarterback in the entire NFL. He played really just 17 games in his college career at North Dakota State, and that included only one game in his final season there. He sat behind Jimmy Garoppolo in his rookie season in San Francisco, and logged signifcant time in just three games. It&#39;s been apparent all off-season that the 49ers would be transitioning from Garoppolo to Lance for the upcoming season, but that was<a href="https://www.nfl.com/news/kyle-shanahan-49ers-ready-for-trey-lance-to-take-the-reins-qb-is-made-of-the"> made official on Tuesday</a>. Anyone that follows me knows I was very heavy on San Francisco futures last season, and they fell just short of the Super Bowl. Kyle Shanahan is a tremendous offensive schemer, but when it comes to ballsy decisions...yikes. His choosing to punt on 4th and 2 from the Rams 45 yard-line while leading in the fourth quarter haunts me to this day. Let&#39;s not even bring up that Jaquiski Tartt dropped interception following that punt decison. Anyways, the point of my rambling is that this team was one play away from beating the Rams and potentially winning the Super Bowl a year ago...with a worse Quarterback at the helm. Garoppolo is a solid real-life Quarterback, but he fits the mold of someone you can win with BUT won&#39;t go out and win you the game. In three playoff games during their 2021 run to the NFC Championhsip game, he completed 58% of his passes with a 2-3 TD/INT ratio. You&#39;re going to honestly try and convince me that Trey Lance couldn&#39;t of at least done that in those three games? While also adding elite playmaking with his legs...case and point.&nbsp;

One thing is certain, and that&#39;s that a Quarterback will be winning the 2022 NFL MVP award. This season will mark a decade since a non-QB has taken home the award with the last time being Adrian Peterson in 2012. Last year, Cooper Kupp shattered receiving records and nearly went for 2,000 yards...and really wasn&#39;t even in the conversation. It&#39;s nearly impossible for a non-QB to sniff this award these days, so if you&#39;re wagering money on it you can comfortably eliminate anyone that&#39;s not a QB.&nbsp;

A big factor in handing out the award is overall team success. The team simply has to be good for the QB to be in contention before we even begin to dive into his actual play on the field. I&#39;ve pointed out that this 49ers team was a play away from the Super Bowl, so yes I think they are going to be a very good team this season. Keeping Deebo Samuel on the roster was a big win for their offense -- and Russell Wilson exiting the division was a big win for their team as a whole. The AFC has legitimately 8-10 teams that I think can make a Super Bowl run this season..the NFC not so much. Outside of the clear chalk picks in the Rams and the Buccaneers, it&#39;s wide open. That is exactly why I&#39;m so high on the 49ers and Eagles this upcoming season. It&#39;s not out of the realm of possibilities that the 49ers win the NFC West and are in contention for a top playoff seed.&nbsp;

I noted above that Kyle Shanahan is an elite offensive schemer, and I don&#39;t think anyone can really argue that at this point. The 2021 49ers offense lead the NFL in yards per play, with Jimmy Garoppolo at Quarterback. Garoppolo himself ranked second-overall in yards per pass attempt and was a legitimate top-three QB if you look at EPA (per Sharp Football Analysis). Lance has caught a lot of flack for his performance in his few starts last season, but the EPA shows he was a well above-average QB in those starts. He also put up 8.5 Y/A, which was the same number as Garoppolo and would of ranked second in football behind only Joe Burrow. He threw for a 5-2 TD/INT ratio and added 38 rushing attempts. If Trey Lance was putting up these numbers in spot starts after playing in one game since 2020...what on earth is he capable of doing with Kyle Shanahan having an entire off-season to build and scheme an offense around him? I&#39;m not sure if we can truly quantify how high his upside is this season. Trey Lance may very well set the NFL on fire in 2022, and if he does, I&#39;m going to be along for the ride.&nbsp;

Written by Ben Hossler (Follow @BenHossler on Twitter)

 It feels like the spectacle of the NFL grows&nbsp;each year, and it&#39;s poised for its biggest season yet in 2022. The AFC is absolutely loaded with a young Quarterback group unlike anything we&#39;ve ever seen -- while the NFC holds the reigning 

2022 NFL Futures | Why I'm Betting Trey Lance MVP

This is a daily article that will be released featuring my favorite numbers on PrizePicks for the day. If you don&#39;t already have an account, sign up for any of the three with promo code &#39;KARMA&#39; for a 100% deposit bonus. You can also get access to my official prop plays given out to subscribers by <a href="https://www.dfskarma.com/shop/all/props-monthly/">clicking here</a>. For full transparency, you can view my past results as well, by <a href="https://www.dfskarma.com/expert-prop-records/">clicking here</a>. Let&#39;s get to the plays!

Note: Be sure to <a href="http://chatdfs.com">join our FREE Discord</a> for priority access to the leans -- these numbers can change quickly!

<hr />
Michael Pineda Over 2.5 Strikeouts: He is horrific there&#39;s no doubts about it, but this line is so low for a full starter. He&#39;s topped this number in three of his last four and has a 29% strikeout rate against the current Indians roster in just under 50 PA.&nbsp;

Shane Bieber 6.5 Strikeouts: The Tigers lineup strikes out 24% of the time and that&#39;s boosted by Riley Greene&#39;s 9% strikeout rate. He owns a 31% strikeout rate against this current roster in his career in 164 PA.&nbsp;

Yordan Alvarez Over 1.5 TB: I don&#39;t see how we can argue what he&#39;s doing right now. I liked this number yesterday and will continue to play it in good match-ups. Keller relies on his fastball, which Alvarez owns over a .420 expected wOBA against.&nbsp;

Freddie Freeman Over 1.5 TB: They don&#39;t have this listed currently but it should be posted eventually. Great match-up against Jose Urena who is allowing a .382 wOBA to lefties the last two seasons. If they don&#39;t add his TB to the board, we can play over 8.5 fantasy points with the Dodgers owning a 6.5 run team total.&nbsp;

<img alt="" src="https://assets-betkarma.s3.amazonaws.com/uploads/2022/07/06/leans76.png" style="height:720px; width:1280px" />

 This is a daily article that will be released featuring my favorite numbers on PrizePicks for the day. If you don&#39;t already have an account, sign up for any of the three with promo code &#39;KARMA&#39; for a 100% deposit bonus. You can also get 

MLB 7/6/22 - PrizePicks Prop Leans

This is a daily article that will be released featuring my favorite numbers on PrizePicks for the day. If you don&#39;t already have an account, sign up for any of the three with promo code &#39;KARMA&#39; for a 100% deposit bonus. You can also get access to my official prop plays given out to subscribers by <a href="https://www.dfskarma.com/shop/all/props-monthly/">clicking here</a>. For full transparency, you can view my past results as well, by <a href="https://www.dfskarma.com/expert-prop-records/">clicking here</a>. Let&#39;s get to the plays!

Note: Be sure to <a href="http://chatdfs.com">join our FREE Discord</a> for priority access to the leans -- these numbers can change quickly!

<hr />
Mike Clevinger Over 5 Strikeouts:&nbsp;Finally looked like himself last start striking out 6 over 6 innings. We have him projected for 6 strikeouts tonight against a high strikeout Mariners team.&nbsp;

Paul Goldschmidt Over 1.5 TB:&nbsp;He&#39;s been a total bases machine leading the entire MLB in the category and has a strong match-up tonight. Ian Anderson allows a .374 wOBA to right-handed batters.&nbsp;

Aaron Judge Over 8.5 Fantasy Points:&nbsp;Judge is essentially a plug and play for me nightly vs left-handed pitching. Quintana has no strikeout stuff and the Yankees own a huge team total. We have him projected well over 10 fantasy points tonight.&nbsp;

Yordan Alvarez Over 1.5 TB:&nbsp;Greinke somehows survives and still gets starts but Alvarez has some of the best numbers in baseball vs RHP this season. We have him projected for almost 2.5 TB tonight.&nbsp;

<img alt="" src="https://assets-betkarma.s3.amazonaws.com/uploads/2022/07/05/leans75.png" style="height:720px; width:1280px" />

MLB 7/5/22 - PrizePicks Prop Leans

This is a daily article that will be released featuring my favorite numbers on PrizePicks for the day. If you don&#39;t already have an account, sign up for any of the three with promo code &#39;KARMA&#39; for a 100% deposit bonus. You can also get access to my official prop plays given out to subscribers by <a href="https://www.dfskarma.com/shop/all/props-monthly/">clicking here</a>. For full transparency, you can view my past results as well, by <a href="https://www.dfskarma.com/expert-prop-records/">clicking here</a>. Let&#39;s get to the plays!

Note: Be sure to <a href="http://chatdfs.com">join our FREE Discord</a> for priority access to the leans -- these numbers can change quickly!

<hr />
We have a pretty small evening slate of MLB games, but there are still; edges to be found. Here are my four favorite numbers on PrizePicks for today!

Ian Anderson Over 4.5 Strikeouts: We have him projected for over 5 K&#39;s today, and the Phillies projected lineup is striking out 25% of the time.&nbsp;

Aaron Nola 18.5 Pitching Outs: Topped this number in four straight and I think it&#39;s a pretty good match-up for him.&nbsp;

Bryan Reynolds 7 Fantasy Points: We have him well over 7 fantasy points today and Jason Alexander is allowing a .370 wOBA vs left-handed hitters this season.&nbsp;

Joey Votto Over 1.5 TB: I already made a video about this play, and we have him for over 2 TB tonight. He owns Hendricks and it&#39;s hot with winds blowing out in Wrigley tonight.&nbsp;

<img alt="" src="https://assets-betkarma.s3.amazonaws.com/uploads/2022/06/30/leans630.png" style="height:720px; width:1280px" />

&nbsp;

MLB 6/30/22 - PrizePicks Prop Leans

What&#39;s up everyone! If you don&#39;t know me, my name is Ben and I&#39;m going to be taking over the Props division here at DFS and Bet Karma. This is a daily article that will be released featuring my favorite numbers on PrizePicks for the day. If you don&#39;t already have an account, sign up for any of the three with promo code &#39;KARMA&#39; for a 100% deposit bonus. You can also get access to my official prop plays given out to subscribers by <a href="https://www.dfskarma.com/shop/all/props-monthly/">clicking here</a>. For full transparency, you can view my past results as well, by <a href="https://www.dfskarma.com/expert-prop-records/">clicking here</a>. Let&#39;s get to the plays!

Note: Be sure to <a href="http://chatdfs.com">join our FREE Discord</a> for priority access to the leans -- these numbers can change quickly!

<hr />
Alex Wood Over 4.5 Strikeouts: We have him projected for almost 6 strikeouts against a Detroit lineup that&#39;s striking out 24% of the time vs left-handed pitching dating back to last season.&nbsp;

Eric Lauer Over 15.5 Outs: We have him projected for over 18 outs today and he&#39;s topped this number in three of his last four games.&nbsp;

Will Smith 7.5 Fantasy Points: Slight discount on his points here because the Dodgers have flopped the last two nights -- but it&#39;s still Coors Field and German Marquez has been terrible against right-handed batters this season.&nbsp;

Aaron Judge Over 1.5 TB: We have him projected for almost 2 TB here and I always love to play him against left-handed pitchers.&nbsp;

If you want access to all of our PrizePicks and Monkey Knife Fight Projections click<a href="https://betkarma.com/spf-predictor"> HERE</a>!

<img alt="" src="https://assets-betkarma.s3.amazonaws.com/uploads/2022/06/29/leans629.png" style="height:720px; width:1280px" />

 What&#39;s up everyone! If you don&#39;t know me, my name is Ben and I&#39;m going to be taking over the Props division here at DFS and Bet Karma. This is a daily article that will be released featuring my favorite numbers on PrizePicks for the day.

MLB 6/29/22 - PrizePicks Prop Leans

What&#39;s up everyone! If you don&#39;t know me, my name is Ben and I&#39;m going to be taking over the Props division here at DFS and Bet Karma. This is a daily article that will be released featuring my favorite numbers on PrizePicks for the day. If you don&#39;t already have an account, sign up for any of the three with promo code &#39;KARMA&#39; for a 100% deposit bonus. You can also get access to my official prop plays given out to subscribers by <a href="https://www.dfskarma.com/shop/all/props-monthly/">clicking here</a>. For full transparency, you can view my past results as well, by <a href="https://www.dfskarma.com/expert-prop-records/">clicking here</a>. Let&#39;s get to the plays!

Note: Be sure to <a href="http://chatdfs.com">join our FREE Discord</a> for priority access to the leans -- these numbers can change quickly!

<hr />
Sean Manaea Over 5.5 Strikeouts:&nbsp;There are tons of strikeouts to be had in this Arizona lineup and they&#39;re striking out almost 24% of the time as a team vs LHP -- our SPF Predictor has him comfortably over this number.&nbsp;

Zac Gallen Over 5.5 Strikeouts:&nbsp;This one is a thinner margin than Manaea but we still like the over here.&nbsp;

Kyle Schwarber Over 0.5 TB:&nbsp;I love this play. Morton has really struggled with lefties this season and our projections actually have Schwarber going over 1.5 TB here, so getting him at 0.5 is quite the discount.&nbsp;

Paul Goldschmidt Over 1.5 TB:&nbsp; Arguably been the best hitter in baseball this season and gets a lefty on the mound tonight. We have him projected over 2 TB.&nbsp;

<img alt="" src="https://assets-betkarma.s3.amazonaws.com/uploads/2022/06/28/leans628.png" style="height:720px; width:1280px" />

MLB 6/28/22 - PrizePicks Prop Leans

Welcome everyone to our Lineup Optimizer strategy article for 5/20/22. This is a new article I will be doing daily that discusses the stacks and players the optimizer is popping for today&#39;s slate. We are very blessed to have out optimizer powered by SaberSim -- and you can get access by clicking <a href="https://www.dfskarma.com/shop/all/optimizer-standard/">HERE</a>. Let&#39;s get into it...

&nbsp;

Friday Night Build

As I&#39;ve noted in the past, I like to build and play three max entry contests when I think there is a clear edge at pitcher and I can lock in two I like and build a few stacks around them. That isn&#39;t the case tonight, and I think it&#39;s pretty wide open at pitcher so I&#39;ll be building for a smaller field single entry tournament per usual.&nbsp;

Top Stacks

Coors Field was already PPD for tonight, so I didn&#39;t need to remove that game manually. I went ahead and locked in Chase Silseth at pitcher, with him being my favorite point per dollar option on Friday.&nbsp;

<img alt="" src="https://assets-betkarma.s3.amazonaws.com/uploads/2022/05/20/stacks520.png" style="height:645px; width:663px" />

The sims love the Dodgers and Angels tonight, and I can pretty much agree with both spots. I do think it&#39;s a great night to stack the Dodgers against Ranger Suarez, and they will likely be my choice for my build. Suarez has struggled mightily this season, he isn&#39;t striking batters out and is pretty much solely relying on ground balls. He&#39;s still gotten by against left-handed batters, but the Dodgers lineup is a different beast and they have quality batters on both sides of the plate up and down the order. Furthermore, he throws a lot of sinkers and the Dodgers have a good amount of batters that succeed against that pitch. Overall, I will be focusing my stack tonight around the Dodgers righties and guys that have success vs sinkers -- guys like Chris Taylor and Trea Turner stick out but I would be adding in Mookie Betts, Justin Turner and others as well.&nbsp;

Written by Ben Hossler (Follow @BenHossler on Twitter)

 Welcome everyone to our Lineup Optimizer strategy article for 5/20/22. This is a new article I will be doing daily that discusses the stacks and players the optimizer is popping for today&#39;s slate. We are very blessed to have out optimizer powere

Lineup Optimizer Strategy Picks for MLB 5/20/22

Welcome to our MLB DFS Building Blocks, DraftKings and FanDuel picks for 5/20/22! In this article, I&#39;ll break down by top overall plays for today&#39;s main slate. Last year was an extremely big year for the Karma team in MLB, and we are looking to continue that success in 2022. I will be providing Core Plays for every main slate (and day baseball) this season -- you can gain access to that as well as our premium discord <a href="https://www.dfskarma.com/pricing/">here</a>. Let&#39;s get to the plays...

Pitchers

We have a huge slate on tap tonight, that should be one less game than expected with the Rockies/Mets looking like a PPD. There are number of good strikeout pitchers on this slate, but a common theme is that they match-up with low strikeout teams. Given that, I&#39;m going to simply choose who I believe to be the best overall pitchers on this slate and make my selections from that pool. At the top-tier, that leaves me with Tarik Skubal, Nestor Cortes and Sean Manaea -- with Chase Silseth for value. Cortes has been very good this season for the Yankees, he&#39;s been a bit lucky when it comes to allowing homeruns but the strikeout stuff is elite and he can certainly have success against this White Sox lineup. Manaea has the best strikeout match-up vs the Giants, but he also has probably been the worst of these three -- but that&#39;s not to discount him. Skubal matches up with the Guardians, who are stingy when it comes to strikeouts but he has fully broke out for the Tigers. Overall, my plan is to pair one of the expensive pitchers with Silseth on my main DK lineup tonight and as of now I would rank them -- Cortes, Skubal, Manaea in that order.&nbsp;

<hr />
Building Blocks

Rowdy Tellez- I&#39;ve written up Rowdy a few times this season, and tonight I&#39;m going back to the well against Erick Fedde. Fedde has always allowed above-average power to left-handed batters, and he relies on ground balls to get outs. Since he is good at keeping the ball on the ground, we want fly-ball hitters against him and Tellez consistently has one of the highest fly-ball rates in this offense. He also excels vs Fedde&#39;s pitch mix, including cutters which he&#39;s throwing over 40% of the time to lefties this season.&nbsp;

Chris Taylor- Ranger Suarez was great for the Phillies down the stretch of last season, but that success has not carried over to 2022. His strikeout rate is down to 17% for the season, and he&#39;s struggled to get right-handed batters out. Usually people like to focus on the top of the order righties for the Dodgers -- while it&#39;s a good spot for them as well I like Chris Taylor the most. Given that he hits at the bottom of the order, which will always keep his ownership low even in Dodgers stacks. He also has some of the best numbers vs lefties on this team over the last two seasons, the lineup is just so good it forces him down in the order. Suarez throws a ton of sinkers to righties and Taylor is one of the best sinker hitters on LA. Over the last three seasons, he owns a .535 wOBA and over 70% hard-contact in the split.&nbsp;

<hr />
Bodl Call

Chris Taylor posts 5+ total bases!&nbsp;

Written by Ben Hossler (Follow @BenHossler on Twitter)

 Welcome to our MLB DFS Building Blocks, DraftKings and FanDuel picks for 5/20/22! In this article, I&#39;ll break down by top overall plays for today&#39;s main slate. Last year was an extremely big year for the Karma team in MLB, and we are looking

MLB DFS 5/20/22 - Ben's Building Blocks

MLB Ben&#39;s Best Bets - Thursday 4/14/22

It&#39;s Thursday and there are eight MLB games across various time slots. This is my first betting article of the season, and I couldn&#39;t be more excited that baseball is back. With that being said, I don&#39;t have anything to recap from a previous article so let&#39;s dive in!

Seattle Mariners @ Chicago White Sox

The White Sox are going for a sweep of the Mariners and have won four games in a row after losing their Opening Day game. Seattle has started out slow, and didn&#39;t get the performance from their newly signed Ace, Robbie Ray, that they were hoping for last night. The Mariners definitely hold the pitching edge in this one, however, with promising young righty Logan Gilbert squaring off with Jimmy Lambert. Lambert was recalled to take the spot of Lucas Giolito in the rotation, and will likely only throw four innings or so on Thursday. Overall, this games total is set at 9 runs which the second-highest on the board today outside of Coors Field.&nbsp;

Ben&#39;s Pick

I do think Seattle will likely win this game, but I&#39;m going to stay away from the sides in this one. These offenses have been scoring early and often in 2022, with their being a run scored in the first inning in three of the last four days for either of these teams. Gilbert is going to see three power hitters at the top of the White Sox lineup, and he&#39;s allowed above-average hard-hits to both sides of the plate in his young career. Lambert just hasn&#39;t been good at all in the big leagues, and that&#39;s why the total is so big in this game.

Bet: YRFI -115 via DraftKings Sportsbook

<hr />
Washington Nationals @ Pittsburgh Pirates

These teams have both underwhelmed to begin the season, and they open up a four game series tonight. We have two mediocre pitchers toeing the rubber in Joan Adon and JT Brubaker, hence why this game is tied with the CSW/SEA match-up with a nine implied run total. I think there&#39;s a great opportunity for runs to be put on the board here, and that&#39;s what I&#39;m going to focus on.&nbsp;

Ben&#39;s Pick

I love to bet on HR props like everyone else, and with two guys vulnerable to power this is a spot to do so. I&#39;m going to focus on the Nationals -- with JT Brubaker allowing a .240 ISO and 39% hard-contact rate to left-handed batters over the last two seasons. Most people would assume I&#39;m going to write in Juan Soto here...but I&#39;ll side with Josh Bell. Bell has big power against right-handed pitching and crushed his former team in 2021. After leaving Pittsburgh for Washington, Bell hit .400 against them a season ago with two long balls. Brubaker throws a lot of slider / sinker to lefties -- two pitches Bell owns over a .200 ISO against dating back three seasons.&nbsp;

Bet: Josh Bell HR +500 via FanDuel Sportsbook

Like Ben&#39;s Best Bets? Join&nbsp;<a href="https://discord.com/invite/xpTazpbDPb">Bet Karma&rsquo;s FREE discord chat.</a>&nbsp;Take it to the next level and sign up for one of the deals offered on&nbsp;<a href="https://betkarma.com/pricing?afmc=1w">Bet Karma&#39;s Premium Betting Membership</a>. Make sure you are shopping for the best prices using Bet Karma&rsquo;s&nbsp;<a href="https://betkarma.com/odds-comparison">#1 Sports Betting Odds Comparison Tool.</a>&nbsp;Track all the bets, props, and futures using Bet Karma&rsquo;s&nbsp;<a href="https://betkarma.com/bet-tracker">Bet Tracker</a>.

Follow Ben on Twitter (@BenHossler)

 MLB Ben&#39;s Best Bets - Thursday 4/14/22It&#39;s Thursday and there are eight MLB games across various time slots. This is my first betting article of the season, and I couldn&#39;t be more excited that baseball is back. With that being said, I do

MLB Ben's Best Bets - Thursday 4/14/22

What&rsquo;s up Karma Nation! Welcome to another edition of my Prop Bets article. In this article I will be outlining one of my favorite Prop bets of the day. To find my other prop bets and all of the other staff&rsquo;s favorite bets make sure to sign up for the <a href="http://betkarma.com/premium" style="color:blue; text-decoration:underline">Premium package.</a>

All Prop lines are based on&nbsp;<a href="http://dkng.co/betkarma" style="color:blue; text-decoration:underline">Draftkings Sportsbook</a>. Lines may vary based on time you are reading this or if you are using a different bookie.

James Harden OVER 35.5 points -134 2 units to win 1.5 units: Yeah, the total is extremely high, but it&rsquo;s not extremely high for Harden with no Westbrook, Gordon, or Capela. You can also play Points rebounds and assists for Harden which gives you the safer floor with him getting triple double potential every time out there without these guys. Harden has played 10 games without Westbrook, during those games he has a 44.3% usage rate while averaging 39 PPG 7.3 RPG and 8.7 APG. He only went under this total twice during that stretch and both games he still went over 30. Without these guys the volume just increases at such a high rate you just have to take the over everytime and assume he&rsquo;s going to drop 40. High usage rate and extremely high shot volume paired with his ability to get to the line makes him the most dangerous scoring in the league and can go over even with these high totals.

 What&rsquo;s up Karma Nation! Welcome to another edition of my Prop Bets article. In this article I will be outlining one of my favorite Prop bets of the day. To find my other prop bets and all of the other staff&rsquo;s favorite bets make sure to s

Joey's NBA Prop Bets Sunday 08/09

It seemed extremely unlikely at points, but we finally have baseball and anyone that has followed me before knows I couldn&rsquo;t be more excited! This 60 game season is going to be unlike anything we&rsquo;ve seen before, and it adds some more fun to futures betting seeing as you won&rsquo;t have money tied up from March-October. It also adds fun to the expected increase in variance due to the fraction of games we will see compared to normal. There were a few fantastic articles posted on FanGraphs discussing this exact theme which I will <a href="https://blogs.fangraphs.com/the-obscenely-late-obscenely-early-zips-projected-standings/">link here</a>&nbsp;and <a href="https://blogs.fangraphs.com/how-much-do-the-playoff-odds-change-in-a-shorter-season/">here</a>.

Due to the rise in variance, it&rsquo;s much more likely we see teams in the mix at the end that we likely wouldn&rsquo;t during a full season. Below I will cover my favorite bets at current odds to win the World Series&hellip; let&rsquo;s get to it!

&nbsp;

<h2>Cincinnati Reds +2500</h2>

We kick off with my favorite bet and one that I <a href="https://twitter.com/BenHossler/status/1221842776431714308?s=20">actually was on</a> way before we knew that this baseball season would be drastically different than ones we are accustomed to. The Reds don&rsquo;t jump off the page with just the 11th highest positive change in their chances of making the playoffs according to ZiPS, but that doesn&rsquo;t matter as much to me given that I already liked them to win the World Series during a regular MLB season. The biggest positive they receive is playing the AL Central, meaning 8 games against the Tigers and Royals. They have the pitching to be an extremely tough out in a playoff series, and their addition of Mike Moustakas plays perfectly into the new universal DH rule.

&nbsp;

<h2>Chicago White Sox +2400</h2>

Not only will the short season increase variance, but I also think it will benefit some of these younger teams who will be more inclined to be aggressive with their young up-and-coming players. Not only is the White Sox lineup getting a major boost with Luis Robert joining the big league club, we also should see Nick Madrigal takeover everyday second base duties relatively quickly. The time off will also help their pitching with Michael Kopech -- still one of the top prospects in all of baseball -- working his way back from Tommy John surgery.&nbsp;

If the Reds benefit from playing the AL Central, then the White Sox certainly benefit from being in the AL Central. They get to play a whopping one-third of their games against the Royals and Tigers, and can easily overtake the Indians for the number two (or even one) spot in their division.&nbsp;

&nbsp;

<h2>Oakland Athletics +2200</h2>

My third and final bet is one that I expect to fly a bit under the radar with people focusing on other up-and-coming teams. The A&rsquo;s actually see a slightly negative impact to their playoff chances per ZiPS, but they have the fifth-most positive shift to their title chances (1.5%, even with the Reds). Similar to the White Sox, the A&rsquo;s could see a huge boost due to the low amount of games as both their young potential ace-level Pitchers, A.J. Puk and Jesus Luzardo, should avoid innings limitations. This lineup was quietly top eight in runs scored a year ago while coming in fifth in home runs as well.&nbsp;

&nbsp;

 It seemed extremely unlikely at points, but we finally have baseball and anyone that has followed me before knows I couldn&rsquo;t be more excited! This 60 game season is going to be unlike anything we&rsquo;ve seen before, and it adds some more fun

Ben's World Series Bets

<h2>Washington Redskins +6.5 vs Philadelphia Eagles</h2>

The Redskins are a team I think has a big chance to improve relative to what they did in 2019, but we aren&rsquo;t seeing that reflected in the betting markets right now. Their season win total sits at five right now, while I&rsquo;m not sure how good of a coach Ron Rivera actually is, he&rsquo;s never won less than six games in a full season as Head Coach in the NFL. It seems impossible for the Eagles to be ravaged by injuries like they were a season ago, but they&rsquo;ve already lost a key piece in Brandon Brooks to a torn Achilles. Brooks was a pro bowler at Guard for them in 2019 and actually came in as the highest-graded player at his position per Pro Football Focus. This loss could spell disaster in this specific matchup as the Redskins are quietly fierce on the defensive line -- coming off a season where they ranked top-five in QB Pressures and Pressure% while adding Chase Young via the draft. This sets up as a really good spot for the Redskins defense and I think their offense should be improved as well.

We aren&rsquo;t sure yet if they will see legitimate home-field advantage in Washington due to COVID-19, but we did see this exact matchup last season where the Eagles won by just five points&hellip;

 
&nbsp;

<h2>Miami Dolphins +6.5 vs New England Patriots</h2>

I&rsquo;ve been vocal in my distaste for the Patriots this season <a href="https://twitter.com/BenHossler/status/1256759034926989313">on Twitter</a>. Not that I don&rsquo;t trust Bill Belichick, but because I think people are underestimating his willingness to have a rebuilding season. As I mentioned before, I&rsquo;m not sure if home-field advantage will be a thing in these games with the status of fans up in the air -- and don&rsquo;t forget that we just saw the Dolphins win outright in New England at the end of last season. This Pats defense is still going to be at the top of the league, but there is a legitimate case to be made that this is the worst offense Belichick has ever worked with. We have no idea what Jarret Stidham is, and he&rsquo;s going to be passing to two 30+-year-old receivers and N&rsquo;Keal Harry, who I like, but showed very little in his rookie season.&nbsp;

Miami should be much improved this season, especially on the defensive side of the ball -- even if they don&rsquo;t win the game outright, I can&rsquo;t see feeling this confident in Stidham in his first career NFL start.&nbsp;

&nbsp;

<h2>Carolina Panthers +1 vs Las Vegas Raiders</h2>

This is one I would especially look to bet early because I could definitely see it moving to a pick &lsquo;em before kickoff. Both teams should feature exciting offenses and bad defenses, which could make the over (currently 47) and interesting play as well. Overall, I think this Panthers offense is going to be absolutely unreal this season in Joe Brady&rsquo;s system that propelled LSU to the National Championship last year. They&rsquo;re loaded with speed at every position on offense, which is something the Raiders struggled with mightily in 2019. Per Sharp Football Stats, they surrendered 68 explosive pass plays which was good for second-worst in the NFL. They decided to address that weakness in the draft by adding CB Damon Arnette from Ohio State...who ran a 4.56 40 yard dash.&nbsp;

The Panthers actually scored more points per game than the Raiders a season ago as well, and are getting a massive upgrade at Quarterback in Teddy Bridgewater taking over for the duo of Kyle Allen and Will Grier. Bridgewater&rsquo;s game is predicated on accuracy which will serve these explosive Panthers receivers well, and he also has won ATS at an impressive 80% clip through his first 35 NFL starts. 

&nbsp;

 Washington Redskins +6.5 vs Philadelphia EaglesThe Redskins are a team I think has a big chance to improve relative to what they did in 2019, but we aren&rsquo;t seeing that reflected in the betting markets right now. Their season win total sits at 

Top 3 NFL Week 1 Underdogs

What&#39;s up everyone! It&#39;s looking more and more likely that the NFL season will be played in full this fall. This allows us to comfortably place season-long bets and below I broke down three that have already caught my eye.&nbsp;

&nbsp;

<h2>Clyde Edwards-Helaire to win Rookie of the Year +600</h2>

The Chiefs have never had an Offensive Rookie of the Year, and 2020 could be the year that changes that after selecting Running Back Clyde Edwards-Helaire with the last pick in the first round. One thing we know about the award is that recent trends have favored Quarterbacks and Running Backs over Wide Receivers. Since 2005, a Wide Receiver has only won the award two times, with Running Backs taking home six and Quarterbacks winning the remaining seven. Now, this is regarded as a <a href="https://www.theringer.com/2020/4/21/21228999/nfl-draft-2020-wide-receiver-class-depth-ceedee-lamb-tee-higgins">historically great</a> WR class, but I do think that Running Backs will be the least affected offensive position by the Covid-19 pandemic. Quarterbacks are going to struggle more with the lack of in person coaching, and rookie wideouts are going to have limited time to get on page with their franchise QB&#39;s. Meanwhile, Running Backs are going to get handed the ball regardless, and if I trust anyone to implement a dynamic talent into their well-oiled machine offense...it&#39;s Andy freakin&#39; Reid.

Edwards-Helaire doesn&#39;t jump&nbsp;off the page&nbsp;analytically, but he is coming off a historic season at LSU. He compiled 1,867 all-purpose yards in his final year in the Bayou to go along with 17 touchdowns and 55 receptions! Those gaudy pass-catching numbers are critical for me because even if Damien Williams maintains early down work at the beginning of the season we know that Edwards-Helaire will find himself on the field, catching passes from Patrick Mahomes in a juggernaut offensive system. Reid has never spent first round draft capital on the Running Back position, but he did select LeSean McCoy with the 53rd overall pick in the 2009 NFL draft -- McCoy caught 40 balls during his rookie season.&nbsp;

Scheme is everything in the NFL and Edwards-Helaire just happened to land in the the best possible spot for him. With Mahomes healthy coming off their Super Bowl win, and all of their weapons back for this season, we shouldn&#39;t expect their offense to slow down any time soon. Damien Williams is good, but Edwards-Helaire could take this offense to an even higher level and I won&#39;t be shocked if he is leading the race of this award mid-season.&nbsp;

&nbsp;

<h2>Most Regular Season Receiving Yards - DJ Moore +4000</h2>

The number one rule of sports betting is to always shop around for the best odds, and I wouldn&#39;t be shocked to find this at greated than +4000 odds. Hardcore football fans and fantasy footballers know of DJ Moore&#39;s tantalizing upside, but he is yet to become a true household name...I expect that to change after the 2020 season. Moore quietly fnished ninth in receiving yards in 2019 (1,175) as a 22 year old in his second year. Note that he also accomplished this with an injured Cam Newton, Kyle Allen and Will Grier at Quarterback...wowza! He&#39;s getting two massive upgrades this season, one is at Quarterback with Teddy Bridgewater taking over and the other is in the form of his new Offensive Coordinator Joe Brady. Remember when I was talking about the historic LSU offense above? Yeah, that offense was coordinated by Brady himself...he&#39;s the guy that turned Joe Burrow from being <a href="https://collegefootballtalk.nbcsports.com/2019/12/09/joe-burrow-i-wanted-to-go-to-nebraska-but-they-told-me-i-wasnt-good-enough/">turned down at Nebraska </a>into a Heisman trophy winner.&nbsp;

Now, I can&#39;t predict how Brady&#39;s offense will play in the NFL, but we do know that he is confident that Bridgewater is going to be able to run it smoothly. Bridgewater&#39;s game is built on accuracy, something Moore has yet to see at the NFL level. The other factor in play here is how bad the Panthers defense projects to be. They ranked 25th in defensive efficiency per Football Outsiders in 2019, and are losing key guys like James Bradberry and Luke Keuchly this season. The tell-tale sign that their own team expects them to be bad is that they used EVERY draft pick they had this season on defense. This should allow for plenty of shootout type atmosphere&#39;s for Brady&#39;s offense and it&#39;s exactly what we will need for Moore to compile huge receiving numbers. Obviously Moore has some steep competition, but you will be hard-pressed to find someone with more of a chance&nbsp;outside the top-five&nbsp;in my opinion.&nbsp;

&nbsp;

<h2>Baker Mayfield Over 24.5 Passing Touchdowns -110</h2>

I&#39;m actually shocked at how low this number is. It&#39;s true that the Cleveland Browns are going to focus on the run game under new Head Coach Kevin Stefanski, similar to what he did with the Minnesota Vikings and Dalvin Cook last season. It&#39;s also true that Kirk Cousins posted his most effecient season to date under Stefanski last year completing a very nice 69% of his passes, with a 26-6 TD:INT ratio and over 8 Y/PA. Yes, even in a year where Cook rushed for over 1,100 yards and Minnesota ranked fifth in rush attempts per game, Cousins totaled 26 passing touchdowns.&nbsp;

Pretty much anything that could go wrong with Mayfield went wrong in 2019, and he was undoubtedly humbled after setting the rookie record for passing touchdowns (27) in just 13.5 games in 2018. Despite having a disater season, Mayfield still managed to throw 22 touchdowns...just 2.5 less than he is projected to per this prop. He&#39;s still surrounded by an all-star receiving cast of Odell Beckham, Jarvis Landry, David Njoku and newly signed Austin Hooper, and now should be in a much kinder offensive system. The thing that makes me like this bet the most is the Browns schedule. Not only do they project to have one of the easiest schedules in the NFL this season, but it is especially soft through the air. Per <a href="https://twitter.com/ClevTA/status/1246131853444231168">Sharp Football Analysis</a>, Mayfield faced a top-three pass defense schedule in 2019 and that shifts to the NUMBER ONE easiest this season. This is my absolute favorite prop bet for the upcoming season right now.&nbsp;

&nbsp;

Written by Ben Hossler (Follow @BenHossler on Twitter)

 What&#39;s up everyone! It&#39;s looking more and more likely that the NFL season will be played in full this fall. This allows us to comfortably place season-long bets and below I broke down three that have already caught my eye.&nbsp;&nbsp;Clyde E

Ben's Early 2020 NFL Bets

What&#39;s up everyone! Welcome to the another edition of Ben&#39;s Bets for NBA. This is a new article I will be writing weekly covering my favorite plays against the spread. Tonight&rsquo;s lines will be provided&nbsp;via&nbsp;DraftKings sportsbook. If you don&rsquo;t already have an account stop what you are doing and sign up using the link&nbsp;<a href="https://sportsbook.draftkings.com/gateway?s=715196964">HERE</a>&nbsp;(If you&#39;re in a legal state).&nbsp;

Ben&#39;s Bets Article Record: 1-1 (even)

Reminder 1 unit = 1% of your bankroll

&nbsp;

<h2>Utah Jazz -5 vs Toronto Raptors&nbsp;</h2>

2 units to profit 1.8 units

The Utah Jazz have rebounded from their mid-season cold stretch&nbsp;winning their fifth game in a row on Saturday. They come into Monday night 21-9 at home, while the Raptors are playing a road back-to-back set without Fred VanVleet. FVV has been a key member of the Raptors for a while now dating back to guarding Steph Curry in the NBA Finals last season. They&#39;re 6-9 ATS with VanVleet inactive this season, and their offense will have to play differently as a whole. Toronto ranks 14th in pace this season, but if you isolate the last five games (all without VanVleet) they jump up to sixth-overall. Running more is not necessarily something that will work on a back-to-back, especially against a team like the Jazz. Not only are they worse with VanVleet off the floor, but they average 113 points per game as a team, a number that drops to 106 on 0 days rest.&nbsp;

Utah has climbed all the way up to fourth in the Western Conference, and this profiles as a game where they can take advantage of the Raptors injuries + schedule and come out victorious at home.&nbsp;

&nbsp;

Written by Ben Hossler (Follow @BenHossler on Twitter)

&nbsp;

&nbsp;

 What&#39;s up everyone! Welcome to the another edition of Ben&#39;s Bets for NBA. This is a new article I will be writing weekly covering my favorite plays against the spread. Tonight&rsquo;s lines will be provided&nbsp;via&nbsp;DraftKings sportsboo

Want to read more ?
Sign up here

Headlines

Our Products

Twitter

Other

Want to read more ?Sign up here

Headlines

Our Products

Twitter

Other

Want to read more ?
Sign up here